Compendium › Reversion › PFE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PFE
Alpaca Tradeable

Reversion's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 25 trades executed

+10.72%
2 Years Return
$11,036.89
Current Value
78%
Win Rate
$9,968.32
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:22:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
8.8/25
Win Rate
12.0/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 40.0/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 30.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
79,980
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,968.32
Current Value
$11,036.89
Total P&L
$1,068.57
Max Drawdown
-2.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
23
Winners / Losers
18 / 5
Best Trade
+1.29%
Worst Trade
-4.83%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$90,845.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,068.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,068.57
Gross Return
+10.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $9,968.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 9, 2024 9:30am ET $27.54 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 9, 2024 11:05am ET $27.83 0 $0.00 $10,073.30 +$104.98
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2024 9:30am ET $27.96 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2024 9:30am ET $27.93 0 $0.00 $10,065.67 $-7.63
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2024 1:20pm ET $27.11 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2024 1:30pm ET $27.43 0 $0.00 $10,187.32 +$121.65
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2024 10:25am ET $30.10 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2024 11:25am ET $30.42 0 $0.00 $10,297.20 +$109.88
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $29.28 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:40am ET $29.60 0 $0.00 $10,407.76 +$110.56
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 16, 2024 10:05am ET $27.89 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 16, 2024 10:55am ET $28.20 0 $0.00 $10,523.39 +$115.63
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2024 9:45am ET $28.82 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2024 10:10am ET $29.14 0 $0.00 $10,641.65 +$118.26
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2024 9:40am ET $29.42 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 10:30am ET $29.73 0 $0.00 $10,750.85 +$109.20
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $27.28 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 1:15pm ET $27.61 0 $0.00 $10,882.76 +$131.91
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 9:30am ET $24.88 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 10:25am ET $25.13 0 $0.00 $10,994.20 +$111.44
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2025 9:30am ET $26.28 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2025 9:50am ET $26.62 0 $0.00 $11,136.32 +$142.12
(+1.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2025 10:25am ET $25.64 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2025 12:00pm ET $25.91 0 $0.00 $11,252.20 +$115.88
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $23.91 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 10:10am ET $23.41 0 $0.00 $11,014.85 $-237.35
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $22.07 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:55am ET $22.29 0 $0.00 $11,127.12 +$112.27
(+1.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $21.15 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 10:00am ET $21.40 0 $0.00 $11,255.99 +$128.87
(+1.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 9:40am ET $22.47 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $22.76 0 $0.00 $11,397.99 +$142.00
(+1.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:00am ET $25.05 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 11:40am ET $25.38 0 $0.00 $11,544.00 +$146.01
(+1.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $25.95 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET $25.42 0 $0.00 $11,306.46 $-237.54
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $25.60 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:15am ET $25.89 0 $0.00 $11,432.67 +$126.21
(+1.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $26.35 433 $11,409.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $26.58 433 $11,509.14 $11,532.26 +$99.59
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $27.23 423 $11,518.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $27.47 423 $11,619.81 $11,633.78 +$101.52
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
12d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $28.24 412 $11,632.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $26.87 412 $11,070.44 $11,071.40 $-562.38
(-4.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.17 407 $11,060.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.09 407 $11,025.71 $11,036.89 $-34.51
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,036.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,036.89
Total Return: +10.37%
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