Compendium › Storm Monday › ABBV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ABBV
Alpaca Tradeable

Storm Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 13 trades executed

+5.75%
2 Years Return
$11,799.21
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$11,157.23
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.6/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
15.0/15
Profit Factor
5.7/15
Consistency
9.0/10
Raw Quality 52.9/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 34.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,991
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
516 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,157.23
Current Value
$11,799.21
Total P&L
$641.98
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+4.87%
Worst Trade
-5.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.86%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$158,425.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$641.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$641.98
Gross Return
+5.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 516 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Storm Monday had $11,157.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $186.34 60 $11,157.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $190.33 60 $11,396.13 $11,396.13 +$238.90
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $179.00 64 $11,396.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $174.07 64 $11,082.57 $11,082.57 $-313.56
(-2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $172.12 64 $11,082.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $180.50 64 $11,622.48 $11,622.48 +$539.91
(+4.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:50am ET $196.51 59 $11,622.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $185.57 59 $10,975.44 $10,975.44 $-647.04
(-5.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET $184.29 60 $10,975.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $187.42 60 $11,161.85 $11,161.85 +$186.41
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET $204.80 55 $11,161.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $210.93 55 $11,495.94 $11,495.94 +$334.09
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $206.97 56 $11,495.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $212.43 56 $11,799.21 $11,799.21 +$303.27
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,799.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,799.21
Total Return: +17.99%
Back to Storm Monday