Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:52:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
39.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
8.8/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,548
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
523 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,905.22
Current Value
$9,854.98
Total P&L
$-50.24
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+0.43%
Worst Trade
-1.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$98,166.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-50.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-50.24
Gross Return
-0.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 523 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Storm Monday had $9,905.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 10:30am ET $162.17 61 $9,905.22
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 3:55pm ET $160.29 61 $9,790.39 $9,790.39 $-114.83
(-1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2024 10:15am ET $158.81 62 $9,790.39
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 3:55pm ET $159.13 62 $9,810.12 $9,810.12 +$19.73
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $149.08 66 $9,810.12
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $148.63 66 $9,780.51 $9,780.51 $-29.61
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:50am ET $154.96 63 $9,780.51
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $155.62 63 $9,822.18 $9,822.18 +$41.67
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $153.13 64 $9,822.18
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $153.64 64 $9,854.98 $9,854.98 +$32.80
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,854.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-145.02
Total Return: -1.45%
Back to Storm Monday