Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:51:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 29.3/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 21.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,925
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,092.40
Current Value
$13,119.35
Period P&L
$3,026.95
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
31 / 29
Best Trade
+16.49%
Worst Trade
-5.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.47%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,334,070.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,026.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,026.95
Gross Return
+29.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,092.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 10:50am ET $532.48 19 $10,117.20
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 10:00am ET $526.07 19 $9,995.33 $10,027.42 $-121.87
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 11:15am ET $531.25 18 $9,562.41
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:45am ET $531.18 18 $9,561.24 $10,026.25 $-1.17
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 1:20pm ET $537.77 18 $9,679.77
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 2:05pm ET $531.38 18 $9,564.75 $9,911.23 $-115.02
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 11:40am ET $544.17 18 $9,795.06
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $538.24 18 $9,688.32 $9,804.49 $-106.74
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 10:50am ET $559.82 17 $9,516.94
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 10:55am ET $554.04 17 $9,418.68 $9,706.23 $-98.26
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 10:10am ET $540.71 17 $9,192.07
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 10:40am ET $552.41 17 $9,390.97 $9,905.13 +$198.90
(+2.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 2:10pm ET $555.72 17 $9,447.16
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 2:40pm ET $556.76 17 $9,464.84 $9,922.81 +$17.68
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 2:40pm ET $553.00 17 $9,401.00
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 3:10pm ET $550.27 17 $9,354.59 $9,876.40 $-46.41
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2025 10:55am ET $556.90 17 $9,467.30
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 11:30am ET $563.67 17 $9,582.39 $9,991.49 +$115.09
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 10:35am ET $513.86 19 $9,763.34
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 11:05am ET $520.04 19 $9,880.67 $10,108.81 +$117.32
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 3:20pm ET $512.74 19 $9,742.06
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $522.54 19 $9,928.17 $10,294.91 +$186.10
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $522.85 19 $9,934.15
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 10:20am ET $536.80 19 $10,199.20 $10,559.96 +$265.05
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 10:25am ET $537.73 19 $10,216.87
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $532.11 19 $10,110.09 $10,453.18 $-106.78
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 10:05am ET $539.21 19 $10,244.99
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $533.72 19 $10,140.68 $10,348.87 $-104.31
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 3:00pm ET $543.84 19 $10,332.96
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET $537.74 19 $10,216.97 $10,232.87 $-116.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 10:05am ET $550.70 18 $9,912.60
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 10:30am ET $544.19 18 $9,795.42 $10,115.69 $-117.18
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 10:15am ET $517.05 19 $9,823.95
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 10:30am ET $511.60 19 $9,720.40 $10,012.14 $-103.55
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 11:00am ET $516.36 19 $9,810.84
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 11:30am ET $518.34 19 $9,848.46 $10,049.76 +$37.62
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 10:40am ET $497.03 20 $9,940.60
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 11:10am ET $500.79 20 $10,015.80 $10,124.96 +$75.20
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 11:10am ET $481.80 21 $10,117.70
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 11:40am ET $483.05 21 $10,144.05 $10,151.31 +$26.35
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 10:40am ET $473.99 21 $9,953.79
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 11:10am ET $476.36 21 $10,003.56 $10,201.08 +$49.77
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2025 10:10am ET $485.92 20 $9,718.45
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 2:35pm ET $480.76 20 $9,615.20 $10,097.83 $-103.25
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:35am ET $485.16 20 $9,703.20
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 11:55am ET $480.26 20 $9,605.20 $9,999.83 $-98.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET $474.66 21 $9,967.76
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 10:30am ET $474.06 21 $9,955.16 $9,987.23 $-12.60
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 2:15pm ET $470.46 21 $9,879.66
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 2:45pm ET $472.77 21 $9,928.17 $10,035.74 +$48.51
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 10:00am ET $443.81 22 $9,763.82
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET $465.52 22 $10,241.44 $10,513.36 +$477.62
(+4.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 10:05am ET $464.82 22 $10,226.04
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 10:35am ET $467.08 22 $10,275.76 $10,563.08 +$49.72
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 10:45am ET $468.99 22 $10,317.78
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 11:15am ET $468.57 22 $10,308.54 $10,553.84 $-9.24
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 10:45am ET $458.24 23 $10,539.41
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 10:00am ET $451.44 23 $10,383.12 $10,397.55 $-156.29
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 11:20am ET $442.49 23 $10,177.27
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 11:50am ET $449.25 23 $10,332.64 $10,552.92 +$155.37
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 11:55am ET $448.90 23 $10,324.59
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2025 12:25pm ET $447.81 23 $10,299.63 $10,527.97 $-24.95
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 11:50am ET $445.48 23 $10,246.04
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET $439.26 23 $10,102.98 $10,384.91 $-143.06
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 10:35am ET $440.88 23 $10,140.13
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 10:30am ET $452.10 23 $10,398.30 $10,643.09 +$258.18
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:35am ET $454.37 23 $10,450.51
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 11:05am ET $455.73 23 $10,481.79 $10,674.37 +$31.28
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 10:15am ET $446.20 23 $10,262.49
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 10:45am ET $446.70 23 $10,274.10 $10,685.98 +$11.61
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 10:30am ET $436.80 24 $10,483.20
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 11:00am ET $435.12 24 $10,442.88 $10,645.66 $-40.32
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 11:05am ET $434.58 24 $10,429.92
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 11:35am ET $435.32 24 $10,447.56 $10,663.30 +$17.64
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 10:20am ET $443.22 24 $10,637.28
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 10:00am ET $459.00 24 $11,016.00 $11,042.02 +$378.72
(+3.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 11:00am ET $465.38 23 $10,703.63
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:00am ET $542.10 23 $12,468.23 $12,806.62 +$1,764.60
(+16.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 11:50am ET $543.80 23 $12,507.40
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 12:20pm ET $550.04 23 $12,650.92 $12,950.14 +$143.52
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 2:15pm ET $549.49 23 $12,638.16
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $543.65 23 $12,504.03 $12,816.01 $-134.13
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 11:55am ET $536.88 23 $12,348.24
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 12:25pm ET $537.24 23 $12,356.41 $12,824.18 +$8.17
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 12:05pm ET $541.87 23 $12,463.01
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 12:35pm ET $542.71 23 $12,482.33 $12,843.50 +$19.32
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET $547.45 23 $12,591.24
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:15pm ET $561.68 23 $12,918.64 $13,170.90 +$327.40
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $576.07 22 $12,673.43
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:15am ET $573.40 22 $12,614.80 $13,112.27 $-58.63
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:30am ET $553.02 23 $12,719.46
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $547.00 23 $12,581.01 $12,973.82 $-138.45
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:30am ET $557.99 23 $12,833.66
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET $571.98 23 $13,155.65 $13,295.82 +$322.00
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET $559.56 23 $12,869.88
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:20pm ET $568.13 23 $13,066.99 $13,492.93 +$197.11
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:25pm ET $568.84 23 $13,083.21
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET $562.76 23 $12,943.48 $13,353.20 $-139.73
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:15am ET $569.66 23 $13,102.18
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:45am ET $576.42 23 $13,257.55 $13,508.57 +$155.37
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:10pm ET $572.83 23 $13,175.09
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 1:40pm ET $581.59 23 $13,376.57 $13,710.05 +$201.48
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 1:45pm ET $581.32 23 $13,370.25
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $574.46 23 $13,212.47 $13,552.27 $-157.78
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:20am ET $566.83 23 $13,037.09
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $586.12 23 $13,480.65 $13,995.82 +$443.55
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:10am ET $586.00 23 $13,477.89
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:40am ET $599.47 23 $13,787.81 $14,305.75 +$309.93
(+2.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:25am ET $601.97 23 $13,845.31
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $595.58 23 $13,698.23 $14,158.66 $-147.09
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:20am ET $531.26 26 $13,812.76
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $525.41 26 $13,660.77 $14,006.67 $-151.99
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:20am ET $531.35 26 $13,815.10
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:25am ET $525.81 26 $13,671.06 $13,862.63 $-144.04
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET $492.66 28 $13,794.48
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $496.40 28 $13,899.20 $13,967.35 +$104.72
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:25am ET $493.53 28 $13,818.84
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $488.35 28 $13,673.80 $13,822.31 $-145.04
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $469.99 29 $13,629.71
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $445.75 29 $12,926.75 $13,119.35 $-702.96
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
27.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,119.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,119.35
Total Return: +31.19%
Back to Surge