C Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 44 trades executed
+31.78%
2 Years Return
$14,175.59
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$10,757.37
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
47
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
12.3/15
Profit Factor
8.7/15
Consistency
7.4/10
Raw Quality
56.3/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 46.9
30-Day Momentum
41
+10.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.2
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,048
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,757.37
Current Value
$14,175.59
Total P&L
$3,418.22
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
41
Winners / Losers
29 /
12
Best Trade
+6.85%
Worst Trade
-2.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$154,662.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,418.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,418.22
Gross Return
+31.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.78%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,757.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $59.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2024 9:30am ET | $60.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,886.25 |
+$128.88 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 12, 2024 9:55am ET | $63.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 12, 2024 11:45am ET | $64.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,048.58 |
+$162.33 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $59.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 10:00am ET | $60.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,227.10 |
+$178.52 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $53.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:40am ET | $54.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,366.09 |
+$138.99 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 10:50am ET | $58.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2024 12:05pm ET | $59.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,506.74 |
+$140.65 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2024 10:05am ET | $57.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2024 12:25pm ET | $56.78 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,271.12 |
$-235.62 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2024 9:35am ET | $64.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2024 11:20am ET | $65.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,388.57 |
+$117.45 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $62.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $63.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,439.25 |
+$50.68 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET | $68.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $69.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,652.18 |
+$212.93 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $78.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 9:40am ET | $77.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,401.54 |
$-250.64 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2025 10:45am ET | $81.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 10:45am ET | $81.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,478.54 |
+$77.00 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $73.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $71.51 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,243.82 |
$-234.72 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $71.44 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $72.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,366.28 |
+$122.46 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $68.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 1:25pm ET | $66.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,128.90 |
$-237.38 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:40am ET | $68.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 10:05am ET | $69.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,257.69 |
+$128.79 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $65.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $64.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,024.27 |
$-233.42 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $59.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:50am ET | $57.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,792.70 |
$-231.57 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $56.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,934.78 |
+$142.08 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $62.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 10:10am ET | $60.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,703.34 |
$-231.44 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $63.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 1:45pm ET | $62.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,471.50 |
$-231.84 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $67.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 11:00am ET | $67.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,582.26 |
+$110.76 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 12:00pm ET | $91.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,692.45 |
+$110.19 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $90.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 10:10am ET | $91.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,806.53 |
+$114.08 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 3:10pm ET | $94.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,915.80 |
+$109.27 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:50am ET | $99.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:05pm ET | $101.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,042.24 |
+$126.44 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $99.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $100.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,153.24 |
+$111.00 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $98.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $99.51 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,268.50 |
+$115.26 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $98.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $99.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,397.89 |
+$129.39 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET | $99.29 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $97.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,167.04 |
$-230.85 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,213.12 |
+$46.08 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $113.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:50am ET | $110.84 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,973.54 |
$-239.58 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $116.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,097.04 |
+$123.50 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $115.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,280.37 |
+$183.33 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $114.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $112.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,034.38 |
$-245.99 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $110.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,168.38 |
+$134.00 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.75 | 107 | $11,101.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.00 | 107 | $11,770.00 | $11,837.13 |
+$668.75 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.77 | 108 | $11,747.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.59 | 108 | $12,159.72 | $12,249.69 |
+$412.56 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.52 | 110 | $12,157.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $116.12 | 110 | $12,773.20 | $12,865.69 |
+$616.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $114.06 | 112 | $12,774.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.87 | 112 | $13,649.44 | $13,740.44 |
+$874.75 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $124.92 | 109 | $13,616.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.36 | 109 | $14,318.24 | $14,442.30 |
+$701.86 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $131.19 | 110 | $14,430.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.77 | 110 | $14,164.19 | $14,175.59 |
$-266.71 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,175.59
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,175.59
Total Return:
+41.76%