Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:57:44

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 7.5/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 5.4

30-Day Momentum

39
+9.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
5.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.7 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,089
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-24 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,855.53
Total P&L
$-144.47
Max Drawdown
-2.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+5.07%
Worst Trade
-6.60%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$167,436.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-144.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-144.47
Gross Return
-1.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2024 9:30am ET $159.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2024 3:15pm ET $161.26 0 $0.00 $10,115.32 +$115.32
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET $165.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $162.58 0 $0.00 $9,912.82 $-202.50
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $160.45 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $162.60 0 $0.00 $10,043.97 +$131.15
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $160.22 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 11:05am ET $156.99 0 $0.00 $9,843.40 $-200.57
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $144.58 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $147.12 0 $0.00 $10,016.12 +$172.72
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET $139.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:35am ET $139.90 0 $0.00 $10,023.58 +$7.46
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $153.63 65 $9,985.63
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $151.39 65 $9,840.35 $9,878.30 $-145.28
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $152.78 64 $9,777.92
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $142.69 64 $9,132.16 $9,232.54 $-645.76
(-6.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $144.01 64 $9,216.32
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $145.64 64 $9,320.96 $9,337.18 +$104.64
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $144.43 64 $9,243.52
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $143.80 64 $9,203.20 $9,296.86 $-40.32
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.70 62 $9,157.40
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $147.43 62 $9,140.35 $9,279.81 $-17.05
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $146.40 63 $9,223.20
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $142.14 63 $8,954.82 $9,011.43 $-268.38
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
13 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $142.76 63 $8,993.57
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $141.51 63 $8,915.13 $8,932.99 $-78.44
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $139.35 64 $8,918.40
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $146.41 64 $9,370.24 $9,384.83 +$451.84
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $145.10 64 $9,286.42
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $152.46 64 $9,757.12 $9,855.53 +$470.70
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,855.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-144.47
Total Return: -1.44%
Back to Reversion