Compendium › Reversion › DIS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIS
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-22 17:35:00+00 • 31 trades executed

-4.82%
2 Years Return
$9,672.94
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$10,162.90
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 13:41:08

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
10.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 16.3/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 12.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,966
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-24 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,162.90
Current Value
$9,672.94
Total P&L
$-489.96
Max Drawdown
-4.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
26
Winners / Losers
17 / 9
Best Trade
+5.28%
Worst Trade
-7.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$163,018.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-489.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-489.96
Gross Return
-4.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,162.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2024 9:30am ET $90.53 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2024 10:15am ET $91.49 0 $0.00 $10,270.42 +$107.52
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $87.18 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $88.12 0 $0.00 $10,379.81 +$109.39
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2024 9:30am ET $86.80 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 9:55am ET $87.96 0 $0.00 $10,517.26 +$137.45
(+1.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2024 9:30am ET $84.22 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 10:10am ET $85.16 0 $0.00 $10,634.07 +$116.81
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2024 9:35am ET $111.21 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2024 3:50pm ET $112.39 0 $0.00 $10,746.17 +$112.10
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:40am ET $110.06 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2025 9:40am ET $110.64 0 $0.00 $10,802.10 +$55.93
(+0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET $100.10 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 10:55am ET $97.80 0 $0.00 $10,556.53 $-245.57
(-2.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $93.24 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 10:45am ET $91.14 0 $0.00 $10,319.06 $-237.47
(-2.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $85.89 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:45am ET $86.83 0 $0.00 $10,431.86 +$112.80
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $81.28 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:50am ET $82.21 0 $0.00 $10,550.90 +$119.04
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $88.03 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 10:10am ET $86.12 0 $0.00 $10,323.49 $-227.41
(-2.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $89.51 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 3:45pm ET $90.52 0 $0.00 $10,439.64 +$116.15
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $116.40 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $118.74 0 $0.00 $10,647.90 +$208.26
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET $113.59 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 10:05am ET $114.89 0 $0.00 $10,768.80 +$120.90
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $106.79 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 3:35pm ET $107.97 0 $0.00 $10,887.30 +$118.50
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $109.00 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET $110.34 0 $0.00 $11,019.95 +$132.65
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $105.05 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET $106.19 0 $0.00 $11,138.51 +$118.56
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:50am ET $105.30 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET $102.57 0 $0.00 $10,851.86 $-286.65
(-2.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $100.93 107 $10,799.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $99.21 107 $10,615.58 $10,667.93 $-183.93
(-1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $100.15 106 $10,615.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:05am ET $93.12 106 $9,870.72 $9,922.75 $-745.18
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $96.95 102 $9,888.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $98.91 102 $10,088.82 $10,122.67 +$199.92
(+2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
11.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $102.20 99 $10,117.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $102.62 99 $10,159.38 $10,164.25 +$41.58
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:50am ET $101.17 100 $10,117.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $106.51 100 $10,651.50 $10,698.75 +$534.50
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
24 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $109.70 97 $10,640.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $102.68 97 $9,960.44 $10,018.30 $-680.45
(-6.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.9d held
25 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $103.71 96 $9,956.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $103.25 96 $9,911.66 $9,973.80 $-44.50
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $101.66 98 $9,962.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $98.59 98 $9,661.82 $9,672.94 $-300.86
(-3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,672.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-327.06
Total Return: -3.27%
Back to Reversion