Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 25.3/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 18.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,578
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,883.78
Current Value
$11,908.74
Period P&L
$1,024.96
Max Drawdown
-15.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
73
Winners / Losers
37 / 36
Best Trade
+4.82%
Worst Trade
-2.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,624,374.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,024.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,024.96
Gross Return
+9.42%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 73 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,883.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 12:15pm ET $274.10 39 $10,690.00
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 10:00am ET $267.68 39 $10,439.52 $10,633.30 $-250.48
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 11:20am ET $272.19 39 $10,615.41
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 11:50am ET $270.51 39 $10,549.89 $10,567.78 $-65.52
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:35am ET $267.61 39 $10,436.79
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 11:05am ET $271.30 39 $10,580.70 $10,711.69 +$143.91
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 10:50am ET $277.73 38 $10,553.74
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 11:20am ET $279.85 38 $10,634.30 $10,792.25 +$80.56
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 3:40pm ET $283.32 38 $10,766.16
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:10am ET $286.80 38 $10,898.21 $10,924.30 +$132.05
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 10:30am ET $288.82 37 $10,686.16
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 11:00am ET $291.03 37 $10,767.93 $11,006.07 +$81.77
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 11:05am ET $291.45 37 $10,783.47
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 11:35am ET $290.41 37 $10,745.17 $10,967.78 $-38.29
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 10:20am ET $288.80 37 $10,685.60
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 10:50am ET $290.14 37 $10,735.00 $11,017.17 +$49.39
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 10:35am ET $294.74 37 $10,905.38
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 11:05am ET $293.82 37 $10,871.16 $10,982.94 $-34.23
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 11:05am ET $296.34 37 $10,964.58
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 11:35am ET $297.68 37 $11,014.16 $11,032.52 +$49.58
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 11:50am ET $298.36 36 $10,740.96
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 2:25pm ET $295.07 36 $10,622.34 $10,913.90 $-118.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 11:00am ET $275.87 39 $10,758.74
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 11:30am ET $277.77 39 $10,832.84 $10,988.00 +$74.10
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 11:35am ET $278.24 39 $10,851.36
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 12:05pm ET $281.70 39 $10,986.30 $11,122.94 +$134.94
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 10:45am ET $280.76 39 $10,949.45
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 1:50pm ET $277.76 39 $10,832.45 $11,005.94 $-117.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:15am ET $282.17 39 $11,004.63
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET $290.19 39 $11,317.41 $11,318.72 +$312.78
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 11:10am ET $296.73 38 $11,275.74
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 11:40am ET $297.96 38 $11,322.29 $11,365.27 +$46.55
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 12:30pm ET $298.81 38 $11,354.78
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 10:10am ET $295.40 38 $11,225.20 $11,235.69 $-129.58
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:20am ET $296.70 37 $10,977.72
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $293.49 37 $10,858.95 $11,116.92 $-118.77
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:05am ET $298.90 37 $11,059.12
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:15am ET $295.84 37 $10,945.90 $11,003.70 $-113.22
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 10:25am ET $296.96 37 $10,987.52
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 10:55am ET $297.63 37 $11,012.13 $11,028.31 +$24.61
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 10:00am ET $296.67 37 $10,976.79
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 10:30am ET $301.70 37 $11,162.90 $11,214.42 +$186.11
(+1.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 3:20pm ET $304.92 36 $10,977.12
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 3:50pm ET $309.03 36 $11,125.08 $11,362.38 +$147.96
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 10:25am ET $302.97 37 $11,209.89
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 10:55am ET $303.16 37 $11,216.74 $11,369.22 +$6.84
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 3:10pm ET $301.20 37 $11,144.22
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 1:35pm ET $297.93 37 $11,023.23 $11,248.23 $-120.99
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 12:05pm ET $288.20 39 $11,239.61
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 12:35pm ET $291.25 39 $11,358.56 $11,367.18 +$118.95
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 12:40pm ET $291.32 39 $11,361.48
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $295.77 39 $11,534.84 $11,540.54 +$173.36
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 1:15pm ET $296.23 38 $11,256.74
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 1:45pm ET $295.23 38 $11,218.74 $11,502.54 $-38.00
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 12:55pm ET $296.13 38 $11,252.94
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 1:25pm ET $297.36 38 $11,299.49 $11,549.09 +$46.55
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 10:15am ET $297.99 38 $11,323.62
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:35am ET $294.74 38 $11,200.12 $11,425.59 $-123.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 1:20pm ET $281.85 40 $11,274.00
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 11:25am ET $278.95 40 $11,157.80 $11,309.39 $-116.20
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $277.22 40 $11,088.80
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 3:50pm ET $274.44 40 $10,977.60 $11,198.19 $-111.20
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 10:05am ET $282.30 39 $11,009.51
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 10:35am ET $285.85 39 $11,148.15 $11,336.84 +$138.65
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 10:50am ET $286.58 39 $11,176.43
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 11:20am ET $285.20 39 $11,122.80 $11,283.21 $-53.63
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:15am ET $281.00 40 $11,240.00
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 10:35am ET $278.03 40 $11,121.20 $11,164.41 $-118.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET $293.75 38 $11,162.50
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:40am ET $301.12 38 $11,442.37 $11,444.28 +$279.87
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:20am ET $300.52 38 $11,419.57
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET $296.22 38 $11,256.36 $11,281.07 $-163.21
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:35am ET $295.11 38 $11,214.14
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 12:05pm ET $297.28 38 $11,296.64 $11,363.57 +$82.50
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:20am ET $294.75 38 $11,200.50
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 10:50am ET $295.74 38 $11,238.09 $11,401.16 +$37.59
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:55am ET $296.00 38 $11,248.00
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 11:25am ET $297.45 38 $11,303.10 $11,456.26 +$55.10
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 11:30am ET $297.70 38 $11,312.60
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 12:00pm ET $298.81 38 $11,354.59 $11,498.25 +$41.99
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 2:10pm ET $298.10 38 $11,327.80
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 2:40pm ET $301.92 38 $11,472.77 $11,643.22 +$144.97
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 2:45pm ET $301.69 38 $11,464.03
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:10am ET $298.61 38 $11,347.18 $11,526.37 $-116.85
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 10:30am ET $291.29 39 $11,360.31
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 11:00am ET $292.28 39 $11,398.97 $11,565.03 +$38.66
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 12:35pm ET $294.38 39 $11,480.82
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 3:20pm ET $291.03 39 $11,350.17 $11,434.38 $-130.65
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:15am ET $293.88 38 $11,167.44
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 3:00pm ET $290.91 38 $11,054.58 $11,321.52 $-112.86
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 2:55pm ET $296.31 38 $11,259.78
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 11:35am ET $293.01 38 $11,134.19 $11,195.93 $-125.59
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 10:45am ET $314.70 35 $11,014.41
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 2:45pm ET $322.65 35 $11,292.58 $11,474.09 +$278.16
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:10am ET $320.66 35 $11,223.10
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:40am ET $320.13 35 $11,204.47 $11,455.46 $-18.63
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:20am ET $328.88 34 $11,181.92
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $338.17 34 $11,497.64 $11,771.18 +$315.72
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:15am ET $342.20 34 $11,634.63
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:55am ET $338.15 34 $11,497.10 $11,633.65 $-137.53
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:05am ET $345.18 33 $11,390.78
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 11:40am ET $341.42 33 $11,266.86 $11,509.73 $-123.92
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 1:45pm ET $344.98 33 $11,384.34
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:35am ET $341.23 33 $11,260.59 $11,385.98 $-123.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET $341.11 33 $11,256.63
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $337.45 33 $11,135.85 $11,265.20 $-120.78
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 12:10pm ET $344.42 32 $11,021.44
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $344.62 32 $11,027.84 $11,271.60 +$6.40
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET $345.51 32 $11,056.32
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET $340.89 32 $10,908.48 $11,123.76 $-147.84
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:05am ET $341.07 32 $10,914.24
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 1:20pm ET $337.61 32 $10,803.52 $11,013.04 $-110.72
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:35am ET $343.98 32 $11,007.36
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:05pm ET $343.13 32 $10,980.16 $10,985.84 $-27.20
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:30am ET $319.51 34 $10,863.34
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:50pm ET $316.08 34 $10,746.72 $10,869.22 $-116.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 2:30pm ET $324.16 33 $10,697.12
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:00pm ET $326.06 33 $10,759.98 $10,932.09 +$62.87
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:40pm ET $327.09 33 $10,793.97
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET $323.40 33 $10,672.20 $10,810.32 $-121.77
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 11:25am ET $330.66 32 $10,580.96
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:25pm ET $327.14 32 $10,468.48 $10,697.84 $-112.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 3:10pm ET $331.74 32 $10,615.52
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 3:40pm ET $330.59 32 $10,578.88 $10,661.20 $-36.64
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $326.11 32 $10,435.36
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $341.83 32 $10,938.56 $11,164.40 +$503.20
(+4.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $327.68 34 $11,141.12
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $330.49 34 $11,236.49 $11,259.77 +$95.37
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $330.52 34 $11,237.68
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $331.03 34 $11,254.85 $11,276.94 +$17.17
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $328.93 34 $11,183.62
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $338.56 34 $11,510.87 $11,604.19 +$327.25
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $337.69 34 $11,481.46
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $347.52 34 $11,815.51 $11,938.24 +$334.05
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET $349.30 34 $11,876.03
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $345.73 34 $11,754.98 $11,817.19 $-121.05
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $345.57 34 $11,749.38
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET $340.32 34 $11,570.88 $11,638.69 $-178.50
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
70 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:25am ET $358.40 32 $11,468.80
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $368.00 32 $11,776.00 $11,945.89 +$307.20
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
71 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $378.20 31 $11,724.20
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $374.39 31 $11,606.09 $11,827.78 $-118.11
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
72 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $366.72 32 $11,735.04
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $368.50 32 $11,792.00 $11,884.74 +$56.96
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
73 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:05am ET $369.07 32 $11,810.24
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.82 32 $11,834.24 $11,908.74 +$24.00
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,908.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,908.74
Total Return: +19.09%
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