Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:17:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 8.3/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 6.7

30-Day Momentum

0
-11.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,840
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
86 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,298.59
Current Value
$7,689.96
Period P&L
$-1,608.63
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+5.38%
Worst Trade
-7.39%
Avg Trade Return
-1.51%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$98,557.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,608.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,608.63
Gross Return
-17.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 86 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,298.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET $261.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET $263.88 0 $0.00 $9,391.34 +$92.75
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $250.33 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $244.44 0 $0.00 $9,173.41 $-217.93
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $233.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $236.71 0 $0.00 $9,284.17 +$110.76
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $233.14 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $235.50 0 $0.00 $9,376.17 +$92.00
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $235.91 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:40am ET $231.03 0 $0.00 $9,185.85 $-190.32
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:40am ET $225.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $220.89 0 $0.00 $8,999.85 $-186.00
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $213.46 42 $8,965.53
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:10am ET $197.70 42 $8,303.40 $8,337.72 $-662.13
(-7.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:05am ET $196.10 42 $8,236.41
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET $206.66 42 $8,679.72 $8,781.03 +$443.31
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $199.04 44 $8,757.54
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:25pm ET $197.01 44 $8,668.66 $8,692.15 $-88.88
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $195.19 44 $8,588.36
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET $180.88 44 $7,958.50 $8,062.29 $-629.86
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:05pm ET $190.18 42 $7,987.56
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $176.87 42 $7,428.33 $7,503.06 $-559.23
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $176.15 42 $7,398.30
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $180.60 42 $7,585.20 $7,689.96 +$186.90
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,689.96
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,310.04
Total Return: -23.10%
Back to Reversion