Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:18:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
7.6/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 22.0/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 16.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,569
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,443.96
Current Value
$10,729.02
Period P&L
$285.07
Max Drawdown
-8.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
28 / 32
Best Trade
+1.69%
Worst Trade
-1.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,223,060.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$285.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$285.07
Gross Return
+2.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,443.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 12:45pm ET $414.18 25 $10,354.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 10:00am ET $408.76 25 $10,218.88 $10,406.33 $-135.63
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 12:10pm ET $411.46 25 $10,286.50
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 12:40pm ET $411.30 25 $10,282.50 $10,402.33 $-4.00
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $412.13 25 $10,303.26
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $416.44 25 $10,411.11 $10,510.17 +$107.84
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 1:35pm ET $416.53 25 $10,413.25
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 12:25pm ET $412.21 25 $10,305.19 $10,402.11 $-108.06
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 11:10am ET $421.08 24 $10,105.92
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 11:40am ET $423.75 24 $10,170.00 $10,466.19 +$64.08
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 12:50pm ET $425.27 24 $10,206.48
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 1:20pm ET $428.28 24 $10,278.72 $10,538.43 +$72.24
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 1:25pm ET $428.35 24 $10,280.40
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 1:55pm ET $427.23 24 $10,253.52 $10,511.55 $-26.88
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 1:55pm ET $420.40 25 $10,510.00
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 10:00am ET $416.00 25 $10,400.01 $10,401.56 $-109.99
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 1:10pm ET $416.87 24 $10,004.88
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 1:40pm ET $422.97 24 $10,151.28 $10,547.96 +$146.40
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 1:45pm ET $423.13 24 $10,155.12
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 2:15pm ET $422.39 24 $10,137.36 $10,530.20 $-17.76
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 3:15pm ET $423.81 24 $10,171.44
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:00am ET $419.46 24 $10,066.92 $10,425.68 $-104.52
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 3:20pm ET $423.61 24 $10,166.64
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 3:50pm ET $425.89 24 $10,221.36 $10,480.40 +$54.72
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $425.98 24 $10,223.52
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 10:25am ET $424.69 24 $10,192.56 $10,449.44 $-30.96
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 1:20pm ET $431.69 24 $10,360.56
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 1:50pm ET $430.28 24 $10,326.60 $10,415.48 $-33.96
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 1:55pm ET $430.17 24 $10,324.08
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:00am ET $424.47 24 $10,187.28 $10,278.68 $-136.80
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 10:30am ET $426.02 24 $10,224.48
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 11:00am ET $421.55 24 $10,117.20 $10,171.40 $-107.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $424.87 23 $9,772.01
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 2:05pm ET $430.88 23 $9,910.24 $10,309.63 +$138.23
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 2:55pm ET $431.01 23 $9,913.23
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 3:25pm ET $429.67 23 $9,882.41 $10,278.81 $-30.82
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 1:40pm ET $433.69 23 $9,974.87
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 2:10pm ET $437.04 23 $10,051.92 $10,355.86 +$77.05
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $437.97 23 $10,073.31
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 10:25am ET $442.98 23 $10,188.54 $10,471.09 +$115.23
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 11:00am ET $443.94 23 $10,210.62
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 11:30am ET $444.98 23 $10,234.60 $10,495.07 +$23.98
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:40am ET $446.65 23 $10,272.95
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 11:10am ET $443.44 23 $10,199.12 $10,421.24 $-73.83
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $449.37 23 $10,335.40
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 2:05pm ET $448.50 23 $10,315.50 $10,401.34 $-19.90
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 12:50pm ET $441.38 23 $10,151.74
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 1:20pm ET $442.12 23 $10,168.76 $10,418.36 +$17.02
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:10am ET $444.24 23 $10,217.52
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 10:40am ET $447.61 23 $10,295.03 $10,495.87 +$77.51
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $454.47 23 $10,452.81
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET $454.71 23 $10,458.33 $10,501.39 +$5.52
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 11:40am ET $455.55 23 $10,477.65
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 12:10pm ET $455.07 23 $10,466.61 $10,490.35 $-11.04
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 1:40pm ET $458.01 22 $10,076.22
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 2:10pm ET $455.53 22 $10,021.66 $10,435.79 $-54.56
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 10:40am ET $461.69 22 $10,157.18
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 11:10am ET $460.28 22 $10,126.16 $10,404.77 $-31.02
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $463.63 22 $10,199.86
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 2:50pm ET $458.30 22 $10,082.60 $10,287.51 $-117.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 10:25am ET $463.96 22 $10,207.12
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 10:55am ET $461.62 22 $10,155.64 $10,236.03 $-51.48
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 11:05am ET $463.54 22 $10,197.88
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 11:35am ET $464.90 22 $10,227.80 $10,265.95 +$29.92
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:35am ET $469.58 21 $9,861.19
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET $464.85 21 $9,761.85 $10,166.61 $-99.34
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 1:00pm ET $461.45 22 $10,151.90
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 1:30pm ET $464.04 22 $10,208.88 $10,223.59 +$56.98
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 1:35pm ET $464.36 22 $10,215.92
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 2:05pm ET $463.06 22 $10,187.32 $10,194.99 $-28.60
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 12:55pm ET $466.28 21 $9,791.78
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 1:25pm ET $469.79 21 $9,865.59 $10,268.81 +$73.82
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 1:30pm ET $469.70 21 $9,863.70
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:40pm ET $464.74 21 $9,759.44 $10,164.55 $-104.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 11:45am ET $472.98 21 $9,932.58
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 12:15pm ET $474.38 21 $9,961.98 $10,193.95 +$29.40
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 12:30pm ET $474.19 21 $9,957.99
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $469.39 21 $9,857.19 $10,093.15 $-100.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:45am ET $476.68 21 $10,010.31
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 12:15pm ET $483.06 21 $10,144.26 $10,227.10 +$133.95
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:25am ET $473.12 21 $9,935.52
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:55am ET $471.82 21 $9,908.22 $10,199.80 $-27.30
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:35am ET $461.74 22 $10,158.28
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:05pm ET $464.30 22 $10,214.60 $10,256.12 +$56.32
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $465.48 22 $10,240.56
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:30pm ET $470.27 22 $10,345.96 $10,361.52 +$105.40
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:35pm ET $470.09 22 $10,341.98
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:05pm ET $475.03 22 $10,450.66 $10,470.20 +$108.68
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:10am ET $477.38 21 $10,024.98
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:35pm ET $474.19 21 $9,957.99 $10,403.21 $-66.99
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:00am ET $476.44 21 $10,005.24
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:30am ET $477.99 21 $10,037.70 $10,435.67 +$32.46
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:35am ET $477.98 21 $10,037.58
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:05pm ET $478.50 21 $10,048.50 $10,446.59 +$10.92
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET $479.68 21 $10,073.28
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:35pm ET $487.79 21 $10,243.59 $10,616.90 +$170.31
(+1.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $488.00 21 $10,247.90
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 3:10pm ET $485.78 21 $10,201.38 $10,570.38 $-46.52
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:00pm ET $487.13 21 $10,229.72
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:25pm ET $486.61 21 $10,218.81 $10,559.47 $-10.91
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $483.61 21 $10,155.81
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $490.76 21 $10,305.96 $10,709.62 +$150.15
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:55am ET $492.48 21 $10,342.08
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:25pm ET $493.76 21 $10,368.96 $10,736.50 +$26.88
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:25am ET $492.57 21 $10,343.97
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:55am ET $495.25 21 $10,400.21 $10,792.74 +$56.24
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:05pm ET $495.05 21 $10,396.05
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $492.90 21 $10,350.90 $10,747.59 $-45.15
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:25am ET $495.47 21 $10,404.87
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:55am ET $493.88 21 $10,371.48 $10,714.20 $-33.39
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET $489.57 21 $10,280.97
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:00am ET $494.54 21 $10,385.24 $10,818.46 +$104.26
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $494.76 21 $10,389.96
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:00am ET $489.80 21 $10,285.82 $10,714.32 $-104.14
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:05am ET $493.47 21 $10,362.87
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:35am ET $493.32 21 $10,359.72 $10,711.17 $-3.15
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:00am ET $498.15 21 $10,461.15
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $501.02 21 $10,521.42 $10,771.44 +$60.27
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:50am ET $497.00 21 $10,437.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $494.98 21 $10,394.58 $10,729.02 $-42.42
(-0.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,729.02
Net Profit/Loss: +$729.02
Total Return: +7.29%
Back to Surge