Compendium › Reversion › CMCSA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CMCSA
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 8 trades in period

-4.77%
Year to Date Return
$10,178.03
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,688.27
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:16:10

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
3.7/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 20.2/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 15.6

30-Day Momentum

14
+3.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,818
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,688.27
Current Value
$10,178.03
Period P&L
$-510.24
Max Drawdown
-3.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+5.02%
Worst Trade
-6.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.53%
Avg Hold Time
6.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$122,933.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-510.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-510.24
Gross Return
-4.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,688.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $27.75 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $28.09 0 $0.00 $10,817.25 +$128.98
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET $31.16 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 11:30am ET $31.50 0 $0.00 $10,935.23 +$117.98
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.26 349 $10,911.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $30.25 349 $10,558.99 $10,582.74 $-352.49
(-3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $30.42 347 $10,554.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $28.41 347 $9,856.54 $9,885.27 $-697.47
(-6.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $28.81 343 $9,880.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $28.25 343 $9,688.04 $9,693.19 $-192.08
(-1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $27.89 347 $9,677.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $29.28 347 $10,161.89 $10,177.26 +$484.07
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $29.95 339 $10,154.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $31.46 339 $10,664.47 $10,686.98 +$509.72
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $28.30 377 $10,667.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $26.94 377 $10,158.26 $10,178.03 $-508.95
(-4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,178.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$178.03
Total Return: +1.78%
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