Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
5.8/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 16.4/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 12.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
38,450
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,413.21
Current Value
$10,393.36
Period P&L
$980.15
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
41 / 29
Best Trade
+3.79%
Worst Trade
-4.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,297,170.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$980.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$980.15
Gross Return
+10.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,413.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 3:20pm ET $306.95 30 $9,208.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 1:15pm ET $314.81 30 $9,444.15 $9,534.56 +$235.65
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 1:20pm ET $314.82 30 $9,444.46
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 12:15pm ET $311.55 30 $9,346.50 $9,436.60 $-97.96
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 12:00pm ET $300.11 31 $9,303.41
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 10:00am ET $293.89 31 $9,110.59 $9,243.78 $-192.82
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:20am ET $295.50 31 $9,160.50
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:35am ET $292.41 31 $9,064.71 $9,147.99 $-95.79
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 10:05am ET $301.91 30 $9,057.30
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 10:35am ET $304.52 30 $9,135.45 $9,226.14 +$78.15
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 3:05pm ET $306.23 30 $9,186.90
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 10:00am ET $302.54 30 $9,076.20 $9,115.44 $-110.70
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 12:40pm ET $309.92 29 $8,987.68
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 10:00am ET $303.28 29 $8,795.12 $8,922.88 $-192.56
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 10:25am ET $310.53 28 $8,694.78
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 10:55am ET $310.27 28 $8,687.56 $8,915.66 $-7.22
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 12:15pm ET $307.03 29 $8,903.87
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 12:45pm ET $306.05 29 $8,875.58 $8,887.37 $-28.29
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 3:35pm ET $306.21 29 $8,880.09
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 10:05am ET $305.94 29 $8,872.40 $8,879.68 $-7.69
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 2:15pm ET $303.74 29 $8,808.46
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 2:45pm ET $307.43 29 $8,915.47 $8,986.69 +$107.01
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 3:00pm ET $309.06 29 $8,962.74
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 10:00am ET $305.25 29 $8,852.25 $8,876.20 $-110.49
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 12:50pm ET $306.49 28 $8,581.72
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 11:05am ET $303.19 28 $8,489.18 $8,783.66 $-92.54
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 3:00pm ET $305.39 28 $8,550.78
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 3:30pm ET $306.12 28 $8,571.36 $8,804.24 +$20.58
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 11:00am ET $308.15 28 $8,628.06
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 11:30am ET $307.31 28 $8,604.68 $8,780.86 $-23.38
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 11:35am ET $307.28 28 $8,603.84
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 12:05pm ET $308.83 28 $8,647.24 $8,824.26 +$43.40
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 12:50pm ET $316.07 27 $8,533.89
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $311.89 27 $8,421.03 $8,711.40 $-112.86
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 12:00pm ET $312.19 27 $8,429.13
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 12:30pm ET $310.78 27 $8,391.06 $8,673.33 $-38.07
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $308.22 28 $8,630.16
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET $310.40 28 $8,691.20 $8,734.37 +$61.04
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 3:15pm ET $311.97 27 $8,423.19
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 3:45pm ET $312.54 27 $8,438.58 $8,749.76 +$15.39
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 3:50pm ET $312.60 27 $8,440.20
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 10:20am ET $316.25 27 $8,538.75 $8,848.31 +$98.55
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 10:55am ET $316.85 27 $8,554.95
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 11:25am ET $323.42 27 $8,732.21 $9,025.57 +$177.26
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 11:30am ET $323.49 27 $8,734.23
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 12:00pm ET $328.06 27 $8,857.62 $9,148.96 +$123.39
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 12:55pm ET $328.88 27 $8,879.76
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 10:00am ET $325.49 27 $8,788.11 $9,057.31 $-91.65
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 11:50am ET $338.59 26 $8,803.34
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 12:20pm ET $339.50 26 $8,826.87 $9,080.84 +$23.53
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:05pm ET $341.04 26 $8,867.04
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 2:35pm ET $337.40 26 $8,772.40 $8,986.20 $-94.64
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 1:45pm ET $338.43 26 $8,799.18
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 2:15pm ET $344.76 26 $8,963.76 $9,150.78 +$164.58
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 2:20pm ET $344.93 26 $8,968.05
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 2:50pm ET $346.78 26 $9,016.28 $9,199.01 +$48.23
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 2:35pm ET $345.55 26 $8,984.30
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 3:05pm ET $347.40 26 $9,032.40 $9,247.11 +$48.10
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 3:10pm ET $347.56 26 $9,036.56
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 3:40pm ET $352.46 26 $9,164.04 $9,374.59 +$127.48
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:10am ET $353.75 26 $9,197.50
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:40am ET $356.85 26 $9,278.10 $9,455.19 +$80.60
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 11:50am ET $364.37 25 $9,109.25
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 12:20pm ET $365.57 25 $9,139.25 $9,485.19 +$30.00
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 12:10pm ET $373.23 25 $9,330.63
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 10:20am ET $368.90 25 $9,222.38 $9,376.94 $-108.25
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $369.53 25 $9,238.25
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 11:50am ET $377.50 25 $9,437.50 $9,576.19 +$199.25
(+2.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 12:05pm ET $378.43 25 $9,460.75
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 12:35pm ET $381.00 25 $9,525.00 $9,640.44 +$64.25
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 12:40pm ET $381.21 25 $9,530.25
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $385.16 25 $9,629.00 $9,739.19 +$98.75
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 3:45pm ET $387.57 25 $9,689.25
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 10:15am ET $389.78 25 $9,744.50 $9,794.44 +$55.25
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 11:00am ET $399.24 24 $9,581.76
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET $384.14 24 $9,219.24 $9,431.92 $-362.52
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 3:20pm ET $377.08 25 $9,427.00
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:50pm ET $379.00 25 $9,475.00 $9,479.92 +$48.00
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 12:10pm ET $380.29 24 $9,126.96
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 10:00am ET $368.93 24 $8,854.32 $9,207.28 $-272.64
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 11:00am ET $363.67 25 $9,091.75
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 11:30am ET $368.51 25 $9,212.75 $9,328.28 +$121.00
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 10:05am ET $368.79 25 $9,219.63
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 10:35am ET $369.42 25 $9,235.47 $9,344.12 +$15.84
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 11:20am ET $365.64 25 $9,141.00
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 3:00pm ET $361.68 25 $9,042.00 $9,245.12 $-99.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:30am ET $369.54 25 $9,238.50
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $376.89 25 $9,422.25 $9,428.87 +$183.75
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 12:50pm ET $377.15 25 $9,428.75
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 1:20pm ET $378.42 25 $9,460.50 $9,460.62 +$31.75
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET $382.88 24 $9,189.12
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:40am ET $386.08 24 $9,265.92 $9,537.42 +$76.80
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 11:15am ET $376.88 25 $9,422.00
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:45am ET $374.11 25 $9,352.75 $9,468.17 $-69.25
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET $376.55 25 $9,413.63
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:20pm ET $376.61 25 $9,415.25 $9,469.79 +$1.62
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:45pm ET $377.10 25 $9,427.50
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 1:15pm ET $381.28 25 $9,532.00 $9,574.29 +$104.50
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:40am ET $383.38 24 $9,201.12
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:10pm ET $387.07 24 $9,289.68 $9,662.85 +$88.56
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET $387.74 24 $9,305.76
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:35pm ET $393.25 24 $9,438.00 $9,795.09 +$132.24
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $393.02 24 $9,432.48
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 3:10pm ET $395.47 24 $9,491.28 $9,853.89 +$58.80
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:10am ET $401.07 24 $9,625.68
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:40am ET $399.66 24 $9,591.84 $9,820.05 $-33.84
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $400.32 24 $9,607.68
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 12:35pm ET $408.04 24 $9,792.84 $10,005.21 +$185.16
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $411.73 24 $9,881.52
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $412.06 24 $9,889.39 $10,013.08 +$7.87
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 10:55am ET $418.13 23 $9,616.99
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 10:00am ET $399.16 23 $9,180.68 $9,576.77 $-436.31
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:40am ET $410.74 23 $9,447.02
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $409.96 23 $9,429.08 $9,558.83 $-17.94
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $410.10 23 $9,432.19
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $413.49 23 $9,510.18 $9,636.83 +$78.00
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:35am ET $425.36 22 $9,357.93
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:05am ET $423.63 22 $9,319.89 $9,598.79 $-38.04
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $438.08 21 $9,199.68
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:45pm ET $445.18 21 $9,348.78 $9,747.89 +$149.10
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET $447.01 21 $9,387.21
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:00am ET $456.37 21 $9,583.77 $9,944.45 +$196.56
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:05am ET $457.23 21 $9,601.83
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET $468.83 21 $9,845.43 $10,188.05 +$243.60
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:15am ET $468.82 21 $9,845.22
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $486.57 21 $10,217.97 $10,560.80 +$372.75
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:15pm ET $488.08 21 $10,249.68
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $501.64 21 $10,534.34 $10,845.46 +$284.66
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:15am ET $456.60 23 $10,501.80
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $451.25 23 $10,378.75 $10,722.41 $-123.05
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET $450.62 23 $10,364.26
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $446.00 23 $10,258.00 $10,616.15 $-106.26
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $456.35 23 $10,496.05
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $464.75 23 $10,689.25 $10,809.35 +$193.20
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $465.31 23 $10,702.13
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:35am ET $460.28 23 $10,586.44 $10,693.66 $-115.69
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $468.38 22 $10,304.36
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET $454.95 22 $10,008.90 $10,398.20 $-295.46
(-2.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
70 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:25am ET $462.13 22 $10,166.86
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $461.91 22 $10,162.02 $10,393.36 $-4.84
(-0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,393.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$393.36
Total Return: +3.93%
Back to Surge