OXY Reversion's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 43 trades executed
-17.84%
2 Years Return
$8,298.53
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$10,100.50
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
10.7/100
× Confidence 0.83
= 8.9
30-Day Momentum
0
-13.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
71,253
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,100.50
Current Value
$8,298.53
Total P&L
$-1,801.97
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
42
Winners / Losers
23 /
19
Best Trade
+5.34%
Worst Trade
-9.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$128,071.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,801.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,801.97
Gross Return
-17.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,100.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $59.27 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2024 11:15am ET | $59.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,208.45 |
+$107.95 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 9:35am ET | $57.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 11:05am ET | $56.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,005.22 |
$-203.23 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $55.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:45am ET | $55.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,121.97 |
+$116.75 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2024 9:30am ET | $57.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $57.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,067.67 |
$-54.30 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $50.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 20, 2024 12:40pm ET | $51.42 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,168.14 |
+$100.47 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $50.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 27, 2024 9:30am ET | $50.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,207.55 |
+$39.41 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2024 9:30am ET | $54.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $53.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,142.69 |
$-64.86 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2024 9:30am ET | $53.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $52.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,820.27 |
$-322.42 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2024 9:35am ET | $52.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2024 9:35am ET | $51.84 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,786.43 |
$-33.84 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2024 9:45am ET | $49.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 12:35pm ET | $49.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,897.61 |
+$111.18 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 6, 2024 9:50am ET | $47.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $48.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,024.51 |
+$126.90 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,686.41 |
$-338.10 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 1:15pm ET | $47.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 2:45pm ET | $46.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,480.67 |
$-205.74 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2025 11:30am ET | $44.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,267.46 |
$-213.21 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $45.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,066.46 |
$-201.00 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:50am ET | $40.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,833.19 |
$-233.27 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:50am ET | $38.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,956.85 |
+$123.66 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $37.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,743.41 |
$-213.44 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 9:40am ET | $38.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,847.83 |
+$104.42 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:40am ET | $39.27 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,953.58 |
+$105.75 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,958.12 |
+$4.54 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.61 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 2:25pm ET | $43.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,050.44 |
+$92.32 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,061.19 |
+$10.75 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 11:50am ET | $40.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,164.46 |
+$103.27 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 2:00pm ET | $43.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 11:15am ET | $42.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,965.91 |
$-198.55 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $42.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 11:40am ET | $43.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,055.78 |
+$89.87 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 10:15am ET | $46.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $46.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,960.72 |
$-95.06 (-1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $46.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:10am ET | $45.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,746.51 |
$-214.21 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,781.87 |
+$35.36 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 1:20pm ET | $41.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,877.72 |
+$95.85 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.42 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,819.42 |
$-58.30 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $41.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $40.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,637.10 |
$-182.32 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $43.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,730.10 |
+$93.00 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $44.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,817.22 |
+$87.12 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,838.56 |
+$21.34 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $53.88 | 164 | $8,835.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.71 | 164 | $9,299.62 | $9,302.68 |
+$464.12 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.40 | 162 | $9,298.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET | $60.28 | 162 | $9,764.91 | $9,768.79 |
+$466.11 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET | $60.94 | 160 | $9,751.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:50pm ET | $64.20 | 160 | $10,272.02 | $10,289.61 |
+$520.82 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $66.37 | 155 | $10,287.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $61.52 | 155 | $9,535.60 | $9,537.86 |
$-751.75 (-7.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $62.79 | 151 | $9,481.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.00 | 151 | $8,607.00 | $8,663.57 |
$-874.29 (-9.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $59.79 | 144 | $8,609.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $55.58 | 144 | $8,004.24 | $8,058.05 |
$-605.52 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $55.85 | 144 | $8,041.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.51 | 144 | $8,282.16 | $8,298.53 |
+$240.48 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,298.53
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,701.47
Total Return:
-17.01%