Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:39:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 11.6/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 8.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
86,234
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,040.61
Current Value
$9,726.62
Total P&L
$-313.99
Max Drawdown
-10.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
7 / 7
Best Trade
+3.87%
Worst Trade
-5.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$73,298.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-313.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-313.99
Gross Return
-3.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,040.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $208.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $196.96 0 $0.00 $9,472.29 $-568.32
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $198.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 10:00am ET $201.81 0 $0.00 $9,640.08 +$167.79
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:55pm ET $224.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:40pm ET $219.14 0 $0.00 $9,401.10 $-238.98
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $204.88 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 1:10pm ET $207.03 0 $0.00 $9,497.85 +$96.75
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $194.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 10:15am ET $190.91 0 $0.00 $9,305.13 $-192.72
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $182.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:25am ET $178.86 0 $0.00 $9,101.63 $-203.50
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $174.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:55am ET $177.03 0 $0.00 $9,213.95 +$112.32
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $184.86 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:20am ET $180.90 0 $0.00 $9,019.91 $-194.04
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:35am ET $191.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 11:10am ET $193.27 0 $0.00 $9,114.38 +$94.47
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET $214.28 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $216.53 0 $0.00 $9,208.88 +$94.50
(+1.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 36 $9,043.56
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $250.30 36 $9,010.80 $9,176.12 $-32.76
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $248.54 36 $8,947.44
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $245.09 36 $8,823.24 $9,051.92 $-124.20
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $250.83 36 $9,029.88
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $260.53 36 $9,379.08 $9,401.12 +$349.20
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $267.70 35 $9,369.50
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $277.00 35 $9,695.00 $9,726.62 +$325.50
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,726.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-273.38
Total Return: -2.73%
Back to Reversion