Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:30:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.9/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 28.2/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 27.5

30-Day Momentum

51
+25.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 83.6 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,416.60
Current Value
$14,306.67
Period P&L
$2,890.07
Max Drawdown
-21.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.88

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+15.01%
Worst Trade
-5.06%
Avg Trade Return
+8.32%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$71,891.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,890.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,890.07
Gross Return
+25.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,416.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 51 $11,395.70
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $212.13 51 $10,818.88 $10,839.79 $-576.81
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $184.50 58 $10,701.00
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $212.18 58 $12,306.73 $12,445.52 +$1,605.73
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.24 59 $12,403.87
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:40am ET $241.78 59 $14,265.02 $14,306.67 +$1,861.15
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,306.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,306.67
Total Return: +43.07%
Back to Surge