Compendium › Storm Monday › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Storm Monday's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 15 trades executed

+48.73%
2 Years Return
$15,529.89
Current Value
90%
Win Rate
$10,441.99
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:22:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
15.0/15
Profit Factor
11.9/15
Consistency
9.0/10
Raw Quality 85.4/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 56.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
76,802
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,441.99
Current Value
$15,529.89
Total P&L
$5,087.90
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.58

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
9 / 1
Best Trade
+19.81%
Worst Trade
-7.99%
Avg Trade Return
+4.25%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$255,830.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,087.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,087.90
Gross Return
+48.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+48.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Storm Monday had $10,441.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2024 9:30am ET $497.47 21 $10,441.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2024 3:55pm ET $501.64 21 $10,529.57 $10,529.57 +$87.58
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $459.39 23 $10,529.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET $488.93 23 $11,206.75 $11,206.75 +$677.18
(+6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2024 10:45am ET $504.48 22 $11,206.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2024 3:55pm ET $511.98 22 $11,373.36 $11,373.36 +$166.61
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2024 9:30am ET $517.81 22 $11,373.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2024 3:55pm ET $537.75 22 $11,811.33 $11,811.33 +$437.97
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET $555.60 21 $11,811.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $583.91 21 $12,413.16 $12,413.16 +$601.83
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $488.05 25 $12,413.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $584.71 25 $14,871.63 $14,871.63 +$2,458.47
(+19.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 10:30am ET $545.93 27 $14,871.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $502.31 27 $13,683.38 $13,683.38 $-1,188.25
(-8.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $492.56 28 $13,683.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $520.01 28 $14,446.09 $14,446.09 +$762.71
(+5.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $591.10 24 $14,446.09 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $597.15 24 $14,593.95 $14,593.95 +$147.86
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $574.83 25 $14,593.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $611.70 25 $15,529.89 $15,529.89 +$935.94
(+6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,529.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,529.89
Total Return: +55.30%
Back to Storm Monday