AAPL Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 57 trades in period
+9.41%
Last Year Return
$9,030.66
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$8,254.25
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality
7.3/100
× Confidence 0.74
= 5.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,634
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$8,254.25
Current Value
$9,030.66
Period P&L
$776.41
Max Drawdown
-30.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
27 /
30
Best Trade
+3.54%
Worst Trade
-2.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$922,470.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$776.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$776.41
Gross Return
+9.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.41%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 57 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,254.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 12:10pm ET | $200.48 | 41 | $8,219.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $198.41 | 41 | $8,134.81 | $8,169.38 |
$-84.87 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 11:40am ET | $198.99 | 41 | $8,158.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 9, 2025 12:10pm ET | $198.47 | 41 | $8,137.27 | $8,148.06 |
$-21.32 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 1:30pm ET | $212.41 | 38 | $8,071.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 2:00pm ET | $211.60 | 38 | $8,040.98 | $8,117.41 |
$-30.65 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 1:05pm ET | $209.14 | 38 | $7,947.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 1:35pm ET | $207.14 | 38 | $7,871.32 | $8,041.36 |
$-76.05 (-1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 10:10am ET | $206.59 | 38 | $7,850.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 1:00pm ET | $203.28 | 38 | $7,724.64 | $7,915.58 |
$-125.78 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 12:10pm ET | $202.12 | 39 | $7,882.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $196.19 | 39 | $7,651.41 | $7,684.31 |
$-231.27 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 11:50am ET | $199.86 | 38 | $7,594.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 12:20pm ET | $201.05 | 38 | $7,639.71 | $7,729.53 |
+$45.22 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 3:35pm ET | $200.19 | 38 | $7,607.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 10:05am ET | $202.48 | 38 | $7,694.24 | $7,816.55 |
+$87.02 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 1:35pm ET | $203.72 | 38 | $7,741.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 2:05pm ET | $203.16 | 38 | $7,720.08 | $7,795.27 |
$-21.28 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 11:25am ET | $204.54 | 38 | $7,772.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 12:45pm ET | $202.24 | 38 | $7,685.12 | $7,707.73 |
$-87.54 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 10:50am ET | $204.21 | 37 | $7,555.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 12:45pm ET | $202.12 | 37 | $7,478.44 | $7,630.40 |
$-77.33 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2025 10:10am ET | $197.08 | 38 | $7,489.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 10:40am ET | $197.79 | 38 | $7,516.09 | $7,657.46 |
+$27.06 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 3:05pm ET | $203.57 | 37 | $7,532.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $208.97 | 37 | $7,731.89 | $7,857.26 |
+$199.80 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 11:00am ET | $209.91 | 37 | $7,766.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 11:35am ET | $207.19 | 37 | $7,666.03 | $7,756.62 |
$-100.64 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 3, 2025 11:40am ET | $214.61 | 36 | $7,725.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $212.28 | 36 | $7,642.08 | $7,672.74 |
$-83.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 11:05am ET | $211.16 | 36 | $7,601.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $208.85 | 36 | $7,518.60 | $7,589.58 |
$-83.16 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 10:25am ET | $212.01 | 35 | $7,420.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 10:55am ET | $210.96 | 35 | $7,383.60 | $7,552.83 |
$-36.75 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 10:15am ET | $212.26 | 35 | $7,429.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 11:15am ET | $209.69 | 35 | $7,339.15 | $7,462.88 |
$-89.95 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 2:00pm ET | $211.72 | 35 | $7,410.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 2:30pm ET | $211.02 | 35 | $7,385.70 | $7,438.38 |
$-24.50 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 10:30am ET | $207.13 | 35 | $7,249.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 12:05pm ET | $204.76 | 35 | $7,166.43 | $7,355.25 |
$-83.13 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $205.02 | 35 | $7,175.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 3:45pm ET | $202.75 | 35 | $7,096.25 | $7,275.80 |
$-79.45 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $211.71 | 34 | $7,198.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $219.21 | 34 | $7,452.97 | $7,530.63 |
+$254.83 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 10:30am ET | $223.31 | 33 | $7,369.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 12:40pm ET | $229.55 | 33 | $7,575.15 | $7,736.72 |
+$206.09 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 10:35am ET | $233.09 | 33 | $7,692.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 11:05am ET | $230.94 | 33 | $7,620.94 | $7,665.67 |
$-71.05 (-0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 10:20am ET | $227.74 | 33 | $7,515.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 10:50am ET | $228.96 | 33 | $7,555.53 | $7,705.95 |
+$40.28 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 12:30pm ET | $227.94 | 33 | $7,522.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 1:00pm ET | $229.84 | 33 | $7,584.72 | $7,768.65 |
+$62.70 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 10:50am ET | $231.72 | 33 | $7,646.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 11:20am ET | $232.84 | 33 | $7,683.72 | $7,805.61 |
+$36.96 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 1:50pm ET | $229.94 | 33 | $7,588.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 2:20pm ET | $233.45 | 33 | $7,703.85 | $7,921.44 |
+$115.83 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 2:25pm ET | $233.54 | 33 | $7,706.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 2:55pm ET | $236.17 | 33 | $7,793.61 | $8,008.23 |
+$86.79 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 12:05pm ET | $243.64 | 32 | $7,796.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $251.76 | 32 | $8,056.32 | $8,268.12 |
+$259.89 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 10:20am ET | $252.59 | 32 | $8,082.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 10:50am ET | $255.60 | 32 | $8,179.20 | $8,364.44 |
+$96.32 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 2:40pm ET | $255.75 | 32 | $8,184.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 3:10pm ET | $255.53 | 32 | $8,176.96 | $8,357.36 |
$-7.08 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 12:05pm ET | $258.10 | 32 | $8,259.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 12:35pm ET | $258.42 | 32 | $8,269.44 | $8,367.76 |
+$10.40 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 12:45pm ET | $247.90 | 33 | $8,180.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 1:15pm ET | $247.95 | 33 | $8,182.19 | $8,369.24 |
+$1.48 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:05pm ET | $250.17 | 33 | $8,255.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $258.88 | 33 | $8,543.04 | $8,656.67 |
+$287.43 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 10:50am ET | $261.21 | 33 | $8,619.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 11:20am ET | $262.73 | 33 | $8,670.09 | $8,706.83 |
+$50.16 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $262.88 | 33 | $8,675.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 11:40am ET | $265.45 | 33 | $8,759.85 | $8,791.64 |
+$84.81 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 3:35pm ET | $267.55 | 32 | $8,561.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $270.67 | 32 | $8,661.44 | $8,891.48 |
+$99.84 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 11:20am ET | $270.89 | 32 | $8,668.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 11:50am ET | $270.19 | 32 | $8,646.08 | $8,869.08 |
$-22.40 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 12:35pm ET | $270.58 | 32 | $8,658.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 1:05pm ET | $271.42 | 32 | $8,685.28 | $8,895.80 |
+$26.72 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 1:10pm ET | $271.22 | 32 | $8,679.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 12:45pm ET | $268.42 | 32 | $8,589.44 | $8,806.20 |
$-89.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 2:15pm ET | $275.20 | 31 | $8,531.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 2:45pm ET | $274.39 | 31 | $8,506.09 | $8,781.09 |
$-25.11 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:40am ET | $274.11 | 32 | $8,771.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $269.42 | 32 | $8,621.45 | $8,631.02 |
$-150.07 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:20am ET | $272.02 | 31 | $8,432.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:45pm ET | $269.13 | 31 | $8,343.03 | $8,541.43 |
$-89.59 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:45am ET | $270.52 | 31 | $8,386.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 11:15am ET | $275.09 | 31 | $8,527.79 | $8,683.10 |
+$141.67 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 3:35pm ET | $276.86 | 31 | $8,582.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $277.41 | 31 | $8,599.71 | $8,700.31 |
+$17.21 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 12:25pm ET | $279.77 | 31 | $8,672.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:55am ET | $286.96 | 31 | $8,895.62 | $8,923.04 |
+$222.73 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 11:00am ET | $287.11 | 31 | $8,900.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 11:30am ET | $286.65 | 31 | $8,886.00 | $8,908.62 |
$-14.42 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 3:30pm ET | $274.93 | 32 | $8,797.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $271.86 | 32 | $8,699.52 | $8,810.38 |
$-98.24 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:30pm ET | $258.58 | 34 | $8,791.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $258.61 | 34 | $8,792.74 | $8,811.40 |
+$1.02 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 2:55pm ET | $261.13 | 33 | $8,617.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $259.02 | 33 | $8,547.66 | $8,741.77 |
$-69.63 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $249.87 | 34 | $8,495.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $247.30 | 34 | $8,408.20 | $8,654.39 |
$-87.38 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $248.14 | 34 | $8,436.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $254.46 | 34 | $8,651.64 | $8,869.27 |
+$214.88 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $254.70 | 34 | $8,659.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $260.80 | 34 | $8,867.20 | $9,076.67 |
+$207.40 (+2.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $258.28 | 35 | $9,039.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $254.00 | 35 | $8,890.00 | $8,926.87 |
$-149.80 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $265.04 | 33 | $8,746.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $271.07 | 33 | $8,945.31 | $9,125.86 |
+$198.99 (+2.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 57 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $278.85 | 32 | $8,923.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:15pm ET | $275.88 | 32 | $8,828.00 | $9,030.66 |
$-95.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,030.66
Net Profit/Loss:
$-969.34
Total Return:
-9.69%