Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:10:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.5/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 17.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,648
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,801.39
Current Value
$11,640.58
Period P&L
$839.19
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
73
Winners / Losers
33 / 40
Best Trade
+3.01%
Worst Trade
-2.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,610,743.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$839.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$839.19
Gross Return
+7.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 73 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,801.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 10:50am ET $749.30 14 $10,490.20
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 11:20am ET $751.16 14 $10,516.24 $10,827.43 +$26.04
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 12:05pm ET $729.61 14 $10,214.58
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:00am ET $751.56 14 $10,521.82 $11,134.67 +$307.24
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 1:15pm ET $754.32 14 $10,560.48
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 1:45pm ET $751.66 14 $10,523.24 $11,097.43 $-37.24
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 10:00am ET $723.21 15 $10,848.15
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 10:30am ET $722.24 15 $10,833.53 $11,082.81 $-14.62
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 10:00am ET $731.40 15 $10,970.93
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:30am ET $738.16 15 $11,072.40 $11,184.29 +$101.48
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 11:15am ET $743.85 15 $11,157.68
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 11:45am ET $754.62 15 $11,319.30 $11,345.92 +$161.63
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 2:40pm ET $756.31 15 $11,344.65
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 3:10pm ET $766.85 15 $11,502.75 $11,504.02 +$158.10
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 10:05am ET $794.17 14 $11,118.31
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 10:00am ET $815.19 14 $11,412.66 $11,798.37 +$294.35
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 10:45am ET $819.73 14 $11,476.15
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 2:10pm ET $811.26 14 $11,357.64 $11,679.86 $-118.51
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 11:00am ET $818.22 14 $11,455.08
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 1:55pm ET $809.50 14 $11,333.00 $11,557.78 $-122.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 1:50pm ET $775.97 14 $10,863.58
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 12:25pm ET $796.82 14 $11,155.48 $11,849.68 +$291.90
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 12:30pm ET $796.80 14 $11,155.22
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 1:00pm ET $795.64 14 $11,138.89 $11,833.35 $-16.33
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:35am ET $788.34 15 $11,825.03
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 12:35pm ET $780.04 15 $11,700.60 $11,708.92 $-124.43
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:30am ET $790.51 14 $11,067.07
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $773.02 14 $10,822.28 $11,464.13 $-244.79
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:55am ET $795.79 14 $11,141.06
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:00am ET $786.82 14 $11,015.48 $11,338.55 $-125.58
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $800.74 14 $11,210.36
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 10:15am ET $789.32 14 $11,050.48 $11,178.67 $-159.88
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 10:35am ET $788.98 14 $11,045.72
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 11:05am ET $789.24 14 $11,049.36 $11,182.31 +$3.64
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 11:15am ET $789.50 14 $11,053.00
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 12:05pm ET $780.11 14 $10,921.54 $11,050.85 $-131.46
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 10:25am ET $774.28 14 $10,839.95
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 10:30am ET $765.90 14 $10,722.60 $10,933.50 $-117.35
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 11:15am ET $788.81 13 $10,254.53
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 11:45am ET $803.70 13 $10,448.10 $11,127.07 +$193.57
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 10:45am ET $777.32 14 $10,882.48
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 11:30am ET $767.97 14 $10,751.58 $10,996.17 $-130.90
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 11:45am ET $764.50 14 $10,703.00
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:40pm ET $754.04 14 $10,556.56 $10,849.73 $-146.44
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:40am ET $768.08 14 $10,753.12
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 10:15am ET $759.26 14 $10,629.57 $10,726.18 $-123.55
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 10:10am ET $644.96 16 $10,319.36
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 3:20pm ET $638.24 16 $10,211.76 $10,618.58 $-107.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 11:45am ET $660.00 16 $10,560.00
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 12:15pm ET $677.07 16 $10,833.12 $10,891.70 +$273.12
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 12:20pm ET $676.31 16 $10,820.96
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 11:55am ET $694.00 16 $11,104.04 $11,174.78 +$283.08
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 1:25pm ET $705.17 15 $10,577.48
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 1:55pm ET $700.31 15 $10,504.70 $11,102.00 $-72.78
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:15am ET $713.30 15 $10,699.50
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 1:50pm ET $705.20 15 $10,578.06 $10,980.56 $-121.44
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2025 3:30pm ET $731.80 15 $10,976.93
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 10:00am ET $734.37 15 $11,015.55 $11,019.19 +$38.63
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 1:05pm ET $745.60 14 $10,438.33
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET $728.36 14 $10,197.04 $10,777.90 $-241.29
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 1:20pm ET $733.41 14 $10,267.74
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 12:15pm ET $752.12 14 $10,529.68 $11,039.84 +$261.94
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 12:20pm ET $752.82 14 $10,539.48
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 12:50pm ET $746.35 14 $10,448.90 $10,949.26 $-90.58
(-0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 3:15pm ET $752.28 14 $10,531.93
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2025 3:45pm ET $759.19 14 $10,628.66 $11,045.99 +$96.73
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $758.31 14 $10,616.34
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 10:20am ET $750.26 14 $10,503.64 $10,933.29 $-112.70
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 10:50am ET $757.30 14 $10,602.20
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 11:20am ET $773.89 14 $10,834.46 $11,165.55 +$232.26
(+2.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 10:15am ET $757.43 14 $10,603.99
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 10:00am ET $748.14 14 $10,473.89 $11,035.45 $-130.10
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:15am ET $736.38 14 $10,309.32
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 10:45am ET $728.99 14 $10,205.89 $10,932.02 $-103.43
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:05am ET $798.52 13 $10,380.76
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 12:55pm ET $820.22 13 $10,662.86 $11,214.12 +$282.10
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:15am ET $832.89 13 $10,827.55
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:45am ET $850.96 13 $11,062.42 $11,448.98 +$234.86
(+2.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 11:15am ET $855.83 13 $11,125.73
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 1:05pm ET $847.14 13 $11,012.83 $11,336.08 $-112.90
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:10am ET $862.27 13 $11,209.45
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET $852.11 13 $11,077.43 $11,204.06 $-132.02
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 10:30am ET $822.24 13 $10,689.12
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 11:00am ET $826.74 13 $10,747.56 $11,262.50 +$58.44
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 11:15am ET $809.85 13 $10,528.05
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 11:45am ET $819.73 13 $10,656.49 $11,390.94 +$128.44
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET $830.77 13 $10,800.01
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 10:00am ET $815.43 13 $10,600.59 $11,191.52 $-199.42
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 10:55am ET $845.75 13 $10,994.75
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 11:25am ET $850.96 13 $11,062.42 $11,259.19 +$67.67
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 11:40am ET $852.27 13 $11,079.51
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET $877.35 13 $11,405.55 $11,585.23 +$326.04
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 12:05pm ET $888.09 13 $11,545.17
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET $913.33 13 $11,873.28 $11,913.34 +$328.11
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:30am ET $911.34 13 $11,847.38
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 10:40am ET $898.21 13 $11,676.73 $11,742.69 $-170.65
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 10:30am ET $941.04 12 $11,292.48
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:05pm ET $929.64 12 $11,155.68 $11,605.89 $-136.80
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 10:30am ET $937.42 12 $11,249.04
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 12:15pm ET $925.10 12 $11,101.20 $11,458.05 $-147.84
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:40am ET $985.05 11 $10,835.50
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $1,012.45 11 $11,136.95 $11,759.51 +$301.46
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET $1,029.36 11 $11,322.96
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET $1,013.98 11 $11,153.73 $11,590.28 $-169.23
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:45am ET $1,028.36 11 $11,311.96
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 12:15pm ET $1,037.95 11 $11,417.45 $11,695.77 +$105.49
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:20pm ET $1,038.39 11 $11,422.24
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:50pm ET $1,052.00 11 $11,572.00 $11,845.54 +$149.77
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 1:00pm ET $1,050.76 11 $11,558.36
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:30pm ET $1,043.77 11 $11,481.42 $11,768.60 $-76.94
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 1:50pm ET $1,065.06 11 $11,715.66
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $1,053.92 11 $11,593.12 $11,646.06 $-122.54
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:55am ET $1,097.82 10 $10,978.20
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 12:25pm ET $1,105.50 10 $11,055.00 $11,722.86 +$76.80
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 1:40pm ET $998.86 11 $10,987.41
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:20am ET $1,024.24 11 $11,266.65 $12,002.10 +$279.24
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:25am ET $1,025.99 11 $11,285.89
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:50am ET $1,015.34 11 $11,168.74 $11,884.95 $-117.15
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:10am ET $1,023.00 11 $11,253.00
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET $1,051.65 11 $11,568.15 $12,200.10 +$315.15
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 3:25pm ET $1,062.56 11 $11,688.16
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 11:05am ET $1,050.17 11 $11,551.87 $12,063.81 $-136.29
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:35pm ET $1,074.23 11 $11,816.53
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:05am ET $1,079.02 11 $11,869.22 $12,116.50 +$52.69
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,080.37 11 $11,884.07
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $1,048.07 11 $11,528.77 $11,761.20 $-355.30
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:05am ET $1,069.29 10 $10,692.90
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:30am ET $1,057.86 10 $10,578.55 $11,646.85 $-114.35
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
65 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET $1,074.42 10 $10,744.20
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:35am ET $1,085.32 10 $10,853.20 $11,755.85 +$109.00
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
66 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET $1,088.51 10 $10,885.10
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $1,076.87 10 $10,768.70 $11,639.45 $-116.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
67 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:05am ET $1,044.32 11 $11,487.52
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $1,032.56 11 $11,358.11 $11,510.04 $-129.41
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
68 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $1,043.25 11 $11,475.75
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $1,071.49 11 $11,786.39 $11,820.68 +$310.64
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
69 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:20am ET $1,071.95 11 $11,791.45
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:50am ET $1,087.50 11 $11,962.50 $11,991.73 +$171.05
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
70 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $1,088.73 11 $11,976.03
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:30am ET $1,076.63 11 $11,842.88 $11,858.57 $-133.16
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
71 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,042.55 11 $11,468.05
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,044.62 11 $11,490.82 $11,881.34 +$22.77
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
72 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET $1,107.35 10 $11,073.55
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:25am ET $1,095.00 10 $10,950.00 $11,757.79 $-123.55
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
73 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $1,039.55 11 $11,435.05
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET $1,028.90 11 $11,317.85 $11,640.58 $-117.21
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,640.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,640.58
Total Return: +16.41%
Back to Surge