Compendium › Squeeze Monday › MS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MS
Alpaca Tradeable

Squeeze Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 15 trades executed

-1.30%
2 Years Return
$9,745.71
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$9,874.41
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:23:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
46.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
27.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,267
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,874.41
Current Value
$9,745.71
Total P&L
$-128.70
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+7.43%
Worst Trade
-9.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$191,598.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-128.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-128.70
Gross Return
-1.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Squeeze Monday had $9,874.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 10:00am ET $102.32 97 $9,874.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2024 3:55pm ET $101.76 97 $9,820.37 $9,820.37 $-54.04
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2024 10:00am ET $100.98 97 $9,820.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2024 3:55pm ET $100.13 97 $9,737.71 $9,737.71 $-82.66
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2024 10:30am ET $98.78 99 $9,737.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2024 3:55pm ET $98.18 99 $9,678.56 $9,678.56 $-59.15
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2024 10:25am ET $96.16 101 $9,678.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $97.00 101 $9,763.61 $9,763.61 +$85.05
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $109.86 89 $9,763.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $99.83 89 $8,872.21 $8,872.21 $-891.40
(-9.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $99.23 89 $8,872.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $106.60 89 $9,531.17 $9,531.17 +$658.96
(+7.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $109.85 87 $9,531.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $109.16 87 $9,471.30 $9,471.30 $-59.87
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2025 10:15am ET $114.74 83 $9,471.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $115.30 83 $9,517.53 $9,517.53 +$46.23
(+0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $118.11 81 $9,517.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $119.09 81 $9,596.50 $9,596.50 +$78.97
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:45am ET $126.70 76 $9,596.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $128.67 76 $9,745.71 $9,745.71 +$149.21
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,745.71
Net Profit/Loss: $-254.29
Total Return: -2.54%
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