Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:46:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.8/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 17.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,999
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,381.91
Current Value
$11,616.77
Period P&L
$1,234.86
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
31 / 39
Best Trade
+4.17%
Worst Trade
-3.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,474,677.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,234.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,234.86
Gross Return
+11.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,381.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 11:30am ET $188.94 54 $10,202.76
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 10:00am ET $182.60 54 $9,860.13 $10,039.28 $-342.63
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 1:10pm ET $186.59 53 $9,889.27
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 1:40pm ET $187.12 53 $9,917.36 $10,067.37 +$28.09
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 10:45am ET $189.32 53 $10,033.96
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 10:25am ET $187.27 53 $9,925.37 $9,958.78 $-108.59
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 12:50pm ET $178.63 55 $9,824.65
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 1:20pm ET $182.70 55 $10,048.50 $10,182.63 +$223.85
(+2.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 3:10pm ET $183.25 55 $10,078.48
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 3:40pm ET $185.59 55 $10,207.18 $10,311.33 +$128.70
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $185.66 55 $10,211.30
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 11:00am ET $183.74 55 $10,105.70 $10,205.73 $-105.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 1:30pm ET $182.86 55 $10,057.30
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 2:00pm ET $184.00 55 $10,120.00 $10,268.43 +$62.70
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 2:05pm ET $183.95 55 $10,117.25
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 2:35pm ET $185.76 55 $10,216.80 $10,367.98 +$99.55
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 2:40pm ET $185.73 55 $10,214.88
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 1:55pm ET $183.81 55 $10,109.55 $10,262.65 $-105.33
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 10:05am ET $186.48 55 $10,256.40
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 10:05am ET $184.43 55 $10,143.65 $10,149.90 $-112.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 3:15pm ET $186.22 54 $10,055.88
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:00am ET $183.51 54 $9,909.55 $10,003.57 $-146.33
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 2:30pm ET $186.82 53 $9,901.55
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 3:00pm ET $188.06 53 $9,967.18 $10,069.20 +$65.63
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 11:00am ET $188.36 53 $9,983.08
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 11:30am ET $190.31 53 $10,086.43 $10,172.55 +$103.35
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 11:15am ET $191.79 53 $10,164.87
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 11:45am ET $191.96 53 $10,173.88 $10,181.56 +$9.01
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 10:45am ET $186.24 54 $10,056.96
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 11:15am ET $185.69 54 $10,027.26 $10,151.86 $-29.70
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 1:50pm ET $185.68 54 $10,026.45
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 2:20pm ET $185.32 54 $10,007.29 $10,132.70 $-19.16
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 10:35am ET $188.80 53 $10,006.14
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 1:15pm ET $186.45 53 $9,881.85 $10,008.41 $-124.29
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 10:10am ET $184.68 54 $9,972.72
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 10:40am ET $188.25 54 $10,165.50 $10,201.19 +$192.78
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:45am ET $188.16 54 $10,160.64
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 11:15am ET $191.58 54 $10,345.05 $10,385.60 +$184.41
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:20am ET $191.16 54 $10,322.64
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $188.49 54 $10,178.46 $10,241.42 $-144.18
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:05am ET $193.11 53 $10,234.83
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:35am ET $191.92 53 $10,171.76 $10,178.35 $-63.07
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 10:30am ET $190.69 53 $10,106.57
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 11:00am ET $190.00 53 $10,069.74 $10,141.52 $-36.83
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 12:55pm ET $191.13 53 $10,129.63
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 12:40pm ET $188.95 53 $10,014.37 $10,026.26 $-115.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 11:45am ET $188.66 53 $9,998.72
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:15pm ET $190.97 53 $10,121.41 $10,148.96 +$122.70
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 10:35am ET $191.29 53 $10,138.37
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 11:05am ET $191.25 53 $10,136.25 $10,146.84 $-2.12
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 3:45pm ET $197.00 51 $10,047.00
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 10:00am ET $194.92 51 $9,940.92 $10,040.76 $-106.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 1:15pm ET $196.91 50 $9,845.50
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 1:45pm ET $197.68 50 $9,884.00 $10,079.26 +$38.50
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 12:05pm ET $199.30 50 $9,965.00
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 10:35am ET $197.23 50 $9,861.50 $9,975.76 $-103.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 11:10am ET $203.85 48 $9,784.56
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 11:40am ET $205.02 48 $9,840.96 $10,032.16 +$56.40
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 1:50pm ET $206.68 48 $9,920.40
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 2:20pm ET $206.51 48 $9,912.24 $10,024.00 $-8.16
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 11:15am ET $211.93 47 $9,960.71
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 3:15pm ET $209.80 47 $9,860.37 $9,923.65 $-100.35
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 2:25pm ET $210.18 47 $9,878.46
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 2:55pm ET $211.43 47 $9,937.21 $9,982.40 +$58.75
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 2:10pm ET $211.55 47 $9,942.85
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 10:00am ET $220.37 47 $10,357.39 $10,396.94 +$414.54
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 11:00am ET $221.02 47 $10,387.94
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 11:30am ET $220.84 47 $10,379.27 $10,388.27 $-8.67
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 10:35am ET $223.80 46 $10,294.79
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 11:05am ET $223.26 46 $10,269.96 $10,363.44 $-24.83
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 3:30pm ET $222.20 46 $10,220.97
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 12:05pm ET $227.77 46 $10,477.19 $10,619.66 +$256.22
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 12:10pm ET $227.71 46 $10,474.43
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET $236.50 46 $10,878.83 $11,024.06 +$404.40
(+3.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:20am ET $237.89 46 $10,942.71
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 3:00pm ET $243.84 46 $11,216.64 $11,297.99 +$273.93
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:35am ET $232.81 48 $11,174.88
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 10:05am ET $230.46 48 $11,062.08 $11,185.19 $-112.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 3:15pm ET $232.91 48 $11,179.68
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:45pm ET $231.80 48 $11,126.40 $11,131.91 $-53.28
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:15am ET $234.19 47 $11,006.93
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 1:25pm ET $231.61 47 $10,885.47 $11,010.45 $-121.46
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 12:55pm ET $227.90 48 $10,939.20
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 1:25pm ET $228.83 48 $10,983.84 $11,055.09 +$44.64
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 10:30am ET $228.02 48 $10,944.72
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 11:00am ET $226.83 48 $10,887.70 $10,998.07 $-57.02
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:15am ET $229.39 47 $10,781.33
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 2:20pm ET $227.04 47 $10,670.88 $10,887.62 $-110.45
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 10:50am ET $218.02 49 $10,682.98
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 11:20am ET $218.59 49 $10,710.91 $10,915.55 +$27.93
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:50am ET $222.81 48 $10,694.88
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $228.47 48 $10,966.32 $11,186.99 +$271.44
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:15am ET $229.45 48 $11,013.60
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $237.72 48 $11,410.56 $11,583.95 +$396.96
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 11:20am ET $238.64 48 $11,454.72
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 2:00pm ET $236.25 48 $11,340.00 $11,469.23 $-114.72
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 2:45pm ET $234.95 48 $11,277.60
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $232.44 48 $11,157.12 $11,348.75 $-120.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET $235.75 48 $11,316.12
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 11:05am ET $234.67 48 $11,263.92 $11,296.55 $-52.20
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:25am ET $227.91 49 $11,167.59
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:55am ET $229.29 49 $11,235.21 $11,364.17 +$67.62
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:35am ET $228.19 49 $11,181.31
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET $224.55 49 $11,002.71 $11,185.56 $-178.61
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:15am ET $225.74 49 $11,061.26
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:45am ET $225.01 49 $11,025.49 $11,149.79 $-35.77
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET $226.32 49 $11,089.68
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:40am ET $225.98 49 $11,073.02 $11,133.13 $-16.66
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 12:05pm ET $228.27 48 $10,956.96
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 12:35pm ET $229.20 48 $11,001.60 $11,177.77 +$44.64
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 10:05am ET $231.86 48 $11,129.28
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 10:15am ET $229.34 48 $11,008.32 $11,056.81 $-120.96
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $229.43 48 $11,012.64
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $220.75 48 $10,596.00 $10,640.17 $-416.64
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:45am ET $229.68 46 $10,565.28
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $235.97 46 $10,854.62 $10,929.51 +$289.34
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:10am ET $216.89 50 $10,844.50
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $214.67 50 $10,733.25 $10,818.26 $-111.25
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET $213.97 50 $10,698.50
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $214.90 50 $10,745.00 $10,864.76 +$46.50
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $216.08 50 $10,804.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $218.09 50 $10,904.50 $10,965.26 +$100.50
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $218.15 50 $10,907.50
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $219.05 50 $10,952.50 $11,010.26 +$45.00
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:20am ET $223.97 49 $10,974.53
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $221.44 49 $10,850.56 $10,886.29 $-123.97
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:55am ET $221.60 49 $10,858.40
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET $221.20 49 $10,838.80 $10,866.69 $-19.60
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $222.65 48 $10,687.20
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET $229.02 48 $10,992.96 $11,172.45 +$305.76
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $212.81 52 $11,066.12
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $218.55 52 $11,364.60 $11,470.93 +$298.48
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $221.83 51 $11,313.33
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $221.67 51 $11,305.17 $11,462.77 $-8.16
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $225.50 50 $11,275.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $222.79 50 $11,139.50 $11,327.27 $-135.50
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $224.79 50 $11,239.50
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $231.26 50 $11,563.25 $11,651.02 +$323.75
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
70 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET $232.24 50 $11,611.75
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $231.55 50 $11,577.50 $11,616.77 $-34.25
(-0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,616.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,616.77
Total Return: +16.17%
Back to Surge