Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:23:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,123.62
Current Value
$7,617.54
Period P&L
$-1,506.09
Max Drawdown
-33.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
24 / 40
Best Trade
+2.72%
Worst Trade
-8.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,072,108.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,506.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,506.09
Gross Return
-16.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,123.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 11:40am ET $92.55 99 $9,161.96
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 12:10pm ET $92.65 99 $9,172.35 $9,202.83 +$10.40
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 12:15pm ET $105.86 86 $9,103.96
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 12:45pm ET $104.97 86 $9,027.42 $9,126.29 $-76.54
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 1:05pm ET $110.88 82 $9,092.16
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 1:35pm ET $111.06 82 $9,106.92 $9,141.05 +$14.76
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 11:25am ET $112.09 81 $9,079.29
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 11:55am ET $111.68 81 $9,046.08 $9,107.84 $-33.21
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 11:00am ET $112.70 80 $9,016.00
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 11:30am ET $112.53 80 $9,002.40 $9,094.24 $-13.60
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 10:40am ET $113.34 80 $9,067.17
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 2:20pm ET $112.08 80 $8,966.40 $8,993.47 $-100.77
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 11:20am ET $112.42 79 $8,881.18
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $111.14 79 $8,780.06 $8,892.35 $-101.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 1:40pm ET $111.47 79 $8,806.13
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 10:00am ET $109.41 79 $8,643.39 $8,729.61 $-162.74
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 10:30am ET $110.02 79 $8,691.19
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 11:00am ET $111.90 79 $8,840.10 $8,878.53 +$148.92
(+1.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 11:05am ET $112.01 79 $8,848.79
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 11:35am ET $111.42 79 $8,802.18 $8,831.92 $-46.61
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 10:10am ET $112.94 78 $8,808.93
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:40am ET $112.37 78 $8,764.86 $8,787.85 $-44.07
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 10:25am ET $114.34 76 $8,689.46
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 10:05am ET $113.17 76 $8,600.54 $8,698.93 $-88.92
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 10:40am ET $114.21 76 $8,679.58
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 2:05pm ET $113.05 76 $8,591.80 $8,611.15 $-87.78
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 2:30pm ET $115.42 74 $8,540.71
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 11:40am ET $118.55 74 $8,772.70 $8,843.14 +$231.99
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 11:45am ET $118.55 74 $8,772.70
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 12:15pm ET $119.14 74 $8,816.36 $8,886.80 +$43.66
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 1:20pm ET $119.47 74 $8,840.78
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 12:20pm ET $118.25 74 $8,750.50 $8,796.52 $-90.28
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 10:10am ET $119.68 73 $8,736.64
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 10:00am ET $118.14 73 $8,623.86 $8,683.73 $-112.79
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 1:25pm ET $117.46 73 $8,574.22
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 1:55pm ET $118.76 73 $8,669.48 $8,779.00 +$95.27
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 1:15pm ET $119.67 73 $8,735.91
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $120.95 73 $8,828.99 $8,872.07 +$93.07
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 3:10pm ET $121.28 73 $8,853.67
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 3:40pm ET $122.24 73 $8,923.16 $8,941.55 +$69.48
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 10:10am ET $121.81 73 $8,892.13
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 10:25am ET $120.51 73 $8,797.23 $8,846.65 $-94.90
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 11:50am ET $122.74 72 $8,837.28
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:20pm ET $122.05 72 $8,787.24 $8,796.61 $-50.04
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 10:05am ET $114.02 77 $8,779.39
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 11:15am ET $112.66 77 $8,674.82 $8,692.04 $-104.57
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 11:00am ET $113.91 76 $8,656.78
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 11:30am ET $115.75 76 $8,797.00 $8,832.26 +$140.22
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 11:40am ET $115.85 76 $8,804.65
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 12:10pm ET $115.72 76 $8,794.70 $8,822.31 $-9.95
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 12:55pm ET $116.33 75 $8,724.74
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 1:25pm ET $116.19 75 $8,714.25 $8,811.82 $-10.49
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $118.58 74 $8,774.92
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET $118.64 74 $8,779.36 $8,816.26 +$4.44
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 10:45am ET $118.32 74 $8,755.68
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 11:15am ET $118.02 74 $8,733.48 $8,794.06 $-22.20
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 12:05pm ET $118.44 74 $8,764.56
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 10:00am ET $117.23 74 $8,675.02 $8,704.52 $-89.54
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 1:30pm ET $117.70 73 $8,592.10
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 12:40pm ET $116.43 73 $8,499.39 $8,611.81 $-92.71
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 10:15am ET $118.32 72 $8,519.04
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:45am ET $117.81 72 $8,481.96 $8,574.73 $-37.08
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 10:55am ET $118.37 72 $8,522.66
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 11:25am ET $118.31 72 $8,518.32 $8,570.39 $-4.34
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 2:55pm ET $116.72 73 $8,520.56
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 10:55am ET $115.42 73 $8,425.66 $8,475.49 $-94.90
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:25pm ET $116.63 72 $8,397.36
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 2:50pm ET $115.35 72 $8,304.84 $8,382.97 $-92.52
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 10:30am ET $114.05 73 $8,325.65
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 11:00am ET $113.61 73 $8,293.62 $8,350.94 $-32.03
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:50am ET $113.04 73 $8,251.92
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET $111.61 73 $8,147.53 $8,246.55 $-104.39
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:10am ET $110.98 74 $8,212.52
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:40am ET $112.31 74 $8,310.57 $8,344.60 +$98.05
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 10:10am ET $111.17 75 $8,337.75
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 10:40am ET $111.43 75 $8,357.25 $8,364.10 +$19.50
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 1:30pm ET $111.97 74 $8,285.78
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 2:00pm ET $114.09 74 $8,442.66 $8,520.98 +$156.88
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 2:05pm ET $114.41 74 $8,466.34
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 1:35pm ET $113.17 74 $8,374.58 $8,429.22 $-91.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 10:35am ET $112.80 74 $8,347.20
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 11:05am ET $111.92 74 $8,282.09 $8,364.11 $-65.11
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 11:15am ET $112.23 74 $8,305.02
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 11:45am ET $111.75 74 $8,269.50 $8,328.59 $-35.52
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 12:15pm ET $111.83 74 $8,275.42
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $109.88 74 $8,131.12 $8,184.29 $-144.30
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:10am ET $113.85 71 $8,083.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:40am ET $115.94 71 $8,231.39 $8,332.68 +$148.39
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 1:25pm ET $116.67 71 $8,283.57
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET $107.13 71 $7,606.23 $7,655.34 $-677.34
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET $104.24 73 $7,609.52
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $102.83 73 $7,506.59 $7,552.41 $-102.93
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET $103.59 72 $7,458.48
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET $104.01 72 $7,488.72 $7,582.65 +$30.24
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:25am ET $104.46 72 $7,521.11
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:50pm ET $106.44 72 $7,663.64 $7,725.18 +$142.53
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 12:15pm ET $107.08 72 $7,709.76
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 12:45pm ET $106.64 72 $7,678.08 $7,693.50 $-31.68
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 10:45am ET $107.74 71 $7,649.54
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $110.62 71 $7,854.02 $7,897.98 +$204.48
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:40am ET $112.33 70 $7,862.75
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:10am ET $112.80 70 $7,896.00 $7,931.23 +$33.25
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:30pm ET $113.04 70 $7,912.80
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:55am ET $113.65 70 $7,955.50 $7,973.93 +$42.70
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET $113.39 70 $7,937.49
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET $114.31 70 $8,001.77 $8,038.21 +$64.28
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $114.46 70 $8,012.20
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:40am ET $113.85 70 $7,969.40 $7,995.41 $-42.80
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:35am ET $113.89 70 $7,972.30
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $114.05 70 $7,983.50 $8,006.61 +$11.20
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $115.60 69 $7,976.06
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET $113.34 69 $7,820.46 $7,851.01 $-155.60
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:55am ET $111.02 70 $7,771.05
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:55pm ET $109.90 70 $7,693.00 $7,772.96 $-78.05
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $112.63 69 $7,771.13
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $112.47 69 $7,760.43 $7,762.26 $-10.70
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:55am ET $110.48 70 $7,733.60
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET $111.75 70 $7,822.50 $7,851.16 +$88.90
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET $107.02 73 $7,812.46
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $105.57 73 $7,706.25 $7,744.95 $-106.21
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $106.77 72 $7,687.20
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $105.44 72 $7,591.68 $7,649.43 $-95.52
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET $107.57 71 $7,637.82
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:50am ET $107.63 71 $7,641.73 $7,653.34 +$3.91
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:40am ET $110.46 69 $7,621.40
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $108.59 69 $7,492.71 $7,524.65 $-128.69
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:15am ET $104.01 72 $7,488.72
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $105.30 72 $7,581.61 $7,617.54 +$92.89
(+1.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,617.54
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,382.46
Total Return: -23.82%
Back to Surge