MDT Surge's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 54 trades in period
+13.68%
Last Year Return
$11,275.27
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$9,918.27
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
20.6/100
× Confidence 0.74
= 15.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,391
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
256 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,918.27
Current Value
$11,275.27
Period P&L
$1,357.00
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
30 /
24
Best Trade
+3.69%
Worst Trade
-1.87%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,169,735.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,357.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,357.00
Gross Return
+13.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.68%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 256 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,918.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 11:30am ET | $82.89 | 119 | $9,863.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 12:00pm ET | $84.21 | 119 | $10,020.40 | $10,074.76 |
+$156.49 (+1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 12:15pm ET | $84.43 | 119 | $10,046.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:50pm ET | $83.53 | 119 | $9,940.07 | $9,968.25 |
$-106.51 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $84.09 | 118 | $9,922.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 11:10am ET | $86.05 | 118 | $10,153.31 | $10,198.94 |
+$230.69 (+2.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 11:20am ET | $85.52 | 119 | $10,176.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 11:50am ET | $85.94 | 119 | $10,226.27 | $10,248.33 |
+$49.39 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 11:00am ET | $86.44 | 118 | $10,199.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 11:30am ET | $86.49 | 118 | $10,205.23 | $10,253.64 |
+$5.31 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2025 1:30pm ET | $82.33 | 124 | $10,208.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 2:00pm ET | $82.75 | 124 | $10,261.00 | $10,305.72 |
+$52.08 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 2:05pm ET | $82.85 | 124 | $10,273.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 2:35pm ET | $83.32 | 124 | $10,331.68 | $10,364.00 |
+$58.28 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 2:40pm ET | $83.35 | 124 | $10,335.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 12:00pm ET | $85.50 | 124 | $10,601.38 | $10,629.98 |
+$265.98 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 12:05pm ET | $85.23 | 124 | $10,567.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 12:35pm ET | $85.80 | 124 | $10,639.20 | $10,701.28 |
+$71.30 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 10:10am ET | $86.53 | 123 | $10,643.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 10:40am ET | $87.00 | 123 | $10,701.00 | $10,759.09 |
+$57.81 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 12:45pm ET | $87.73 | 122 | $10,703.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 1:15pm ET | $88.47 | 122 | $10,792.73 | $10,848.76 |
+$89.67 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 1:20pm ET | $88.44 | 122 | $10,789.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2025 1:50pm ET | $88.40 | 122 | $10,784.80 | $10,844.49 |
$-4.27 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 12:05pm ET | $86.25 | 125 | $10,780.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 12:35pm ET | $86.25 | 125 | $10,780.63 | $10,844.49 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 12:40pm ET | $86.26 | 125 | $10,781.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 1:10pm ET | $86.45 | 125 | $10,805.63 | $10,868.24 |
+$23.75 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 12:35pm ET | $86.33 | 125 | $10,791.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 1:05pm ET | $86.79 | 125 | $10,848.75 | $10,925.74 |
+$57.50 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $87.78 | 124 | $10,884.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 11:00am ET | $88.40 | 124 | $10,961.60 | $11,002.62 |
+$76.88 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 10:10am ET | $90.04 | 122 | $10,984.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 10:40am ET | $89.97 | 122 | $10,976.34 | $10,994.41 |
$-8.21 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $90.19 | 121 | $10,912.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $89.28 | 121 | $10,802.88 | $10,884.30 |
$-110.11 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 10:20am ET | $90.41 | 120 | $10,848.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 10:50am ET | $90.36 | 120 | $10,843.20 | $10,878.90 |
$-5.40 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 2:40pm ET | $91.42 | 118 | $10,788.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2025 3:10pm ET | $91.75 | 118 | $10,826.50 | $10,917.26 |
+$38.36 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 1:30pm ET | $92.79 | 117 | $10,856.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 2:00pm ET | $92.11 | 117 | $10,776.87 | $10,837.70 |
$-79.56 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 1:00pm ET | $92.66 | 116 | $10,748.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 1:30pm ET | $92.05 | 116 | $10,677.22 | $10,766.36 |
$-71.34 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 11:10am ET | $90.10 | 119 | $10,721.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 2:10pm ET | $89.18 | 119 | $10,611.83 | $10,656.28 |
$-110.08 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 1:55pm ET | $91.68 | 116 | $10,634.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 2:25pm ET | $92.52 | 116 | $10,731.74 | $10,753.14 |
+$96.86 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 2:30pm ET | $92.62 | 116 | $10,743.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 3:00pm ET | $92.85 | 116 | $10,770.60 | $10,779.82 |
+$26.68 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 11:55am ET | $92.87 | 116 | $10,772.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 11:45am ET | $91.92 | 116 | $10,662.14 | $10,669.62 |
$-110.20 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 3:30pm ET | $90.11 | 118 | $10,632.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $93.44 | 118 | $11,025.33 | $11,061.97 |
+$392.35 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 11:25am ET | $92.77 | 119 | $11,039.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 11:55am ET | $92.16 | 119 | $10,967.04 | $10,989.38 |
$-72.59 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 10:05am ET | $93.67 | 117 | $10,959.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 10:05am ET | $92.72 | 117 | $10,847.66 | $10,877.98 |
$-111.40 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 10:40am ET | $93.26 | 116 | $10,818.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 11:10am ET | $93.14 | 116 | $10,804.24 | $10,864.06 |
$-13.92 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 3:15pm ET | $92.64 | 117 | $10,838.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 3:45pm ET | $94.02 | 117 | $11,000.34 | $11,026.10 |
+$162.04 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 11:20am ET | $93.65 | 117 | $10,957.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 11:50am ET | $94.38 | 117 | $11,041.88 | $11,110.92 |
+$84.82 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 10:05am ET | $94.86 | 117 | $11,098.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $93.87 | 117 | $10,982.79 | $10,995.09 |
$-115.83 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 12:35pm ET | $95.33 | 115 | $10,962.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 10:45am ET | $94.34 | 115 | $10,849.10 | $10,881.24 |
$-113.85 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 10:45am ET | $95.74 | 113 | $10,818.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $93.97 | 113 | $10,618.61 | $10,681.23 |
$-200.01 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $94.76 | 112 | $10,613.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:15am ET | $93.74 | 112 | $10,498.32 | $10,566.43 |
$-114.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:35am ET | $97.80 | 108 | $10,562.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 11:05am ET | $98.53 | 108 | $10,640.70 | $10,644.73 |
+$78.30 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 11:00am ET | $96.53 | 110 | $10,618.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 11:10am ET | $95.55 | 110 | $10,510.50 | $10,536.93 |
$-107.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:25am ET | $92.02 | 114 | $10,490.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 11:55am ET | $92.04 | 114 | $10,492.56 | $10,539.21 |
+$2.28 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 3:10pm ET | $92.78 | 113 | $10,483.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:35am ET | $95.10 | 113 | $10,746.30 | $10,801.93 |
+$262.72 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $95.40 | 113 | $10,779.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:25am ET | $96.16 | 113 | $10,866.08 | $10,888.38 |
+$86.45 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $100.57 | 108 | $10,861.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:55am ET | $102.55 | 108 | $11,075.40 | $11,102.22 |
+$213.84 (+2.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:00am ET | $102.68 | 108 | $11,089.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 11:30am ET | $104.55 | 108 | $11,291.40 | $11,304.19 |
+$201.97 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 2:05pm ET | $99.11 | 114 | $11,298.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $97.26 | 114 | $11,087.07 | $11,092.72 |
$-211.47 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $96.40 | 115 | $11,086.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $97.35 | 115 | $11,195.25 | $11,201.97 |
+$109.25 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $97.39 | 115 | $11,199.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $100.01 | 115 | $11,501.15 | $11,503.85 |
+$301.88 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET | $100.48 | 114 | $11,454.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:35pm ET | $99.43 | 114 | $11,335.02 | $11,384.15 |
$-119.70 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $97.01 | 117 | $11,350.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 1:10pm ET | $98.79 | 117 | $11,558.43 | $11,592.41 |
+$208.26 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 1:35pm ET | $99.07 | 117 | $11,591.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $97.82 | 117 | $11,444.94 | $11,446.16 |
$-146.25 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET | $97.08 | 117 | $11,358.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $100.00 | 117 | $11,699.42 | $11,787.22 |
+$341.06 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $101.52 | 116 | $11,776.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $100.49 | 116 | $11,656.84 | $11,667.74 |
$-119.48 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $101.86 | 114 | $11,611.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $100.74 | 114 | $11,484.36 | $11,540.63 |
$-127.11 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $104.31 | 110 | $11,474.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $103.13 | 110 | $11,344.71 | $11,411.24 |
$-129.39 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $102.56 | 111 | $11,383.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $101.33 | 111 | $11,247.63 | $11,275.27 |
$-135.97 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,275.27
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,275.27
Total Return:
+12.75%