Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 33.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.5

30-Day Momentum

56
+20.7%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 75.6 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,448
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,664.51
Current Value
$11,932.49
Period P&L
$1,267.98
Max Drawdown
-10.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
12 / 6
Best Trade
+5.63%
Worst Trade
-7.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$173,363.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,267.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,267.98
Gross Return
+11.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,664.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET $339.20 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET $343.09 0 $0.00 $10,785.19 +$120.68
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $338.36 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET $341.77 0 $0.00 $10,891.01 +$105.82
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $335.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET $337.55 0 $0.00 $10,950.88 +$59.87
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $345.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:30am ET $338.32 0 $0.00 $10,725.20 $-225.68
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $340.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $333.32 0 $0.00 $10,514.24 $-210.96
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $315.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:45am ET $321.22 0 $0.00 $10,697.39 +$183.15
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $321.43 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:25am ET $324.68 0 $0.00 $10,804.51 +$107.12
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $323.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:35am ET $316.89 0 $0.00 $10,589.80 $-214.71
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $296.33 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $299.86 0 $0.00 $10,713.19 +$123.39
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $307.17 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $310.63 0 $0.00 $10,830.81 +$117.62
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $338.12 32 $10,819.70
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $325.75 32 $10,424.00 $10,435.11 $-395.70
(-3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $317.85 32 $10,171.20
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $300.71 32 $9,622.72 $9,886.63 $-548.48
(-5.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $312.77 31 $9,695.87
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:25pm ET $329.50 31 $10,214.50 $10,405.26 +$518.63
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $349.37 29 $10,131.73
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $368.85 29 $10,696.65 $10,970.18 +$564.92
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:45am ET $370.24 29 $10,736.96
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $390.09 29 $11,312.61 $11,545.83 +$575.65
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $396.64 29 $11,502.56
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET $417.35 29 $12,103.01 $12,146.27 +$600.44
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $424.93 28 $11,898.18
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:55am ET $394.82 28 $11,054.96 $11,303.05 $-843.22
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $399.10 28 $11,174.80
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $421.58 28 $11,804.24 $11,932.49 +$629.44
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,932.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,932.49
Total Return: +19.32%
Back to Reversion