Compendium › Reversion › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

+14.71%
2 Years Return
$11,420.55
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$9,955.94
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 06:44:00

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 40.0/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 28.3

30-Day Momentum

48
+12.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 79.1 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
57,699
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,955.94
Current Value
$11,420.55
Total P&L
$1,464.61
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
15
Winners / Losers
10 / 5
Best Trade
+5.53%
Worst Trade
-2.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.95%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$103,762.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,464.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,464.61
Gross Return
+14.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,955.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2024 9:55am ET $46.21 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2024 9:55am ET $46.37 0 $0.00 $9,991.41 +$35.47
(+0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $45.53 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2024 9:35am ET $45.37 0 $0.00 $9,956.37 $-35.04
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $60.72 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 10:45am ET $59.41 0 $0.00 $9,742.84 $-213.53
(-2.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $59.57 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 10:20am ET $58.38 0 $0.00 $9,548.05 $-194.79
(-2.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $52.65 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:55am ET $53.43 0 $0.00 $9,689.23 +$141.18
(+1.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 12:20pm ET $55.42 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $56.07 0 $0.00 $9,802.33 +$113.10
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET $67.59 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 12:50pm ET $66.18 0 $0.00 $9,597.89 $-204.44
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $67.59 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 1:40pm ET $68.28 0 $0.00 $9,695.16 +$97.27
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:35am ET $72.62 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:50am ET $73.38 0 $0.00 $9,795.57 +$100.41
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET $78.93 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:10am ET $77.25 0 $0.00 $9,587.87 $-207.70
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $78.75 121 $9,528.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $78.96 121 $9,554.76 $9,614.49 +$26.62
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $78.79 122 $9,612.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:45am ET $82.91 122 $10,115.01 $10,116.51 +$502.02
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $79.37 127 $10,079.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $83.42 127 $10,594.34 $10,630.86 +$514.35
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.3d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET $82.28 129 $10,614.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $86.83 129 $11,201.07 $11,217.81 +$586.95
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $89.75 124 $11,129.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $91.39 124 $11,332.36 $11,420.55 +$202.74
(+1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,420.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,420.55
Total Return: +14.21%
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