LCID Reversion's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 33 trades in period
-31.75%
Year to Date Return
$7,177.19
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$10,515.68
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
11.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 11.2
30-Day Momentum
9
-1.7%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1
Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,997
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,515.68
Current Value
$7,177.19
Period P&L
$-3,338.49
Max Drawdown
-26.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
15 /
18
Best Trade
+6.78%
Worst Trade
-9.13%
Avg Trade Return
-1.00%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$376,768.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,338.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,338.49
Gross Return
-31.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-31.75%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,515.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $11.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,266.74 |
$-248.94 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $11.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,224.94 |
$-41.80 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $10.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:50pm ET | $10.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,978.61 |
$-246.33 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $9.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,081.91 |
+$103.30 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $11.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,844.58 |
$-237.33 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $11.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $11.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,981.42 |
+$136.84 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $10.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,755.02 |
$-226.40 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $10.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $10.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,888.77 |
+$133.75 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $10.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $10.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,989.57 |
+$100.80 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $10.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,783.21 |
$-206.36 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.63 | 1,015 | $9,774.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $10.11 | 1,015 | $10,266.32 | $10,275.08 |
+$491.87 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $10.44 | 984 | $10,268.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $10.33 | 984 | $10,164.72 | $10,171.76 |
$-103.32 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:25pm ET | $10.36 | 981 | $10,168.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $9.63 | 981 | $9,446.05 | $9,449.74 |
$-722.02 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $9.11 | 1,037 | $9,447.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $9.58 | 1,037 | $9,932.07 | $9,934.74 |
+$485.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.40 | 1,056 | $9,926.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $9.89 | 1,056 | $10,438.56 | $10,446.90 |
+$512.16 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.22 | 1,133 | $10,446.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.45 | 1,133 | $9,576.12 | $9,576.76 |
$-870.14 (-8.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.74 | 1,096 | $9,575.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.11 | 1,096 | $8,894.04 | $8,895.05 |
$-681.71 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $7.61 | 1,168 | $8,888.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.05 | 1,168 | $8,240.24 | $8,246.81 |
$-648.24 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET | $7.27 | 1,134 | $8,244.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 1,134 | $7,552.10 | $7,554.73 |
$-692.08 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $6.30 | 1,198 | $7,553.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.84 | 1,198 | $6,996.32 | $6,997.66 |
$-557.07 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.83 | 1,200 | $6,996.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $6.13 | 1,200 | $7,350.00 | $7,351.66 |
+$354.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:20pm ET | $6.64 | 1,108 | $7,351.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.03 | 1,108 | $6,680.02 | $6,680.10 |
$-671.56 (-9.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 1:25pm ET | $6.00 | 1,113 | $6,678.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $6.30 | 1,113 | $7,011.90 | $7,014.00 |
+$333.90 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $5.93 | 1,182 | $7,009.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $6.30 | 1,182 | $7,446.60 | $7,451.34 |
+$437.34 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 2:45pm ET | $6.34 | 1,174 | $7,446.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.89 | 1,174 | $6,908.99 | $6,913.53 |
$-537.81 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.61 | 1,231 | $6,912.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.93 | 1,231 | $7,299.95 | $7,301.42 |
+$387.89 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $6.00 | 1,216 | $7,296.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $6.34 | 1,216 | $7,709.44 | $7,714.74 |
+$413.32 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.41 | 1,202 | $7,710.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $6.85 | 1,202 | $8,233.70 | $8,237.61 |
+$522.87 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 2:15pm ET | $6.37 | 1,293 | $8,236.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $5.89 | 1,293 | $7,609.31 | $7,610.12 |
$-627.49 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 2:50pm ET | $5.70 | 1,333 | $7,604.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $5.26 | 1,333 | $7,004.92 | $7,010.27 |
$-599.85 (-7.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $5.11 | 1,372 | $7,009.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $5.38 | 1,372 | $7,381.50 | $7,382.77 |
+$372.50 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $4.80 | 1,538 | $7,382.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $5.05 | 1,538 | $7,764.44 | $7,764.81 |
+$382.04 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 1:40pm ET | $5.38 | 1,442 | $7,761.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $4.97 | 1,442 | $7,173.95 | $7,177.19 |
$-587.62 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$7,177.19
Net Profit/Loss:
$-2,822.81
Total Return:
-28.23%