Compendium › Squeeze Monday › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Squeeze Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 11 trades executed

-14.10%
2 Years Return
$8,247.29
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,600.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:41:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.9/10
Raw Quality 2.9/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 1.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,511
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,600.98
Current Value
$8,247.29
Total P&L
$-1,353.69
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.45

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+5.06%
Worst Trade
-4.92%
Avg Trade Return
-1.83%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$141,732.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,353.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,353.69
Gross Return
-14.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Squeeze Monday had $9,600.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2024 10:35am ET $334.95 29 $9,600.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2024 3:55pm ET $328.75 29 $9,423.26 $9,423.26 $-177.72
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2025 9:30am ET $302.93 31 $9,423.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $289.70 31 $9,011.71 $9,011.71 $-411.55
(-4.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 12:35pm ET $288.05 31 $9,011.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $285.84 31 $8,942.57 $8,942.57 $-69.14
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $292.77 31 $8,942.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $278.38 31 $8,503.03 $8,503.03 $-439.54
(-4.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 9:45am ET $276.80 31 $8,503.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $290.80 31 $8,933.10 $8,933.10 +$430.07
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $283.42 32 $8,933.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $270.43 32 $8,523.82 $8,523.82 $-409.28
(-4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $267.76 32 $8,523.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $270.30 32 $8,604.68 $8,604.68 +$80.86
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $360.91 24 $8,604.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $345.92 24 $8,247.29 $8,247.29 $-357.39
(-4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,247.29
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,752.71
Total Return: -17.53%
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