Compendium › Surge › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+32.92%
Last Month Return
$21,488.55
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$16,165.95
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.6/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 34.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 33.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,723
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,165.95
Current Value
$21,488.55
Period P&L
$5,322.60
Max Drawdown
-28.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.90

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+21.47%
Worst Trade
-5.78%
Avg Trade Return
+10.61%
Avg Hold Time
7.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$110,525.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,322.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,322.60
Gross Return
+32.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $16,165.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.49 1,043 $16,156.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.99 1,043 $18,763.57 $18,773.45 +$2,607.50
(+16.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.53 1,070 $18,757.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $16.52 1,070 $17,673.72 $17,690.07 $-1,083.38
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
3 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.58 952 $17,688.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 952 $21,486.64 $21,488.55 +$3,798.48
(+21.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,488.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,488.55
Total Return: +114.89%
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