Compendium › Reversion › CRWD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CRWD
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

+4.34%
Year to Date Return
$8,985.49
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$8,611.62
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 14:57:44

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 11.7/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

0
-11.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,601
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,611.62
Current Value
$8,985.49
Period P&L
$373.87
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
15 / 9
Best Trade
+6.80%
Worst Trade
-10.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$277,334.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$373.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$373.87
Gross Return
+4.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $8,611.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $458.75 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $464.33 0 $0.00 $8,712.06 +$100.44
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $469.66 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:40am ET $470.94 0 $0.00 $8,735.19 +$23.13
(+0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET $460.89 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $467.45 0 $0.00 $8,853.27 +$118.08
(+1.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:55am ET $443.82 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $448.41 0 $0.00 $8,940.58 +$87.31
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $447.43 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $437.75 0 $0.00 $8,756.75 $-183.83
(-2.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET $427.87 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:40am ET $418.85 0 $0.00 $8,576.30 $-180.45
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET $408.92 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET $415.82 0 $0.00 $8,714.30 +$138.00
(+1.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $399.01 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $389.90 0 $0.00 $8,523.12 $-191.18
(-2.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $424.53 20 $8,490.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $449.82 20 $8,996.40 $9,028.92 +$505.80
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET $440.77 20 $8,815.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $408.00 20 $8,160.00 $8,373.62 $-655.30
(-7.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $411.16 20 $8,223.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $370.43 20 $7,408.60 $7,559.02 $-814.60
(-9.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:45pm ET $379.26 19 $7,205.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $399.65 19 $7,593.35 $7,946.52 +$387.50
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $400.65 19 $7,612.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $421.58 19 $8,010.02 $8,344.19 +$397.67
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $415.58 20 $8,311.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $385.40 20 $7,707.95 $7,740.44 $-603.75
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $401.29 19 $7,624.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $422.51 19 $8,027.61 $8,143.54 +$403.10
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $448.86 18 $8,079.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $456.08 18 $8,209.44 $8,273.50 +$129.96
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
17 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $476.22 17 $8,095.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:50am ET $503.20 17 $8,554.40 $8,732.16 +$458.66
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
18 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $535.65 16 $8,570.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:05pm ET $564.67 16 $9,034.80 $9,196.56 +$464.40
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
19 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $570.27 16 $9,124.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $599.36 16 $9,589.76 $9,662.08 +$465.52
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
20 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:40am ET $619.21 15 $9,288.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $650.50 15 $9,757.50 $10,131.43 +$469.35
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
21 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $650.64 15 $9,759.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $694.87 15 $10,423.05 $10,794.88 +$663.45
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $764.85 14 $10,707.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $686.48 14 $9,610.79 $9,697.77 $-1,097.11
(-10.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $685.44 14 $9,596.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:20am ET $636.35 14 $8,908.90 $9,010.58 $-687.19
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $687.00 13 $8,931.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $685.07 13 $8,905.91 $8,985.49 $-25.09
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,985.49
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,014.51
Total Return: -10.15%
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