COP Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 37 trades executed
+0.88%
2 Years Return
$10,094.55
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$10,006.16
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
2.4/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
16.0/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 13.3
30-Day Momentum
3
-3.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2
Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,110
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
518 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,006.16
Current Value
$10,094.55
Total P&L
$88.39
Max Drawdown
-10.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
36
Winners / Losers
21 /
15
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-7.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$119,797.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$88.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$88.39
Gross Return
+0.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.88%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 518 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,006.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $116.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $116.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,990.25 |
$-15.91 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2024 9:35am ET | $110.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2024 9:35am ET | $111.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,073.50 |
+$83.25 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $103.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 27, 2024 9:30am ET | $102.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,008.51 |
$-64.99 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2024 9:30am ET | $111.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $109.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,828.28 |
$-180.23 (-1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $106.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $105.69 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,799.76 |
$-28.52 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2024 9:35am ET | $97.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2024 1:55pm ET | $98.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,903.76 |
+$104.00 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 1:15pm ET | $95.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 2:25pm ET | $93.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,701.88 |
$-201.88 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:35am ET | $90.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 2:20pm ET | $91.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,799.25 |
+$97.37 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,838.30 |
+$39.05 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $100.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:05am ET | $97.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,603.59 |
$-234.71 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 10:05am ET | $88.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,378.36 |
$-225.23 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $83.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:55am ET | $84.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,504.90 |
+$126.54 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $85.23 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,295.62 |
$-209.28 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.71 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 9:45am ET | $87.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,402.62 |
+$107.00 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:40am ET | $89.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $90.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,485.88 |
+$83.26 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $89.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $87.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,287.66 |
$-198.22 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,257.06 |
$-30.60 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 1:30pm ET | $86.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,350.91 |
+$93.85 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $94.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2025 12:50pm ET | $95.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,452.88 |
+$101.97 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $92.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $92.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,455.91 |
+$3.03 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $93.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,472.41 |
+$16.50 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $95.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $95.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,425.37 |
$-47.04 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $96.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $94.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,216.82 |
$-208.55 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 9:35am ET | $89.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 2:55pm ET | $88.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,032.20 |
$-184.62 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,187.23 |
+$155.03 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:25am ET | $90.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $92.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,329.64 |
+$142.41 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $96.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $96.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,359.40 |
+$29.76 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $99.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,474.08 |
+$114.68 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.45 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $102.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,569.87 |
+$95.79 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,641.87 |
+$72.00 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $117.35 | 82 | $9,622.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.81 | 82 | $9,988.42 | $10,007.51 |
+$365.64 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $123.81 | 80 | $9,904.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $130.05 | 80 | $10,403.72 | $10,506.43 |
+$498.92 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $133.86 | 78 | $10,441.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $131.35 | 78 | $10,245.30 | $10,310.65 |
$-195.78 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.76 | 83 | $10,189.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $113.93 | 83 | $9,456.60 | $9,578.17 |
$-732.48 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $117.28 | 81 | $9,499.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.45 | 81 | $9,999.45 | $10,077.94 |
+$499.77 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.64 | 81 | $10,014.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.85 | 81 | $10,031.45 | $10,094.55 |
+$16.61 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,094.55
Net Profit/Loss:
+$94.55
Total Return:
+0.95%