Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:49:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,240
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,451.92
Current Value
$8,377.13
Period P&L
$-74.79
Max Drawdown
-24.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
70
Winners / Losers
32 / 38
Best Trade
+2.97%
Worst Trade
-5.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,206,114.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-74.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-74.79
Gross Return
-0.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 70 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,451.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 2:05pm ET $364.11 23 $8,374.53
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 10:00am ET $358.84 23 $8,253.32 $8,425.24 $-121.21
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 10:30am ET $361.45 23 $8,313.24
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:00am ET $361.60 23 $8,316.74 $8,428.75 +$3.51
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 11:30am ET $366.36 23 $8,426.28
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 12:00pm ET $363.48 23 $8,360.04 $8,362.51 $-66.24
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 10:35am ET $375.60 22 $8,263.20
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 11:05am ET $378.90 22 $8,335.80 $8,435.11 +$72.60
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 11:10am ET $379.81 22 $8,355.82
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 11:40am ET $380.35 22 $8,367.59 $8,446.88 +$11.77
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 10:40am ET $368.22 22 $8,100.73
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 11:10am ET $368.99 22 $8,117.78 $8,463.93 +$17.05
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 2:35pm ET $367.06 23 $8,442.38
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 3:05pm ET $372.71 23 $8,572.33 $8,593.88 +$129.95
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 3:10pm ET $372.65 23 $8,570.95
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 3:40pm ET $372.89 23 $8,576.47 $8,599.40 +$5.52
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 10:55am ET $367.16 23 $8,444.68
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 10:45am ET $363.43 23 $8,358.89 $8,513.61 $-85.79
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 10:50am ET $362.84 23 $8,345.32
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 10:15am ET $358.77 23 $8,251.71 $8,420.00 $-93.61
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2025 11:20am ET $350.37 24 $8,408.88
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 11:50am ET $353.53 24 $8,484.72 $8,495.84 +$75.84
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 11:55am ET $353.67 24 $8,488.08
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 12:25pm ET $360.11 24 $8,642.64 $8,650.40 +$154.56
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $360.18 24 $8,644.32
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 1:00pm ET $361.73 24 $8,681.52 $8,687.60 +$37.20
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 1:20pm ET $362.10 23 $8,328.30
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 1:50pm ET $361.90 23 $8,323.59 $8,682.88 $-4.72
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 11:55am ET $367.50 23 $8,452.50
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 12:25pm ET $366.57 23 $8,431.00 $8,661.37 $-21.51
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:15am ET $369.05 23 $8,488.04
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:20am ET $378.61 23 $8,707.92 $8,881.25 +$219.88
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 11:10am ET $369.68 24 $8,872.32
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 10:50am ET $365.98 24 $8,783.52 $8,792.45 $-88.80
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 3:50pm ET $370.58 23 $8,523.32
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:20am ET $367.99 23 $8,463.77 $8,732.90 $-59.55
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 12:00pm ET $364.00 23 $8,372.00
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 12:30pm ET $365.30 23 $8,401.90 $8,762.80 +$29.90
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $377.50 23 $8,682.50
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:00pm ET $373.52 23 $8,590.85 $8,671.14 $-91.66
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 10:15am ET $376.86 23 $8,667.78
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 10:45am ET $377.50 23 $8,682.50 $8,685.86 +$14.72
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 11:05am ET $372.26 23 $8,561.98
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 11:35am ET $379.85 23 $8,736.44 $8,860.32 +$174.46
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 11:40am ET $380.33 23 $8,747.59
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 12:10pm ET $384.76 23 $8,849.48 $8,962.21 +$101.89
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 1:00pm ET $385.74 23 $8,871.91
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 1:30pm ET $387.98 23 $8,923.54 $9,013.85 +$51.64
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 2:05pm ET $388.17 23 $8,927.91
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 11:40am ET $383.86 23 $8,828.78 $8,914.72 $-99.13
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:00am ET $394.77 22 $8,684.94
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 10:30am ET $402.51 22 $8,855.22 $9,085.00 +$170.28
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 11:10am ET $404.51 22 $8,899.22
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 11:40am ET $402.84 22 $8,862.48 $9,048.26 $-36.74
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 10:00am ET $403.22 22 $8,870.73
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2025 11:50am ET $398.46 22 $8,766.01 $8,943.54 $-104.72
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $404.49 22 $8,898.78
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET $408.94 22 $8,996.68 $9,041.44 +$97.90
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 10:05am ET $407.90 22 $8,973.69
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 10:35am ET $408.51 22 $8,987.11 $9,054.86 +$13.42
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 10:40am ET $408.69 22 $8,991.07
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2025 11:10am ET $408.88 22 $8,995.36 $9,059.15 +$4.29
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 12:00pm ET $411.89 21 $8,649.69
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 12:30pm ET $418.24 21 $8,783.04 $9,192.50 +$133.35
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 10:55am ET $422.91 21 $8,881.11
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 11:25am ET $420.22 21 $8,824.52 $9,135.90 $-56.60
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 2:25pm ET $422.83 21 $8,879.33
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 2:55pm ET $421.17 21 $8,844.47 $9,101.04 $-34.86
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 10:40am ET $410.38 22 $9,028.36
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 11:10am ET $408.73 22 $8,992.06 $9,064.74 $-36.30
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 10:30am ET $410.41 22 $9,028.91
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 10:10am ET $405.87 22 $8,929.14 $8,964.97 $-99.77
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 12:35pm ET $396.93 22 $8,732.46
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:00am ET $386.18 22 $8,495.96 $8,728.47 $-236.50
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:25am ET $381.28 22 $8,388.16
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 10:55am ET $383.85 22 $8,444.70 $8,785.01 +$56.54
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 11:00am ET $384.50 22 $8,459.00
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:05am ET $394.29 22 $8,674.38 $9,000.39 +$215.38
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 10:10am ET $393.57 22 $8,658.43
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 12:30pm ET $389.51 22 $8,569.22 $8,911.18 $-89.21
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 10:40am ET $391.76 22 $8,618.72
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 11:10am ET $392.04 22 $8,624.88 $8,917.34 +$6.16
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 12:25pm ET $387.64 23 $8,915.72
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 10:30am ET $383.48 23 $8,820.04 $8,821.66 $-95.68
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 10:15am ET $381.42 23 $8,772.66
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 10:45am ET $380.05 23 $8,741.15 $8,790.15 $-31.51
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 11:10am ET $380.72 23 $8,756.56
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET $375.65 23 $8,639.95 $8,673.54 $-116.61
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $378.44 22 $8,325.68
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 10:25am ET $372.84 22 $8,202.37 $8,550.23 $-123.31
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:05pm ET $374.79 22 $8,245.38
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $370.90 22 $8,159.80 $8,464.65 $-85.58
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:20am ET $340.69 24 $8,176.56
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:50am ET $340.23 24 $8,165.40 $8,453.49 $-11.16
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET $343.85 24 $8,252.40
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:35pm ET $352.58 24 $8,461.98 $8,663.07 +$209.58
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:55am ET $356.14 24 $8,547.36
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:25pm ET $356.42 24 $8,553.96 $8,669.67 +$6.60
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 10:50am ET $360.22 24 $8,645.28
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET $353.94 24 $8,494.48 $8,518.87 $-150.80
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:35am ET $353.88 24 $8,493.12
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:00am ET $349.28 24 $8,382.72 $8,408.47 $-110.40
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:55pm ET $350.34 24 $8,408.16
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:35am ET $359.95 24 $8,638.80 $8,639.11 +$230.64
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 12:20pm ET $362.51 23 $8,337.66
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:35pm ET $358.82 23 $8,252.75 $8,554.20 $-84.91
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:40am ET $357.22 23 $8,216.06
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $356.68 23 $8,203.64 $8,541.78 $-12.42
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:20pm ET $347.60 24 $8,342.40
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:45pm ET $349.77 24 $8,394.36 $8,593.74 +$51.96
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $345.55 24 $8,293.08
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:20am ET $344.67 24 $8,272.08 $8,572.74 $-21.00
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET $343.74 24 $8,249.76
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $353.96 24 $8,495.04 $8,818.02 +$245.28
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET $354.79 24 $8,514.96
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:15am ET $364.62 24 $8,750.88 $9,053.94 +$235.92
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET $367.32 24 $8,815.68
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET $375.68 24 $9,016.32 $9,254.58 +$200.64
(+2.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $377.67 24 $9,064.08
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $375.90 24 $9,021.60 $9,212.10 $-42.48
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET $382.17 24 $9,171.96
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $375.90 24 $9,021.60 $9,061.74 $-150.36
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $378.74 23 $8,710.91
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:55am ET $384.51 23 $8,843.73 $9,194.56 +$132.82
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $374.32 24 $8,983.68
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $378.10 24 $9,074.40 $9,285.28 +$90.72
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:15am ET $389.27 23 $8,953.21
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET $385.03 23 $8,855.69 $9,187.76 $-97.52
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:30am ET $389.64 23 $8,961.61
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $385.02 23 $8,855.46 $9,081.61 $-106.15
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $386.13 23 $8,880.99
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $381.06 23 $8,764.38 $8,965.00 $-116.61
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $389.37 23 $8,955.51
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET $385.44 23 $8,865.12 $8,874.61 $-90.39
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:55am ET $390.07 22 $8,581.54
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:25pm ET $390.00 22 $8,580.00 $8,873.07 $-1.54
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:30am ET $393.24 22 $8,651.39
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.48 22 $8,590.56 $8,812.24 $-60.83
(-0.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
70 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $330.82 26 $8,601.32
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $314.08 26 $8,166.21 $8,377.13 $-435.11
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
42.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,377.13
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,622.87
Total Return: -16.23%
Back to Surge