Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:48:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
6.6/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 18.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 17.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,533
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,218.21
Current Value
$10,516.77
Period P&L
$-701.44
Max Drawdown
-10.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
29 / 29
Best Trade
+3.66%
Worst Trade
-5.23%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,301,030.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-701.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-701.44
Gross Return
-6.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,218.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 10:25am ET $562.47 20 $11,249.40
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 10:55am ET $564.36 20 $11,287.20 $11,370.41 +$37.80
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 11:00am ET $563.52 20 $11,270.33
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 11:30am ET $562.63 20 $11,252.50 $11,352.58 $-17.83
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 12:10pm ET $564.24 20 $11,284.80
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 12:40pm ET $573.36 20 $11,467.20 $11,534.98 +$182.40
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 12:45pm ET $573.09 20 $11,461.70
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 10:20am ET $567.00 20 $11,339.90 $11,413.18 $-121.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 12:05pm ET $581.00 19 $11,039.00
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 12:35pm ET $582.48 19 $11,067.12 $11,441.30 +$28.12
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 12:55pm ET $588.24 19 $11,176.47
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 10:00am ET $582.11 19 $11,060.09 $11,324.92 $-116.38
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 1:30pm ET $571.75 19 $10,863.16
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 10:00am ET $565.37 19 $10,741.94 $11,203.70 $-121.22
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 12:35pm ET $572.87 19 $10,884.47
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 1:05pm ET $578.15 19 $10,984.85 $11,304.08 +$100.38
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 3:10pm ET $582.37 19 $11,065.03
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:00am ET $576.26 19 $10,948.94 $11,187.99 $-116.09
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 1:10pm ET $588.75 19 $11,186.25
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 1:40pm ET $593.48 19 $11,276.03 $11,277.77 +$89.78
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 1:50pm ET $593.41 19 $11,274.79
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 12:00pm ET $587.40 19 $11,160.51 $11,163.48 $-114.29
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 10:20am ET $534.59 20 $10,691.70
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 10:00am ET $554.14 20 $11,082.80 $11,554.58 +$391.10
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 12:05pm ET $555.24 20 $11,104.80
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2025 12:35pm ET $557.68 20 $11,153.60 $11,603.38 +$48.80
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 12:40pm ET $558.48 20 $11,169.50
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 1:10pm ET $563.76 20 $11,275.20 $11,709.08 +$105.70
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 1:15pm ET $564.14 20 $11,282.70
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 12:10pm ET $558.35 20 $11,167.00 $11,593.38 $-115.70
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 10:10am ET $566.92 20 $11,338.40
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 1:35pm ET $562.19 20 $11,243.70 $11,498.68 $-94.70
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 3:40pm ET $554.97 20 $11,099.40
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 10:10am ET $553.15 20 $11,062.90 $11,462.18 $-36.50
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 12:40pm ET $560.76 20 $11,215.20
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 1:10pm ET $567.11 20 $11,342.20 $11,589.18 +$127.00
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 1:15pm ET $566.72 20 $11,334.40
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 1:45pm ET $569.15 20 $11,383.00 $11,637.78 +$48.60
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 1:50pm ET $569.49 20 $11,389.80
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 2:20pm ET $567.36 20 $11,347.20 $11,595.18 $-42.60
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 10:20am ET $579.05 20 $11,580.90
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 1:20pm ET $573.08 20 $11,461.50 $11,475.78 $-119.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 10:05am ET $569.33 20 $11,386.60
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 10:35am ET $571.72 20 $11,434.40 $11,523.58 +$47.80
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 3:15pm ET $583.68 19 $11,089.83
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 3:45pm ET $582.65 19 $11,070.35 $11,504.11 $-19.47
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 10:25am ET $589.43 19 $11,199.17
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 10:55am ET $590.61 19 $11,221.50 $11,526.44 +$22.33
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 11:05am ET $596.01 19 $11,324.19
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 10:15am ET $589.28 19 $11,196.32 $11,398.57 $-127.87
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 11:55am ET $586.99 19 $11,152.81
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 12:25pm ET $584.63 19 $11,107.88 $11,353.63 $-44.94
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 11:30am ET $586.19 19 $11,137.61
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 12:00pm ET $582.55 19 $11,068.45 $11,284.47 $-69.16
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 1:15pm ET $584.64 19 $11,108.16
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2025 1:45pm ET $594.64 19 $11,298.16 $11,474.47 +$190.00
(+1.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:05pm ET $596.55 19 $11,334.42
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 2:10pm ET $590.47 19 $11,218.93 $11,358.98 $-115.49
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 3:35pm ET $569.09 19 $10,812.71
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:05am ET $574.96 19 $10,924.24 $11,470.51 +$111.53
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET $574.11 19 $10,908.09
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 10:40am ET $574.55 19 $10,916.45 $11,478.87 +$8.36
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 2:10pm ET $578.15 19 $10,984.76
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 2:40pm ET $579.05 19 $11,001.86 $11,495.97 +$17.10
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET $565.65 20 $11,312.90
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:30am ET $567.03 20 $11,340.66 $11,523.73 +$27.76
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 10:10am ET $560.57 20 $11,211.40
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 10:40am ET $562.21 20 $11,244.10 $11,556.43 +$32.70
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 1:10pm ET $563.90 20 $11,278.00
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 1:40pm ET $572.26 20 $11,445.20 $11,723.63 +$167.20
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 2:00pm ET $572.45 20 $11,449.00
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 2:30pm ET $573.56 20 $11,471.20 $11,745.83 +$22.20
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 12:25pm ET $553.15 21 $11,616.15
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET $543.41 21 $11,411.61 $11,541.29 $-204.54
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 11:05am ET $552.33 20 $11,046.60
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 11:35am ET $551.56 20 $11,031.10 $11,525.79 $-15.50
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 12:45pm ET $555.67 20 $11,113.40
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 1:15pm ET $562.75 20 $11,255.00 $11,667.39 +$141.60
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:10am ET $538.17 21 $11,301.57
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:40am ET $543.32 21 $11,409.72 $11,775.54 +$108.15
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 2:50pm ET $549.96 21 $11,549.06
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:20pm ET $547.18 21 $11,490.78 $11,717.26 $-58.28
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:20am ET $550.27 21 $11,555.67
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:45pm ET $548.51 21 $11,518.71 $11,680.30 $-36.96
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:50am ET $549.41 21 $11,537.51
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 11:20am ET $551.21 21 $11,575.41 $11,718.21 +$37.91
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 12:35pm ET $552.93 21 $11,611.43
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET $546.94 21 $11,485.64 $11,592.42 $-125.79
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 11:00am ET $550.24 21 $11,555.04
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $544.26 21 $11,429.46 $11,466.84 $-125.58
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:35am ET $557.14 20 $11,142.70
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET $571.66 20 $11,433.20 $11,757.34 +$290.50
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $572.51 20 $11,450.20
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:20am ET $577.02 20 $11,540.30 $11,847.44 +$90.10
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 11:35am ET $581.79 20 $11,635.80
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:00pm ET $579.25 20 $11,585.00 $11,796.64 $-50.80
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET $571.74 20 $11,434.80
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET $577.07 20 $11,541.40 $11,903.24 +$106.60
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $577.72 20 $11,554.40
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:10am ET $580.30 20 $11,605.95 $11,954.79 +$51.55
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:45am ET $589.26 20 $11,785.16
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $583.07 20 $11,661.40 $11,831.03 $-123.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET $565.99 20 $11,319.80
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $544.12 20 $10,882.40 $11,393.63 $-437.40
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $547.71 20 $10,954.20
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $541.47 20 $10,829.40 $11,268.83 $-124.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $532.37 21 $11,179.77
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET $526.64 21 $11,059.34 $11,148.39 $-120.44
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $541.54 20 $10,830.80
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:10am ET $535.81 20 $10,716.20 $11,033.79 $-114.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $552.60 19 $10,499.40
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $554.27 19 $10,531.13 $11,065.52 +$31.73
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $551.39 20 $11,027.70
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $551.57 20 $11,031.40 $11,069.22 +$3.70
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $528.50 20 $10,570.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $500.88 20 $10,017.55 $10,516.77 $-552.45
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,516.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$516.77
Total Return: +5.17%
Back to Surge