Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,700
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,963.00
Current Value
$8,676.13
Period P&L
$-286.87
Max Drawdown
-34.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
72
Winners / Losers
25 / 47
Best Trade
+15.17%
Worst Trade
-9.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,253,669.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-286.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-286.87
Gross Return
-3.20%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 72 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,963.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 3:40pm ET $123.65 72 $8,902.80
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 10:00am ET $115.10 72 $8,287.20 $8,347.40 $-615.60
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 12:10pm ET $124.72 66 $8,231.52
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 11:25am ET $127.92 66 $8,442.72 $8,558.60 +$211.20
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 11:30am ET $128.06 66 $8,451.96
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 3:35pm ET $126.64 66 $8,357.92 $8,464.56 $-94.04
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 12:05pm ET $134.22 63 $8,455.86
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 2:15pm ET $132.47 63 $8,345.61 $8,354.31 $-110.25
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 10:05am ET $135.15 61 $8,244.15
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:40am ET $133.33 61 $8,133.13 $8,243.29 $-111.02
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 10:20am ET $132.24 62 $8,198.57
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET $130.78 62 $8,108.05 $8,152.77 $-90.52
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 3:30pm ET $127.54 63 $8,035.25
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 10:00am ET $132.01 63 $8,316.63 $8,434.15 +$281.38
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 10:30am ET $133.16 63 $8,389.08
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 11:00am ET $134.86 63 $8,496.00 $8,541.07 +$106.92
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $136.80 62 $8,481.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 3:40pm ET $135.10 62 $8,375.89 $8,435.36 $-105.71
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 11:50am ET $126.37 66 $8,340.42
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 10:40am ET $129.63 66 $8,555.25 $8,650.19 +$214.83
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:45am ET $130.37 66 $8,604.42
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 2:00pm ET $128.99 66 $8,513.34 $8,559.11 $-91.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 10:55am ET $133.82 63 $8,430.66
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 10:00am ET $137.94 63 $8,690.22 $8,818.67 +$259.56
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 10:15am ET $138.13 63 $8,701.88
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 10:45am ET $139.51 63 $8,789.13 $8,905.92 +$87.25
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 2:40pm ET $140.27 63 $8,837.01
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 3:10pm ET $139.59 63 $8,794.17 $8,863.08 $-42.84
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 10:10am ET $141.80 62 $8,791.60
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 10:00am ET $147.40 62 $9,138.80 $9,210.28 +$347.20
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 10:05am ET $148.67 61 $9,068.87
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 10:40am ET $146.59 61 $8,941.69 $9,083.10 $-127.18
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 10:20am ET $147.07 61 $8,971.27
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 10:40am ET $144.99 61 $8,844.39 $8,956.22 $-126.88
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:00am ET $147.01 60 $8,820.60
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 12:20pm ET $145.48 60 $8,728.80 $8,864.42 $-91.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 10:50am ET $154.77 57 $8,821.89
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 10:30am ET $158.75 57 $9,048.75 $9,091.28 +$226.86
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 11:15am ET $164.40 55 $9,042.00
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 11:10am ET $162.61 55 $8,943.55 $8,992.83 $-98.45
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 10:10am ET $149.63 60 $8,977.79
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 2:05pm ET $147.48 60 $8,848.80 $8,863.84 $-128.99
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 10:25am ET $158.71 55 $8,728.78
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 12:35pm ET $156.86 55 $8,627.30 $8,762.36 $-101.48
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 10:15am ET $161.78 54 $8,735.85
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 10:00am ET $154.06 54 $8,319.24 $8,345.75 $-416.61
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 2:45pm ET $159.04 52 $8,269.82
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 3:15pm ET $160.21 52 $8,330.92 $8,406.85 +$61.10
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 10:35am ET $162.81 51 $8,303.31
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 11:05am ET $164.60 51 $8,394.76 $8,498.30 +$91.45
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 10:40am ET $165.21 51 $8,425.64
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 11:25am ET $163.50 51 $8,338.25 $8,410.91 $-87.39
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 10:00am ET $137.39 61 $8,380.79
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 10:00am ET $144.76 61 $8,830.36 $8,860.48 +$449.57
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 1:15pm ET $140.86 62 $8,733.32
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 10:25am ET $139.11 62 $8,624.82 $8,751.98 $-108.50
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 10:50am ET $133.07 65 $8,649.82
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $131.68 65 $8,559.40 $8,661.56 $-90.42
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $137.22 63 $8,644.86
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET $137.79 63 $8,680.77 $8,697.47 +$35.91
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 10:20am ET $141.10 61 $8,607.10
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 12:30pm ET $139.62 61 $8,516.84 $8,607.21 $-90.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 1:15pm ET $140.99 61 $8,600.39
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 1:45pm ET $142.92 61 $8,718.12 $8,724.94 +$117.73
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 1:50pm ET $142.98 61 $8,721.78
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 10:00am ET $138.91 61 $8,473.66 $8,476.82 $-248.12
(-2.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 10:20am ET $133.29 63 $8,397.27
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET $138.17 63 $8,704.71 $8,784.26 +$307.44
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 11:00am ET $140.68 62 $8,722.16
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 12:55pm ET $139.03 62 $8,619.86 $8,681.96 $-102.30
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 11:50am ET $141.48 61 $8,630.28
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 10:00am ET $151.36 61 $9,232.96 $9,284.64 +$602.68
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 10:15am ET $150.67 61 $9,190.87
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 10:00am ET $156.21 61 $9,528.96 $9,622.73 +$338.09
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 11:25am ET $158.12 60 $9,487.20
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 12:25pm ET $156.41 60 $9,384.60 $9,520.13 $-102.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:15am ET $147.90 64 $9,465.60
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 11:25am ET $146.35 64 $9,366.40 $9,420.93 $-99.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 12:15pm ET $144.54 65 $9,395.10
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 10:45am ET $143.06 65 $9,298.58 $9,324.41 $-96.52
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 11:00am ET $145.25 64 $9,296.00
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 12:00pm ET $143.75 64 $9,200.00 $9,228.41 $-96.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:30am ET $147.97 62 $9,173.83
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:10am ET $146.11 62 $9,058.82 $9,113.40 $-115.01
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET $152.16 59 $8,977.15
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:55am ET $150.43 59 $8,875.37 $9,011.62 $-101.78
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 3:10pm ET $162.47 55 $8,935.84
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $167.90 55 $9,234.23 $9,310.00 +$298.38
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 11:00am ET $167.22 55 $9,197.10
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:05pm ET $171.75 55 $9,445.98 $9,558.88 +$248.88
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:35am ET $163.84 58 $9,502.43
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 11:55am ET $168.05 58 $9,746.90 $9,803.35 +$244.47
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 11:00am ET $172.89 56 $9,681.78
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 2:15pm ET $171.11 56 $9,582.16 $9,703.73 $-99.62
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:20am ET $171.46 56 $9,601.76
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 3:05pm ET $168.81 56 $9,453.36 $9,555.33 $-148.40
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $174.20 54 $9,406.80
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 1:30pm ET $172.14 54 $9,295.56 $9,444.09 $-111.24
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 10:25am ET $179.28 52 $9,322.30
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 3:15pm ET $177.43 52 $9,226.36 $9,348.15 $-95.94
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 11:20am ET $170.46 54 $9,204.84
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 12:05pm ET $168.70 54 $9,109.53 $9,252.84 $-95.31
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:25pm ET $160.85 57 $9,168.45
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:25am ET $157.58 57 $8,982.06 $9,066.45 $-186.39
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:45am ET $141.86 63 $8,936.87
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 1:05pm ET $140.33 63 $8,840.79 $8,970.38 $-96.07
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 2:25pm ET $133.16 67 $8,921.72
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $131.75 67 $8,827.25 $8,875.91 $-94.47
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:15pm ET $135.63 65 $8,815.63
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET $127.40 65 $8,281.00 $8,341.28 $-534.63
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:50am ET $134.80 61 $8,222.80
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:15pm ET $135.94 61 $8,292.34 $8,410.82 +$69.54
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:45am ET $138.87 60 $8,332.20
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $136.64 60 $8,198.40 $8,277.02 $-133.80
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:30pm ET $138.17 59 $8,152.03
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 2:00pm ET $140.44 59 $8,285.67 $8,410.66 +$133.64
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 2:45pm ET $141.34 59 $8,339.06
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $142.05 59 $8,380.95 $8,452.55 +$41.89
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 11:10am ET $141.03 59 $8,320.77
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 11:40am ET $140.78 59 $8,306.02 $8,437.80 $-14.75
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $109.54 77 $8,434.43
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $108.20 77 $8,331.40 $8,334.77 $-103.03
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:10am ET $116.95 71 $8,303.45
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET $115.54 71 $8,202.99 $8,234.30 $-100.47
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET $116.81 70 $8,176.70
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $115.62 70 $8,093.40 $8,151.00 $-83.30
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $107.21 76 $8,148.34
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $105.76 76 $8,038.14 $8,040.80 $-110.20
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $109.60 73 $8,000.80
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:40am ET $108.36 73 $7,909.92 $7,949.92 $-90.88
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $120.21 66 $7,934.19
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $123.28 66 $8,136.48 $8,152.21 +$202.29
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $126.11 64 $8,071.04
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $124.83 64 $7,989.44 $8,070.61 $-81.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $120.00 67 $8,039.67
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET $138.20 67 $9,259.40 $9,290.34 +$1,219.73
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
69 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $148.35 62 $9,198.01
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET $140.24 62 $8,694.88 $8,787.21 $-503.13
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
70 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $155.98 56 $8,734.88
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $147.27 56 $8,247.29 $8,299.62 $-487.59
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
71 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $152.16 54 $8,216.64
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $175.10 54 $9,455.40 $9,538.38 +$1,238.76
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.3d held
72 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $221.94 42 $9,321.54
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $201.41 42 $8,459.30 $8,676.13 $-862.25
(-9.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,676.13
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,323.87
Total Return: -13.24%
Back to Surge