Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-22 13:41:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
8.0/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 29.1/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 20.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
60,946
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-24 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
528 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,819.64
Total P&L
$819.64
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+5.97%
Worst Trade
-3.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
6.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$158,592.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$819.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$819.64
Gross Return
+8.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 528 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $385.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 12:05pm ET $389.64 0 $0.00 $10,099.75 +$99.75
(+1.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $411.06 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $395.98 0 $0.00 $9,737.83 $-361.92
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:35am ET $394.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 1:15pm ET $386.56 0 $0.00 $9,542.47 $-195.36
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $370.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $385.51 0 $0.00 $9,914.72 +$372.25
(+4.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $473.43 20 $9,468.65
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $471.49 20 $9,429.80 $9,875.87 $-38.85
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $470.97 20 $9,419.40
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $452.53 20 $9,050.60 $9,507.07 $-368.80
(-3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $451.95 21 $9,490.95
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $478.92 21 $10,057.32 $10,073.44 +$566.37
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $480.48 20 $9,609.60
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $493.81 20 $9,876.20 $10,340.04 +$266.60
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $492.82 20 $9,856.40
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $496.21 20 $9,924.20 $10,407.84 +$67.80
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 11:10am ET $496.12 20 $9,922.40
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:10am ET $495.08 20 $9,901.70 $10,387.14 $-20.70
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:25am ET $494.26 21 $10,379.46
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:25am ET $511.01 21 $10,731.21 $10,738.89 +$351.75
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $509.37 21 $10,696.77
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $513.22 21 $10,777.52 $10,819.64 +$80.75
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,819.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$819.64
Total Return: +8.20%
Back to Reversion