Compendium › Reversion › AAPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AAPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 30 trades executed

+22.45%
2 Years Return
$12,016.58
Current Value
78%
Win Rate
$9,813.08
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:22:36

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 80%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.1/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
12.5/15
Profit Factor
7.9/15
Consistency
8.7/10
Raw Quality 54.2/100
× Confidence 0.80 = 43.2

30-Day Momentum

40
+9.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 64.9 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (80%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
85,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,813.08
Current Value
$12,016.58
Total P&L
$2,203.50
Max Drawdown
-3.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
21 / 6
Best Trade
+5.10%
Worst Trade
-2.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.78%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$113,608.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,203.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,203.50
Gross Return
+22.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,813.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2024 3:50pm ET $213.22 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2024 9:35am ET $216.15 0 $0.00 $9,947.86 +$134.78
(+1.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2024 9:40am ET $228.18 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2024 9:40am ET $229.18 0 $0.00 $9,990.86 +$43.00
(+0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $205.61 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $209.24 0 $0.00 $10,164.86 +$174.00
(+1.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2024 9:40am ET $201.66 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2024 9:50am ET $203.80 0 $0.00 $10,271.84 +$106.98
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2024 9:30am ET $214.37 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2024 10:10am ET $217.17 0 $0.00 $10,403.20 +$131.36
(+1.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 1, 2024 9:30am ET $222.24 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 1, 2024 10:05am ET $224.73 0 $0.00 $10,517.74 +$114.54
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $231.27 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2025 1:50pm ET $233.69 0 $0.00 $10,626.64 +$108.90
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2025 9:30am ET $222.32 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET $222.59 0 $0.00 $10,639.33 +$12.69
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2025 10:00am ET $227.62 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 10:00am ET $229.02 0 $0.00 $10,703.96 +$64.63
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 9:40am ET $242.05 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2025 10:15am ET $244.50 0 $0.00 $10,811.54 +$107.58
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2025 9:50am ET $231.91 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 12:25pm ET $234.54 0 $0.00 $10,932.35 +$120.81
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $232.35 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 10:45am ET $227.40 0 $0.00 $10,699.47 $-232.88
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 10:00am ET $220.09 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 10:05am ET $222.59 0 $0.00 $10,819.47 +$120.00
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $206.92 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:00pm ET $202.66 0 $0.00 $10,597.69 $-221.78
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $196.85 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:55am ET $199.24 0 $0.00 $10,724.36 +$126.67
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $176.57 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:45am ET $178.43 0 $0.00 $10,836.03 +$111.67
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:50am ET $196.75 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 3:20pm ET $192.75 0 $0.00 $10,616.03 $-220.00
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:35am ET $193.01 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 9:30am ET $196.86 0 $0.00 $10,827.41 +$211.38
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 9:30am ET $203.24 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 2, 2025 10:20am ET $206.06 0 $0.00 $10,976.89 +$149.48
(+1.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $205.76 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 11:00am ET $207.97 0 $0.00 $11,094.06 +$117.17
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $196.50 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $198.07 0 $0.00 $11,182.20 +$88.14
(+0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $267.55 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $269.13 0 $0.00 $11,247.02 +$64.82
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $255.15 44 $11,226.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $253.34 44 $11,146.96 $11,167.38 $-79.64
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $253.61 44 $11,158.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $248.65 44 $10,940.60 $10,949.14 $-218.24
(-2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $245.54 44 $10,803.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $258.05 44 $11,354.42 $11,499.80 +$550.66
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $256.11 44 $11,268.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $267.88 44 $11,786.50 $12,017.46 +$517.66
(+4.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $271.85 44 $11,961.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $271.83 44 $11,960.52 $12,016.58 $-0.88
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,016.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,016.58
Total Return: +20.17%
Back to Reversion