Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:53:08

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 31.2/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 23.7

30-Day Momentum

8
+1.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.2 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,549
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
515 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,787.57
Current Value
$10,831.54
Total P&L
$1,043.97
Max Drawdown
-4.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
23
Winners / Losers
16 / 7
Best Trade
+5.01%
Worst Trade
-5.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.47%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$109,311.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,043.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,043.97
Gross Return
+10.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 515 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,787.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 9, 2024 10:15am ET $73.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2024 10:15am ET $72.75 0 $0.00 $9,705.11 $-82.46
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2024 9:30am ET $86.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2024 9:50am ET $87.35 0 $0.00 $9,828.31 +$123.20
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET $91.21 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2024 9:30am ET $93.03 0 $0.00 $10,023.05 +$194.74
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 13, 2024 9:35am ET $89.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 13, 2024 10:10am ET $90.64 0 $0.00 $10,131.83 +$108.78
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2025 9:30am ET $107.96 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2025 9:30am ET $106.32 0 $0.00 $9,979.31 $-152.52
(-1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $104.39 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $106.90 0 $0.00 $10,217.76 +$238.45
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $100.85 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 9:45am ET $102.47 0 $0.00 $10,380.88 +$163.12
(+1.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 9:30am ET $101.71 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 10:35am ET $103.04 0 $0.00 $10,516.54 +$135.66
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:50am ET $100.28 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 12:50pm ET $98.22 0 $0.00 $10,302.30 $-214.24
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $95.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 10:15am ET $96.93 0 $0.00 $10,437.66 +$135.36
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:30am ET $101.34 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:30pm ET $102.40 0 $0.00 $10,547.36 +$109.70
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 11:00am ET $107.21 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 11:40am ET $108.34 0 $0.00 $10,658.66 +$111.30
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 9:30am ET $110.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 9:40am ET $112.13 0 $0.00 $10,815.14 +$156.48
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 9:30am ET $116.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 11:20am ET $117.62 0 $0.00 $10,935.66 +$120.52
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $112.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 9:30am ET $114.04 0 $0.00 $11,103.96 +$168.30
(+1.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:55am ET $120.33 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 3:45pm ET $117.57 0 $0.00 $10,850.04 $-253.92
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $122.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:15am ET $124.23 0 $0.00 $10,974.12 +$124.08
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET $118.74 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $120.42 0 $0.00 $11,128.68 +$154.56
(+1.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $142.86 77 $11,000.22
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $145.10 77 $11,173.08 $11,301.54 +$172.86
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $143.93 78 $11,226.93
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $135.71 78 $10,585.38 $10,659.99 $-641.55
(-5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $135.79 78 $10,591.62
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $142.60 78 $11,122.41 $11,190.78 +$530.79
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $137.97 81 $11,175.57
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $133.95 81 $10,849.95 $10,865.16 $-325.62
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $131.83 82 $10,810.06
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $131.42 82 $10,776.44 $10,831.54 $-33.62
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,831.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$831.54
Total Return: +8.32%
Back to Reversion