Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 31.2/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

8
+1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.2 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,011
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
87 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,974.12
Current Value
$10,831.54
Period P&L
$-142.58
Max Drawdown
-4.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+5.01%
Worst Trade
-5.71%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$109,311.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-142.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-142.58
Gross Return
-1.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 87 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,974.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $118.74 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $120.42 0 $0.00 $11,128.68 +$154.56
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $142.86 77 $11,000.22
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $145.10 77 $11,173.08 $11,301.54 +$172.86
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $143.93 78 $11,226.93
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $135.71 78 $10,585.38 $10,659.99 $-641.55
(-5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $135.79 78 $10,591.62
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $142.60 78 $11,122.41 $11,190.78 +$530.79
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $137.97 81 $11,175.57
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $133.95 81 $10,849.95 $10,865.16 $-325.62
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $131.83 82 $10,810.06
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $131.42 82 $10,776.44 $10,831.54 $-33.62
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,831.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$831.54
Total Return: +8.32%
Back to Reversion