Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:40:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 8.5/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 6.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,991
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
516 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,954.29
Current Value
$9,926.94
Total P&L
$-27.35
Max Drawdown
-4.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
23
Winners / Losers
12 / 11
Best Trade
+7.16%
Worst Trade
-7.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$116,813.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-27.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-27.35
Gross Return
-0.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 516 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,954.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET $175.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 9:30am ET $174.65 0 $0.00 $9,903.89 $-50.40
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 9:35am ET $166.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2024 9:35am ET $165.50 0 $0.00 $9,827.78 $-76.11
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 9:45am ET $201.53 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 10:05am ET $203.64 0 $0.00 $9,928.82 +$101.04
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:35am ET $197.32 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 12:10pm ET $193.31 0 $0.00 $9,728.32 $-200.50
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $179.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $186.00 0 $0.00 $10,106.32 +$378.00
(+3.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $167.78 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 9:35am ET $170.26 0 $0.00 $10,255.20 +$148.88
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 10:00am ET $172.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 10:35am ET $174.64 0 $0.00 $10,369.96 +$114.76
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:55am ET $190.91 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 1:55pm ET $186.83 0 $0.00 $10,149.91 $-220.05
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $183.48 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 12:25pm ET $185.50 0 $0.00 $10,261.29 +$111.38
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:35am ET $186.02 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 9:50am ET $188.17 0 $0.00 $10,379.82 +$118.53
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 2:05pm ET $189.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $193.18 0 $0.00 $10,575.84 +$196.02
(+1.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:50am ET $237.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 9:50am ET $234.58 0 $0.00 $10,426.68 $-149.16
(-1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET $218.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:35am ET $221.52 0 $0.00 $10,564.15 +$137.47
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET $223.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:55am ET $219.33 0 $0.00 $10,350.77 $-213.38
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $226.56 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:55am ET $224.31 0 $0.00 $10,249.52 $-101.25
(-1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $210.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $212.68 0 $0.00 $10,360.16 +$110.64
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $207.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET $209.92 0 $0.00 $10,471.63 +$111.47
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $227.17 46 $10,449.82
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:50am ET $222.21 46 $10,221.43 $10,243.24 $-228.39
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $221.10 46 $10,170.60
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:25pm ET $205.43 46 $9,449.78 $9,522.42 $-720.82
(-7.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $204.15 46 $9,391.13
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $215.60 46 $9,917.60 $10,048.89 +$526.47
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $214.20 46 $9,853.20
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $206.96 46 $9,520.16 $9,715.85 $-333.04
(-3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $207.91 46 $9,563.75
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $198.10 46 $9,112.60 $9,264.71 $-451.14
(-4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $196.82 47 $9,250.77
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $210.91 47 $9,913.00 $9,926.94 +$662.23
(+7.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,926.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-73.06
Total Return: -0.73%
Back to Reversion