Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:18:09

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
2.1/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 25.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 19.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,938
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,763.15
Current Value
$11,903.96
Period P&L
$140.81
Max Drawdown
-12.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
23 / 39
Best Trade
+4.20%
Worst Trade
-2.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
23.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,488,007.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$140.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$140.81
Gross Return
+1.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,763.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 1:05pm ET $48.34 243 $11,746.62
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 10:00am ET $47.08 243 $11,440.44 $11,456.97 $-306.18
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:00am ET $45.20 253 $11,436.51
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:00am ET $46.36 253 $11,729.08 $11,749.54 +$292.57
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 10:35am ET $46.60 252 $11,741.94
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 11:05am ET $46.83 252 $11,799.90 $11,807.50 +$57.96
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 2:05pm ET $47.16 250 $11,788.75
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 10:20am ET $46.67 250 $11,667.50 $11,686.25 $-121.25
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 3:05pm ET $47.62 245 $11,665.68
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 3:35pm ET $48.22 245 $11,812.68 $11,833.25 +$147.00
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 3:40pm ET $48.21 245 $11,810.23
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 10:10am ET $47.83 245 $11,718.35 $11,741.37 $-91.88
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 10:10am ET $48.27 243 $11,729.61
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 10:40am ET $48.40 243 $11,761.20 $11,772.96 +$31.59
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 10:00am ET $49.18 239 $11,754.02
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 10:30am ET $49.87 239 $11,918.93 $11,937.87 +$164.91
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 10:35am ET $50.01 238 $11,901.19
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 11:05am ET $50.28 238 $11,966.64 $12,003.32 +$65.45
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 12:10pm ET $50.64 237 $12,000.50
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:00am ET $50.07 237 $11,866.59 $11,869.42 $-133.90
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:25am ET $47.01 252 $11,845.86
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:45am ET $48.22 252 $12,151.47 $12,175.02 +$305.60
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 11:10am ET $48.12 253 $12,173.10
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 1:45pm ET $47.63 253 $12,049.13 $12,051.05 $-123.97
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:20am ET $47.30 254 $12,014.84
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $46.81 254 $11,889.74 $11,925.95 $-125.10
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:10am ET $48.08 248 $11,923.84
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:00am ET $47.37 248 $11,747.76 $11,749.87 $-176.08
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 10:05am ET $47.84 245 $11,720.80
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 10:35am ET $47.51 245 $11,638.73 $11,667.79 $-82.08
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 2:15pm ET $47.87 243 $11,631.54
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 12:15pm ET $49.07 243 $11,923.23 $11,959.49 +$291.70
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 12:20pm ET $49.03 243 $11,914.29
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:50pm ET $48.96 243 $11,896.07 $11,941.26 $-18.23
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 12:35pm ET $44.71 267 $11,936.24
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 1:05pm ET $45.40 267 $12,121.80 $12,126.83 +$185.57
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 12:00pm ET $45.52 266 $12,106.99
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 12:30pm ET $45.76 266 $12,170.83 $12,190.67 +$63.84
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 10:10am ET $47.49 256 $12,156.16
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 10:40am ET $47.53 256 $12,166.40 $12,200.91 +$10.24
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 11:40am ET $47.71 255 $12,166.05
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 12:10pm ET $48.28 255 $12,310.13 $12,344.98 +$144.07
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 1:15pm ET $48.62 253 $12,300.86
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 1:45pm ET $48.31 253 $12,221.17 $12,265.29 $-79.69
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 11:10am ET $48.71 251 $12,226.21
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:50am ET $48.21 251 $12,099.46 $12,138.53 $-126.76
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 11:30am ET $47.32 256 $12,113.92
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $47.16 256 $12,071.68 $12,096.29 $-42.24
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 11:15am ET $48.03 251 $12,055.53
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $47.52 251 $11,927.52 $11,968.28 $-128.01
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:40am ET $45.54 262 $11,930.17
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 12:55pm ET $45.07 262 $11,808.34 $11,846.45 $-121.83
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 10:05am ET $44.54 265 $11,803.10
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 11:55am ET $44.08 265 $11,681.20 $11,724.55 $-121.90
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 12:30pm ET $45.26 259 $11,721.05
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET $46.79 259 $12,117.88 $12,121.39 +$396.84
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:35am ET $47.06 257 $12,094.42
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 2:00pm ET $48.34 257 $12,423.38 $12,450.35 +$328.96
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:05am ET $45.90 271 $12,437.55
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 3:50pm ET $45.39 271 $12,300.69 $12,313.49 $-136.86
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 3:05pm ET $43.76 281 $12,296.56
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:35pm ET $43.51 281 $12,226.31 $12,243.24 $-70.25
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:40am ET $43.92 278 $12,208.37
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 11:00am ET $45.02 278 $12,514.17 $12,549.04 +$305.80
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 11:05am ET $45.08 278 $12,531.27
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $44.39 278 $12,340.42 $12,358.19 $-190.85
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 12:40pm ET $43.15 286 $12,339.47
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET $42.65 286 $12,197.90 $12,216.62 $-141.57
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 12:00pm ET $45.23 270 $12,210.75
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 1:05pm ET $44.67 270 $12,059.55 $12,065.42 $-151.20
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 10:00am ET $46.22 261 $12,062.12
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 1:30pm ET $45.71 261 $11,930.31 $11,933.61 $-131.81
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:30am ET $48.10 248 $11,927.56
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $49.47 248 $12,267.32 $12,273.37 +$339.76
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:15am ET $49.66 247 $12,266.02
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 3:15pm ET $49.16 247 $12,141.29 $12,148.64 $-124.73
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:20am ET $47.42 256 $12,138.24
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:10pm ET $46.92 256 $12,010.24 $12,020.64 $-128.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET $46.58 258 $12,016.35
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $48.00 258 $12,384.00 $12,388.29 +$367.65
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:25am ET $48.61 254 $12,345.67
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $48.10 254 $12,216.13 $12,258.75 $-129.54
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET $49.23 249 $12,257.03
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:35am ET $49.21 249 $12,252.05 $12,253.77 $-4.98
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 12:35pm ET $50.92 240 $12,219.60
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 1:05pm ET $51.65 240 $12,394.80 $12,428.97 +$175.20
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 1:10pm ET $51.66 240 $12,398.40
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:40pm ET $52.35 240 $12,564.00 $12,594.57 +$165.60
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 1:45pm ET $52.38 240 $12,571.20
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 2:15pm ET $52.02 240 $12,483.60 $12,506.97 $-87.60
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:35pm ET $51.44 243 $12,499.92
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:45pm ET $50.90 243 $12,367.49 $12,374.54 $-132.43
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 11:40am ET $54.12 228 $12,338.22
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 12:05pm ET $53.54 228 $12,207.12 $12,243.44 $-131.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:40am ET $53.87 227 $12,227.36
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 11:10am ET $54.50 227 $12,370.37 $12,386.45 +$143.01
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:30pm ET $54.69 226 $12,358.81
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 11:20am ET $54.14 226 $12,234.51 $12,262.15 $-124.30
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET $53.74 228 $12,251.69
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $52.79 228 $12,034.98 $12,045.44 $-216.71
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:00am ET $54.68 220 $12,029.60
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:50am ET $54.13 220 $11,907.50 $11,923.34 $-122.10
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:35am ET $56.67 210 $11,899.65
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:25pm ET $56.00 210 $11,758.95 $11,782.64 $-140.70
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET $56.26 209 $11,758.34
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:55am ET $56.26 209 $11,757.30 $11,781.60 $-1.04
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET $56.40 208 $11,730.16
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET $55.75 208 $11,596.00 $11,647.44 $-134.16
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET $54.49 213 $11,606.37
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET $53.91 213 $11,481.77 $11,522.83 $-124.61
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET $55.40 207 $11,467.82
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $54.85 207 $11,352.92 $11,407.92 $-114.91
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $55.73 204 $11,367.90
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $55.16 204 $11,251.62 $11,291.64 $-116.28
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $55.05 205 $11,285.25
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET $56.47 205 $11,575.33 $11,581.72 +$290.08
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $57.16 202 $11,546.32
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $59.56 202 $12,031.12 $12,066.52 +$484.80
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:25am ET $60.83 198 $12,045.33
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $60.22 198 $11,922.57 $11,943.76 $-122.76
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:25am ET $60.33 197 $11,884.42
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:55am ET $60.75 197 $11,967.75 $12,027.09 +$83.33
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:00am ET $60.92 197 $12,000.26
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $60.29 197 $11,877.13 $11,903.96 $-123.13
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,903.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,903.96
Total Return: +19.04%
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