Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:54:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 12.1/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 11.5

30-Day Momentum

10
+0.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.7 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,448
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,132.43
Current Value
$9,128.66
Period P&L
$-3.77
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
11 / 11
Best Trade
+13.92%
Worst Trade
-7.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$179,075.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3.77
Gross Return
-0.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,132.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $188.32 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $190.30 0 $0.00 $9,227.52 +$95.09
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $197.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $193.00 0 $0.00 $9,039.17 $-188.35
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $185.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $181.56 0 $0.00 $8,857.25 $-181.92
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $176.73 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET $172.51 0 $0.00 $8,646.25 $-211.00
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $173.12 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET $175.66 0 $0.00 $8,770.95 +$124.70
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $177.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $175.46 0 $0.00 $8,687.65 $-83.30
(-1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $167.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $163.56 0 $0.00 $8,489.00 $-198.65
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $157.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET $153.77 0 $0.00 $8,277.53 $-211.47
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $148.88 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET $151.11 0 $0.00 $8,400.18 +$122.65
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:45am ET $143.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $140.97 0 $0.00 $8,230.24 $-169.94
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $156.07 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:05am ET $157.66 0 $0.00 $8,312.68 +$82.44
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $152.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:55am ET $154.37 0 $0.00 $8,403.94 +$91.26
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $150.57 55 $8,281.56
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:35am ET $158.23 55 $8,702.65 $8,825.03 +$421.09
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $148.36 59 $8,753.23
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $169.01 59 $9,971.30 $10,043.09 +$1,218.06
(+13.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $160.12 62 $9,927.13
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:10pm ET $148.83 62 $9,227.46 $9,343.42 $-699.67
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $152.82 61 $9,322.06
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $140.98 61 $8,599.78 $8,621.14 $-722.28
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $138.64 62 $8,595.68
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $145.90 62 $9,045.80 $9,071.26 +$450.12
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $145.65 62 $9,030.30
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $135.20 62 $8,382.40 $8,423.36 $-647.90
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $161.60 52 $8,403.21
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $171.10 52 $8,897.20 $8,917.36 +$494.00
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET $177.39 50 $8,869.50
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $187.07 50 $9,353.75 $9,401.61 +$484.25
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $175.93 53 $9,324.29
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $162.43 53 $8,608.79 $8,686.11 $-715.50
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $163.56 53 $8,668.68
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:25am ET $171.91 53 $9,111.23 $9,128.66 +$442.55
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,128.66
Net Profit/Loss: $-871.34
Total Return: -8.71%
Back to Reversion