Compendium › Reversion › BMY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BMY
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 26 trades executed

+7.09%
2 Years Return
$10,569.08
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,869.23
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:46

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
6.9/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 28.3/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 21.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,904
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,869.23
Current Value
$10,569.08
Total P&L
$699.85
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
24
Winners / Losers
16 / 8
Best Trade
+2.32%
Worst Trade
-3.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$86,799.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$699.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$699.85
Gross Return
+7.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,869.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2024 9:50am ET $48.04 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2024 11:15am ET $48.56 0 $0.00 $9,974.81 +$105.58
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 9:40am ET $57.07 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 3:15pm ET $55.90 0 $0.00 $9,772.10 $-202.71
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2025 9:30am ET $57.95 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2025 9:45am ET $58.84 0 $0.00 $9,921.52 +$149.42
(+1.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2025 10:05am ET $54.66 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2025 10:55am ET $55.57 0 $0.00 $10,087.14 +$165.62
(+1.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:45am ET $59.90 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 12:05pm ET $60.52 0 $0.00 $10,191.30 +$104.16
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $56.53 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 12:40pm ET $55.38 0 $0.00 $9,984.30 $-207.00
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $53.40 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $54.64 0 $0.00 $10,214.94 +$230.64
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $50.59 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 9:35am ET $51.11 0 $0.00 $10,319.46 +$104.52
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:50am ET $48.28 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 10:15am ET $48.80 0 $0.00 $10,431.29 +$111.83
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 9:30am ET $47.46 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET $48.35 0 $0.00 $10,626.20 +$194.91
(+1.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $48.83 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 9:50am ET $49.45 0 $0.00 $10,760.74 +$134.54
(+1.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:45am ET $48.62 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 3:20pm ET $47.63 0 $0.00 $10,541.95 $-218.79
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:30am ET $46.79 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 10:10am ET $47.32 0 $0.00 $10,661.20 +$119.25
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 10:35am ET $47.42 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 1:30pm ET $47.92 0 $0.00 $10,773.87 +$112.67
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET $46.55 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 10:05am ET $47.04 0 $0.00 $10,887.06 +$113.19
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $43.36 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 9:35am ET $44.22 0 $0.00 $11,102.92 +$215.86
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 9:35am ET $44.70 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 10:00am ET $45.48 0 $0.00 $11,297.60 +$194.68
(+1.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $47.07 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $46.91 0 $0.00 $11,259.20 $-38.40
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET $46.09 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:40am ET $45.71 0 $0.00 $11,165.26 $-93.94
(-0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $54.10 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $54.69 0 $0.00 $11,287.83 +$122.57
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $59.65 189 $11,274.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $59.12 189 $11,173.68 $11,186.72 $-101.11
(-0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $60.35 185 $11,164.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $58.63 185 $10,847.47 $10,869.44 $-317.28
(-2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $60.10 180 $10,818.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $58.19 180 $10,473.30 $10,524.74 $-344.70
(-3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $58.02 181 $10,501.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $58.26 181 $10,545.96 $10,569.08 +$44.34
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,569.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$569.08
Total Return: +5.69%
Back to Reversion