Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:52:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 8.8/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 5.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,516
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
522 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,296.86
Total P&L
$-703.14
Max Drawdown
-2.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+1.76%
Worst Trade
-6.60%
Avg Trade Return
-0.71%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$75,720.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-703.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-703.14
Gross Return
-7.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 522 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Reversion had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2024 9:30am ET $159.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2024 3:15pm ET $161.26 0 $0.00 $10,115.32 +$115.32
(+1.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET $165.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 14, 2025 3:45pm ET $162.58 0 $0.00 $9,912.82 $-202.50
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $160.45 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $162.60 0 $0.00 $10,043.97 +$131.15
(+1.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $160.22 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 11:05am ET $156.99 0 $0.00 $9,843.40 $-200.57
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET $144.58 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $147.12 0 $0.00 $10,016.12 +$172.72
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET $139.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 9:35am ET $139.90 0 $0.00 $10,023.58 +$7.46
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $153.63 65 $9,985.63
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $151.39 65 $9,840.35 $9,878.30 $-145.28
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $152.78 64 $9,777.92
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $142.69 64 $9,132.16 $9,232.54 $-645.76
(-6.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET $144.01 64 $9,216.32
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $145.64 64 $9,320.96 $9,337.18 +$104.64
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $144.43 64 $9,243.52
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $143.80 64 $9,203.20 $9,296.86 $-40.32
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,296.86
Net Profit/Loss: $-703.14
Total Return: -7.03%
Back to Reversion