Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:17:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,674
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,174.72
Current Value
$5,927.17
Period P&L
$-1,247.55
Max Drawdown
-41.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
66
Winners / Losers
24 / 42
Best Trade
+4.58%
Worst Trade
-7.58%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$841,392.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,247.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,247.55
Gross Return
-17.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 66 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,174.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 10:05am ET $383.22 18 $6,897.96
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 10:35am ET $383.57 18 $6,904.26 $7,181.02 +$6.30
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 10:10am ET $388.24 18 $6,988.32
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 10:35am ET $384.28 18 $6,917.04 $7,109.74 $-71.28
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 11:15am ET $398.75 17 $6,778.75
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 11:45am ET $398.51 17 $6,774.59 $7,105.57 $-4.17
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 11:20am ET $403.06 17 $6,852.03
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:00am ET $421.51 17 $7,165.67 $7,419.21 +$313.64
(+4.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 10:30am ET $418.45 17 $7,113.65
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 12:00pm ET $416.30 17 $7,077.10 $7,382.66 $-36.55
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 10:35am ET $419.65 17 $7,134.10
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 2:00pm ET $415.27 17 $7,059.51 $7,308.06 $-74.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 3:15pm ET $416.52 17 $7,080.84
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:00am ET $402.72 17 $6,846.24 $7,073.46 $-234.60
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:05am ET $406.08 17 $6,903.36
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 10:35am ET $414.07 17 $7,039.19 $7,209.29 +$135.83
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 10:40am ET $420.03 17 $7,140.51
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $414.88 17 $7,052.88 $7,121.66 $-87.63
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 10:25am ET $418.68 17 $7,117.56
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 10:00am ET $413.37 17 $7,027.29 $7,031.39 $-90.27
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 1:00pm ET $416.16 16 $6,658.56
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:00am ET $384.63 16 $6,154.08 $6,526.91 $-504.48
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 10:00am ET $404.77 16 $6,476.24
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 10:15am ET $399.99 16 $6,399.84 $6,450.51 $-76.40
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:10am ET $379.38 17 $6,449.46
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 10:40am ET $382.68 17 $6,505.56 $6,506.61 +$56.10
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 11:55am ET $387.77 16 $6,204.24
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 12:25pm ET $386.73 16 $6,187.76 $6,490.13 $-16.48
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 10:50am ET $388.53 16 $6,216.40
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 11:20am ET $389.08 16 $6,225.20 $6,498.93 +$8.80
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:30am ET $387.24 16 $6,195.84
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 10:00am ET $374.00 16 $5,984.00 $6,287.09 $-211.84
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:20am ET $381.36 16 $6,101.68
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 10:50am ET $377.27 16 $6,036.32 $6,221.73 $-65.36
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 10:55am ET $365.68 17 $6,216.48
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 11:25am ET $366.16 17 $6,224.72 $6,229.98 +$8.25
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 11:20am ET $364.53 17 $6,196.93
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 11:50am ET $365.67 17 $6,216.42 $6,249.48 +$19.50
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 11:20am ET $374.08 16 $5,985.28
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 10:00am ET $368.66 16 $5,898.48 $6,162.68 $-86.80
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 11:20am ET $341.57 18 $6,148.17
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 11:50am ET $340.73 18 $6,133.05 $6,147.56 $-15.12
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $345.62 17 $5,875.54
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 10:55am ET $342.03 17 $5,814.43 $6,086.44 $-61.12
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 12:50pm ET $340.26 17 $5,784.34
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 12:45pm ET $336.81 17 $5,725.77 $6,027.88 $-58.56
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:15am ET $336.41 17 $5,718.97
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 10:10am ET $345.10 17 $5,866.70 $6,175.61 +$147.73
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 10:15am ET $345.02 17 $5,865.34
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 10:45am ET $351.30 17 $5,972.10 $6,282.37 +$106.76
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 1:30pm ET $356.87 17 $6,066.79
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 2:00pm ET $356.71 17 $6,064.07 $6,279.65 $-2.72
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:30am ET $364.08 17 $6,189.36
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 10:50am ET $359.56 17 $6,112.52 $6,202.81 $-76.84
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 1:35pm ET $352.79 17 $5,997.43
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:30am ET $361.66 17 $6,148.26 $6,353.64 +$150.83
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:35am ET $361.60 17 $6,147.12
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 11:05am ET $363.59 17 $6,181.03 $6,387.55 +$33.91
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $348.50 18 $6,273.00
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 10:00am ET $337.24 18 $6,070.32 $6,184.87 $-202.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 3:35pm ET $343.42 18 $6,181.47
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET $353.57 18 $6,364.26 $6,367.66 +$182.79
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 10:40am ET $351.40 18 $6,325.11
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 11:10am ET $357.21 18 $6,429.69 $6,472.24 +$104.58
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 10:00am ET $360.19 17 $6,123.23
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 10:00am ET $369.90 17 $6,288.30 $6,637.31 +$165.07
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 10:30am ET $356.24 18 $6,412.32
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 2:00pm ET $352.46 18 $6,344.35 $6,569.34 $-67.97
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 3:00pm ET $359.49 18 $6,470.82
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 3:30pm ET $360.73 18 $6,493.14 $6,591.66 +$22.32
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $351.55 18 $6,327.90
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 1:50pm ET $347.94 18 $6,262.92 $6,526.68 $-64.98
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 12:15pm ET $348.95 18 $6,281.10
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 11:55am ET $345.46 18 $6,218.28 $6,463.86 $-62.82
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 1:50pm ET $338.60 19 $6,433.40
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:00am ET $334.83 19 $6,361.68 $6,392.13 $-71.73
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 10:20am ET $332.12 19 $6,310.19
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 10:50am ET $340.31 19 $6,465.98 $6,547.92 +$155.79
(+2.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 11:45am ET $340.84 19 $6,475.98
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:20am ET $349.37 19 $6,638.03 $6,709.97 +$162.05
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 10:25am ET $350.31 19 $6,655.89
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:50am ET $359.10 19 $6,822.90 $6,876.98 +$167.01
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 11:00am ET $359.08 19 $6,822.52
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:35pm ET $355.26 19 $6,749.94 $6,804.40 $-72.58
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 10:00am ET $343.00 19 $6,517.00
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 1:00pm ET $338.07 19 $6,423.33 $6,710.73 $-93.67
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:00am ET $338.68 19 $6,434.92
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 12:15pm ET $334.83 19 $6,361.68 $6,637.48 $-73.25
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 2:10pm ET $338.30 19 $6,427.61
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:15pm ET $334.71 19 $6,359.40 $6,569.27 $-68.21
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:20am ET $322.65 20 $6,453.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $318.87 20 $6,377.40 $6,493.67 $-75.60
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:30am ET $317.14 20 $6,342.80
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:35pm ET $325.08 20 $6,501.60 $6,652.47 +$158.80
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:05am ET $320.66 20 $6,413.20
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:20am ET $317.35 20 $6,347.00 $6,586.27 $-66.20
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:05am ET $321.01 20 $6,420.20
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:30pm ET $324.96 20 $6,499.20 $6,665.27 +$79.00
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:55am ET $323.29 20 $6,465.80
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:25am ET $323.34 20 $6,466.80 $6,666.27 +$1.00
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:05am ET $343.84 19 $6,532.96
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:35am ET $343.20 19 $6,520.86 $6,654.17 $-12.10
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:30am ET $343.80 19 $6,532.20
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 11:00am ET $343.56 19 $6,527.55 $6,649.51 $-4.66
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 3:10pm ET $347.01 19 $6,593.19
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $343.46 19 $6,525.74 $6,582.06 $-67.45
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 12:35pm ET $355.62 18 $6,401.16
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:20pm ET $351.98 18 $6,335.55 $6,516.45 $-65.61
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:35am ET $362.44 17 $6,161.40
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:20am ET $358.43 17 $6,093.31 $6,448.37 $-68.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET $354.61 18 $6,382.98
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 10:30am ET $353.65 18 $6,365.70 $6,431.09 $-17.28
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $356.94 18 $6,424.83
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:20am ET $353.11 18 $6,355.98 $6,362.24 $-68.85
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $333.64 19 $6,339.16
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $335.52 19 $6,374.88 $6,397.96 +$35.72
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $342.08 18 $6,157.35
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:40pm ET $338.48 18 $6,092.64 $6,333.25 $-64.71
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:20am ET $342.79 18 $6,170.13
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $339.06 18 $6,103.08 $6,266.20 $-67.05
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET $329.31 19 $6,256.80
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $319.32 19 $6,067.08 $6,076.48 $-189.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $294.15 20 $5,883.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET $301.72 20 $6,034.40 $6,227.88 +$151.40
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:40am ET $294.89 21 $6,192.69
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $291.79 21 $6,127.49 $6,162.68 $-65.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $272.06 22 $5,985.32
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:55am ET $279.35 22 $6,145.72 $6,323.08 +$160.40
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:55am ET $264.42 23 $6,081.66
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $263.52 23 $6,060.85 $6,302.27 $-20.81
(-0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $246.26 25 $6,156.50
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $231.26 25 $5,781.40 $5,927.17 $-375.10
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,927.17
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,072.83
Total Return: -40.73%
Back to Surge