Compendium › Surge › HOOD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HOOD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+3.92%
Last Month Return
$16,906.56
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$16,269.36
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:23:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 31.1/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 29.9

30-Day Momentum

11
+3.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.3 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,269.36
Current Value
$16,906.56
Period P&L
$637.20
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+15.27%
Worst Trade
-5.09%
Avg Trade Return
+1.72%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$99,464.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$637.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$637.20
Gross Return
+3.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $16,269.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.96 211 $16,239.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET $73.04 211 $15,412.49 $15,442.24 $-827.12
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 205 $15,424.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $86.73 205 $17,779.65 $17,797.69 +$2,355.45
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 197 $17,749.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $85.58 197 $16,858.57 $16,906.56 $-891.13
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,906.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,906.56
Total Return: +69.07%
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