Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:51:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.1/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 37.4/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 27.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,035
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,599.29
Current Value
$12,818.35
Period P&L
$1,219.06
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
63
Winners / Losers
36 / 27
Best Trade
+2.66%
Worst Trade
-3.23%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,436,128.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,219.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,219.06
Gross Return
+10.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 63 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,599.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 10:55am ET $155.36 74 $11,496.64
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:25am ET $156.90 74 $11,610.60 $11,713.25 +$113.96
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 11:30am ET $157.10 74 $11,625.40
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 10:00am ET $154.97 74 $11,467.78 $11,555.63 $-157.62
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 11:00am ET $155.01 74 $11,470.74
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 10:00am ET $150.00 74 $11,100.00 $11,184.89 $-370.74
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $149.62 74 $11,071.88
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 10:25am ET $152.09 74 $11,254.29 $11,367.30 +$182.41
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 2:05pm ET $154.00 73 $11,241.64
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 2:35pm ET $153.65 73 $11,216.09 $11,341.75 $-25.55
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 3:15pm ET $154.01 73 $11,242.73
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 11:10am ET $152.29 73 $11,117.17 $11,216.19 $-125.56
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 3:50pm ET $155.29 72 $11,180.88
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 10:20am ET $154.11 72 $11,095.92 $11,131.23 $-84.96
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 12:05pm ET $156.83 70 $10,978.10
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 12:35pm ET $155.73 70 $10,901.10 $11,054.23 $-77.00
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 1:05pm ET $152.27 72 $10,963.44
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 1:35pm ET $152.47 72 $10,977.84 $11,068.63 +$14.40
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 3:10pm ET $152.79 72 $11,000.88
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 3:40pm ET $151.74 72 $10,925.28 $10,993.03 $-75.60
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 11:55am ET $152.82 71 $10,850.22
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 12:25pm ET $151.82 71 $10,779.22 $10,922.03 $-71.00
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:20am ET $154.51 70 $10,815.70
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 10:50am ET $155.49 70 $10,884.30 $10,990.63 +$68.60
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:30am ET $156.72 70 $10,970.40
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $154.79 70 $10,835.30 $10,855.53 $-135.10
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:05am ET $158.22 68 $10,758.96
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:00am ET $156.60 68 $10,648.80 $10,745.37 $-110.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 11:40am ET $165.74 64 $10,607.36
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 2:25pm ET $163.86 64 $10,487.04 $10,625.05 $-120.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2025 10:55am ET $164.61 64 $10,535.04
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 11:25am ET $166.47 64 $10,653.76 $10,743.77 +$118.72
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 3:30pm ET $167.85 64 $10,742.40
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 10:00am ET $169.64 64 $10,856.96 $10,858.33 +$114.56
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 12:05pm ET $168.63 64 $10,792.00
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 12:35pm ET $168.07 64 $10,756.48 $10,822.81 $-35.52
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 1:50pm ET $167.17 64 $10,698.88
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 2:20pm ET $169.92 64 $10,874.88 $10,998.81 +$176.00
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 2:25pm ET $169.91 64 $10,874.24
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 2:55pm ET $170.27 64 $10,897.28 $11,021.85 +$23.04
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 10:15am ET $170.97 64 $10,942.08
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 10:45am ET $170.38 64 $10,904.35 $10,984.12 $-37.73
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 10:50am ET $173.11 63 $10,905.62
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 11:20am ET $173.29 63 $10,916.96 $10,995.46 +$11.34
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 1:45pm ET $174.85 62 $10,840.39
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 2:15pm ET $176.90 62 $10,967.80 $11,122.87 +$127.41
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 2:20pm ET $177.07 62 $10,978.49
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 2:50pm ET $176.69 62 $10,954.78 $11,099.16 $-23.71
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:35am ET $178.04 62 $11,038.17
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 11:05am ET $179.43 62 $11,124.66 $11,185.65 +$86.49
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 1:45pm ET $180.02 62 $11,161.23
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:40am ET $177.85 62 $11,026.70 $11,051.12 $-134.53
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 1:40pm ET $176.90 62 $10,967.80
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 2:10pm ET $178.18 62 $11,047.16 $11,130.48 +$79.36
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 11:00am ET $179.47 62 $11,127.28
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 1:55pm ET $177.58 62 $11,009.96 $11,013.16 $-117.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 10:45am ET $178.54 61 $10,890.94
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 10:00am ET $176.58 61 $10,771.38 $10,893.60 $-119.56
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 11:10am ET $177.65 61 $10,836.65
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 11:40am ET $177.90 61 $10,851.90 $10,908.85 +$15.25
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 12:40pm ET $176.67 61 $10,776.57
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 12:25pm ET $174.82 61 $10,664.02 $10,796.30 $-112.55
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 10:50am ET $179.20 60 $10,751.70
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 11:20am ET $180.53 60 $10,831.78 $10,876.38 +$80.08
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 2:20pm ET $181.32 59 $10,697.88
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 2:50pm ET $185.58 59 $10,949.22 $11,127.72 +$251.34
(+2.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 2:55pm ET $185.76 59 $10,959.84
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 3:25pm ET $186.22 59 $10,986.92 $11,154.80 +$27.08
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:10am ET $188.84 59 $11,141.56
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:40am ET $188.87 59 $11,143.33 $11,156.57 +$1.77
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:00am ET $187.02 59 $11,034.18
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 11:30am ET $189.16 59 $11,160.44 $11,282.83 +$126.26
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 3:20pm ET $190.18 59 $11,220.62
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 3:50pm ET $190.89 59 $11,262.22 $11,324.42 +$41.59
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 10:25am ET $192.98 58 $11,192.84
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 10:55am ET $192.21 58 $11,148.18 $11,279.76 $-44.66
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:40am ET $188.87 59 $11,143.33
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 12:10pm ET $188.39 59 $11,115.01 $11,251.44 $-28.32
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 2:55pm ET $188.97 59 $11,148.94
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 12:25pm ET $187.05 59 $11,035.95 $11,138.45 $-112.99
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 11:10am ET $187.48 59 $11,061.32
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 11:40am ET $191.37 59 $11,290.83 $11,367.96 +$229.51
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:45am ET $191.61 59 $11,304.99
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 12:15pm ET $194.52 59 $11,476.68 $11,539.65 +$171.69
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 1:15pm ET $195.10 59 $11,510.61
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:45pm ET $195.94 59 $11,560.46 $11,589.50 +$49.85
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 12:30pm ET $196.17 59 $11,574.03
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:00pm ET $199.60 59 $11,776.40 $11,791.87 +$202.37
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 1:05pm ET $199.56 59 $11,774.04
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 1:35pm ET $199.66 59 $11,779.94 $11,797.77 +$5.90
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:15am ET $201.93 58 $11,711.94
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:45am ET $202.01 58 $11,716.58 $11,802.41 +$4.64
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $205.26 57 $11,699.82
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:55am ET $205.28 57 $11,700.96 $11,803.55 +$1.14
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 11:00am ET $205.48 57 $11,712.36
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:30am ET $206.89 57 $11,792.73 $11,883.92 +$80.37
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 10:40am ET $203.64 58 $11,811.12
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $209.06 58 $12,125.48 $12,198.28 +$314.36
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:25am ET $210.33 57 $11,988.82
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $210.35 57 $11,989.95 $12,199.41 +$1.13
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:40pm ET $211.77 57 $12,070.89
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:10am ET $212.68 57 $12,122.76 $12,251.28 +$51.87
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:15am ET $210.25 58 $12,194.50
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:45am ET $209.05 58 $12,124.90 $12,181.68 $-69.60
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 10:20am ET $207.05 58 $12,008.90
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:45pm ET $206.99 58 $12,005.42 $12,178.20 $-3.48
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET $207.14 58 $12,014.12
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:20am ET $212.33 58 $12,315.14 $12,479.22 +$301.02
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:25am ET $212.79 58 $12,341.82
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:55am ET $217.72 58 $12,627.76 $12,765.16 +$285.94
(+2.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:00am ET $217.51 58 $12,615.44
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 11:30am ET $217.77 58 $12,630.66 $12,780.39 +$15.23
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET $219.46 58 $12,728.68
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $218.73 58 $12,686.34 $12,738.05 $-42.34
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:45am ET $217.95 58 $12,640.93
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET $215.62 58 $12,505.96 $12,603.08 $-134.97
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:45am ET $225.07 55 $12,378.85
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $227.52 55 $12,513.33 $12,737.56 +$134.48
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET $238.91 53 $12,662.23
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:45am ET $239.45 53 $12,690.59 $12,765.92 +$28.36
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $240.82 53 $12,763.72
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $238.40 53 $12,634.94 $12,637.13 $-128.79
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET $240.43 52 $12,502.36
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $244.38 52 $12,707.50 $12,842.27 +$205.14
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $244.42 52 $12,709.84
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $243.96 52 $12,685.92 $12,818.35 $-23.92
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,818.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,818.35
Total Return: +28.18%
Back to Surge