Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
6.9/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 28.3/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 21.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,378
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,165.26
Current Value
$10,569.08
Period P&L
$-596.18
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.63

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+1.10%
Worst Trade
-3.19%
Avg Trade Return
-1.08%
Avg Hold Time
8.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$86,799.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-596.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-596.18
Gross Return
-5.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $11,165.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $54.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $54.69 0 $0.00 $11,287.83 +$122.57
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $59.65 189 $11,274.79
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $59.12 189 $11,173.68 $11,186.72 $-101.11
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $60.35 185 $11,164.75
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.63 185 $10,847.47 $10,869.44 $-317.28
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $60.10 180 $10,818.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $58.19 180 $10,473.30 $10,524.74 $-344.70
(-3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $58.02 181 $10,501.62
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $58.26 181 $10,545.96 $10,569.08 +$44.34
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,569.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$569.08
Total Return: +5.69%
Back to Reversion