Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 15:00:06

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
5.4/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 20.3/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 14.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,637
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
121 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,105.07
Current Value
$10,065.16
Period P&L
$-39.91
Max Drawdown
-2.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+5.00%
Worst Trade
-2.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
9.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$177,348.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-39.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-39.91
Gross Return
-0.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 121 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,105.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $241.90 41 $9,917.70
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $238.24 41 $9,767.84 $9,955.22 $-149.85
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $235.01 42 $9,870.42
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $242.02 42 $10,165.05 $10,249.85 +$294.63
(+3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $244.26 41 $10,014.66
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $237.98 41 $9,757.18 $9,992.37 $-257.48
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $234.67 42 $9,856.14
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $229.79 42 $9,651.18 $9,787.41 $-204.96
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $225.55 43 $9,698.61
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $224.31 43 $9,645.33 $9,734.13 $-53.28
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $221.65 43 $9,531.16
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $226.62 43 $9,744.65 $9,947.61 +$213.48
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:35am ET $229.25 43 $9,857.75
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:35am ET $227.05 43 $9,763.15 $9,853.01 $-94.60
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $222.45 44 $9,787.58
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $233.57 44 $10,277.08 $10,342.51 +$489.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $236.28 43 $10,160.04
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $229.83 43 $9,882.69 $10,065.16 $-277.35
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,065.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$65.16
Total Return: +0.65%
Back to Reversion