Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:35

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.7 neutral
20d Trend
+13.0%
5d Trend
-4.5%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
5.5%
Range Pos
67%
Bounce Ratio
1.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.3/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
11.6/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 40.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 39.6

30-Day Momentum

58
+19.6%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 88.3 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,646
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,419.66
Current Value
$14,129.39
Period P&L
$1,709.73
Max Drawdown
-22.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+5.47%
Worst Trade
-5.31%
Avg Trade Return
+1.35%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$126,602.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,709.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,709.73
Gross Return
+13.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GME Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $12,419.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:15am ET $22.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $22.79 0 $0.00 $12,579.74 +$160.08
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $24.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $24.39 0 $0.00 $12,725.62 +$145.88
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $23.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:45am ET $23.97 0 $0.00 $12,935.88 +$210.26
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $25.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET $24.59 0 $0.00 $12,645.47 $-290.41
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $24.19 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:15am ET $23.86 0 $0.00 $12,475.82 $-169.65
(-1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $24.56 507 $12,451.97
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 3:15pm ET $23.25 507 $11,790.28 $11,814.13 $-661.69
(-5.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $22.73 519 $11,796.87
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $23.32 519 $12,103.08 $12,120.34 +$306.21
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $23.07 525 $12,111.75
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:40am ET $24.25 525 $12,731.25 $12,739.84 +$619.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $24.58 518 $12,732.44
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $25.85 518 $13,390.30 $13,397.70 +$657.86
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET $24.97 536 $13,381.24
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $26.33 536 $14,112.93 $14,129.39 +$731.69
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,129.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,129.39
Total Return: +41.29%
Back to Reversion