Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:23:45

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 5.7/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,546
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,895.98
Current Value
$8,930.49
Period P&L
$-965.49
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
66
Winners / Losers
27 / 39
Best Trade
+4.52%
Worst Trade
-5.98%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,277,657.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-965.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-965.49
Gross Return
-9.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 66 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,895.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 11:40am ET $138.66 71 $9,844.86
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $137.15 71 $9,737.65 $9,788.77 $-107.21
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 11:40am ET $142.47 68 $9,687.96
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 12:10pm ET $141.45 68 $9,618.60 $9,719.41 $-69.36
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 11:20am ET $140.99 68 $9,587.32
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 11:50am ET $141.02 68 $9,589.02 $9,721.11 +$1.70
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 1:40pm ET $135.50 71 $9,620.50
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 2:10pm ET $136.32 71 $9,678.72 $9,779.33 +$58.22
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 2:15pm ET $136.27 71 $9,674.82
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 2:45pm ET $137.78 71 $9,782.38 $9,886.90 +$107.57
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 3:15pm ET $137.78 71 $9,782.38
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 11:15am ET $136.40 71 $9,684.40 $9,788.92 $-97.98
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:15am ET $139.02 70 $9,731.13
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 10:45am ET $139.30 70 $9,751.00 $9,808.79 +$19.87
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 12:30pm ET $140.38 69 $9,685.88
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 1:00pm ET $141.86 69 $9,788.34 $9,911.26 +$102.47
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 1:05pm ET $141.83 69 $9,786.27
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $144.65 69 $9,980.85 $10,105.84 +$194.58
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 1:40pm ET $144.56 69 $9,974.64
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 10:00am ET $143.07 69 $9,871.83 $10,003.03 $-102.81
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 2:35pm ET $144.82 69 $9,992.58
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 3:05pm ET $144.59 69 $9,976.71 $9,987.16 $-15.87
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 12:00pm ET $149.43 66 $9,862.38
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 12:30pm ET $148.65 66 $9,810.90 $9,935.68 $-51.48
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $149.88 66 $9,892.08
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 12:55pm ET $148.14 66 $9,776.91 $9,820.51 $-115.17
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 11:00am ET $143.95 68 $9,788.60
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 11:30am ET $144.39 68 $9,818.52 $9,850.43 +$29.92
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 12:45pm ET $145.06 67 $9,719.02
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 10:35am ET $143.53 67 $9,616.51 $9,747.92 $-102.51
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 10:50am ET $143.89 67 $9,640.63
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:20am ET $145.44 67 $9,744.15 $9,851.44 +$103.52
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:25am ET $145.31 67 $9,735.44
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 11:55am ET $146.70 67 $9,828.90 $9,944.90 +$93.46
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 3:05pm ET $147.74 67 $9,898.25
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 12:15pm ET $146.26 67 $9,799.09 $9,845.74 $-99.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:20am ET $150.25 65 $9,766.25
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 10:50am ET $152.87 65 $9,936.55 $10,016.04 +$170.30
(+1.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:00am ET $153.78 65 $9,995.70
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:30am ET $154.79 65 $10,061.35 $10,081.69 +$65.65
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 10:55am ET $154.95 65 $10,071.75
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:00am ET $153.20 65 $9,958.00 $9,967.94 $-113.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 11:35am ET $150.25 66 $9,916.50
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 12:05pm ET $149.90 66 $9,893.40 $9,944.84 $-23.10
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 1:40pm ET $152.43 65 $9,907.95
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 2:10pm ET $155.66 65 $10,117.58 $10,154.47 +$209.63
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 2:15pm ET $155.59 65 $10,113.35
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 10:45am ET $154.01 65 $10,010.65 $10,051.77 $-102.70
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 11:50am ET $151.95 66 $10,028.70
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 12:20pm ET $153.23 66 $10,113.17 $10,136.24 +$84.47
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 1:55pm ET $155.73 65 $10,122.45
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 10:15am ET $154.06 65 $10,013.90 $10,027.69 $-108.55
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:00am ET $155.44 64 $9,948.16
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 10:30am ET $154.92 64 $9,914.88 $9,994.41 $-33.28
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 11:00am ET $156.56 63 $9,863.28
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 10:10am ET $154.90 63 $9,758.70 $9,889.83 $-104.58
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 12:45pm ET $154.29 64 $9,874.56
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 11:45am ET $158.38 64 $10,136.32 $10,151.59 +$261.76
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 11:50am ET $158.43 64 $10,139.52
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 12:20pm ET $157.79 64 $10,098.56 $10,110.63 $-40.96
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 2:45pm ET $159.95 63 $10,076.85
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 11:35am ET $158.34 63 $9,975.29 $10,009.07 $-101.56
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 1:35pm ET $161.80 61 $9,869.79
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 10:00am ET $158.62 61 $9,675.52 $9,814.79 $-194.28
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 10:55am ET $158.85 61 $9,689.55
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET $156.22 61 $9,529.42 $9,654.66 $-160.13
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 2:55pm ET $157.82 61 $9,627.02
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 3:25pm ET $157.99 61 $9,637.09 $9,664.73 +$10.07
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 10:20am ET $158.17 61 $9,648.52
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 10:50am ET $159.09 61 $9,704.49 $9,720.70 +$55.97
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 1:15pm ET $159.82 60 $9,589.19
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 1:45pm ET $159.80 60 $9,587.70 $9,719.21 $-1.49
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 3:00pm ET $156.89 61 $9,570.29
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 3:30pm ET $158.00 61 $9,638.02 $9,786.94 +$67.73
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 11:30am ET $160.31 61 $9,778.61
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 12:00pm ET $160.85 61 $9,811.85 $9,820.18 +$33.24
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $155.43 63 $9,792.09
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET $153.60 63 $9,676.49 $9,704.57 $-115.61
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 12:55pm ET $151.55 64 $9,699.20
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 1:25pm ET $153.04 64 $9,794.56 $9,799.93 +$95.36
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 1:30pm ET $152.87 64 $9,783.68
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $151.23 64 $9,678.72 $9,694.97 $-104.96
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 3:35pm ET $155.70 62 $9,653.40
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 10:05am ET $156.76 62 $9,719.12 $9,760.69 +$65.72
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 10:25am ET $155.95 62 $9,668.90
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 2:35pm ET $154.37 62 $9,570.94 $9,662.73 $-97.96
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 10:45am ET $155.54 62 $9,643.17
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 10:00am ET $153.56 62 $9,520.72 $9,540.28 $-122.45
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 10:45am ET $158.82 60 $9,528.90
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 12:05pm ET $157.11 60 $9,426.60 $9,437.98 $-102.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:35am ET $157.04 60 $9,422.40
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 12:05pm ET $156.29 60 $9,377.10 $9,392.68 $-45.30
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:50pm ET $153.15 61 $9,342.15
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET $150.31 61 $9,168.91 $9,219.44 $-173.24
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 1:20pm ET $151.84 60 $9,110.40
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:50pm ET $150.27 60 $9,016.20 $9,125.24 $-94.20
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:00am ET $149.92 60 $8,995.20
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 11:30am ET $151.39 60 $9,083.40 $9,213.44 +$88.20
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $150.74 61 $9,195.14
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 12:45pm ET $151.48 61 $9,240.28 $9,258.58 +$45.14
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 3:00pm ET $149.16 62 $9,247.92
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET $147.62 62 $9,152.43 $9,163.09 $-95.49
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:15pm ET $150.95 60 $9,057.00
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:40am ET $150.55 60 $9,032.70 $9,138.79 $-24.30
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $152.73 59 $9,011.07
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $159.64 59 $9,418.47 $9,546.19 +$407.40
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:45am ET $157.23 60 $9,433.80
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:10am ET $161.25 60 $9,674.79 $9,787.18 +$240.99
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET $161.50 60 $9,689.70
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:45am ET $163.23 60 $9,793.80 $9,891.28 +$104.10
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:40am ET $165.73 59 $9,778.07
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $163.66 59 $9,655.94 $9,769.15 $-122.13
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $168.20 58 $9,755.60
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:20am ET $166.32 58 $9,646.55 $9,660.10 $-109.05
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:00am ET $167.01 57 $9,519.57
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:30am ET $166.98 57 $9,517.92 $9,658.45 $-1.65
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $175.23 55 $9,637.79
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $175.98 55 $9,678.90 $9,699.56 +$41.11
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:45pm ET $176.04 55 $9,682.20
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.08 55 $9,574.40 $9,591.76 $-107.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET $176.31 54 $9,520.74
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET $180.73 54 $9,759.42 $9,830.44 +$238.68
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $182.13 53 $9,652.89
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $179.53 53 $9,515.09 $9,692.64 $-137.80
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $182.09 53 $9,650.77
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $180.17 53 $9,549.01 $9,590.88 $-101.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:20am ET $182.10 52 $9,469.20
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:50am ET $182.02 52 $9,465.04 $9,586.72 $-4.16
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:30am ET $186.37 51 $9,504.87
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:15am ET $184.49 51 $9,408.74 $9,490.59 $-96.13
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $203.54 46 $9,362.90
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $191.37 46 $8,802.79 $8,930.49 $-560.10
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,930.49
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,069.51
Total Return: -10.70%
Back to Surge