Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:51:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 7.0/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,374
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
263 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,160.24
Current Value
$8,256.62
Period P&L
$1,096.38
Max Drawdown
-38.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
62
Winners / Losers
34 / 28
Best Trade
+3.41%
Worst Trade
-2.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$952,623.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,096.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,096.38
Gross Return
+15.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 263 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 62 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,160.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 12:20pm ET $80.04 89 $7,123.56
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 10:00am ET $77.76 89 $6,920.64 $6,957.32 $-202.92
(-2.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 11:10am ET $74.27 93 $6,907.11
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 11:40am ET $75.43 93 $7,014.53 $7,064.74 +$107.42
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 11:50am ET $75.56 93 $7,027.08
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 12:20pm ET $76.55 93 $7,118.69 $7,156.35 +$91.61
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 2:05pm ET $77.03 92 $7,086.76
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 10:10am ET $78.98 92 $7,266.16 $7,335.75 +$179.40
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 1:15pm ET $77.67 94 $7,300.98
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 1:45pm ET $77.72 94 $7,305.21 $7,339.98 +$4.23
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 11:50am ET $77.20 95 $7,334.00
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 10:00am ET $75.48 95 $7,170.13 $7,176.10 $-163.88
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 3:35pm ET $77.13 93 $7,173.09
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 12:45pm ET $79.06 93 $7,352.56 $7,355.57 +$179.47
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2025 10:20am ET $80.56 91 $7,330.96
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 10:50am ET $81.06 91 $7,376.01 $7,400.62 +$45.05
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 10:35am ET $81.38 90 $7,324.20
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 11:05am ET $81.79 90 $7,361.10 $7,437.52 +$36.90
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 11:15am ET $78.48 94 $7,377.12
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 11:45am ET $79.52 94 $7,474.41 $7,534.81 +$97.29
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 3:20pm ET $79.92 94 $7,512.48
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $80.48 94 $7,564.65 $7,586.98 +$52.17
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 3:05pm ET $79.95 94 $7,515.30
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 10:05am ET $79.03 94 $7,428.82 $7,500.50 $-86.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:20am ET $79.87 93 $7,427.91
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:15am ET $81.98 93 $7,624.14 $7,696.73 +$196.23
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 12:20pm ET $82.26 93 $7,650.18
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 12:55pm ET $81.37 93 $7,567.41 $7,613.96 $-82.77
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 10:10am ET $84.29 90 $7,586.10
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 10:00am ET $83.18 90 $7,486.20 $7,514.06 $-99.90
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 11:40am ET $83.32 90 $7,498.35
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:10pm ET $83.56 90 $7,520.40 $7,536.11 +$22.05
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 2:05pm ET $85.13 88 $7,491.44
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 2:35pm ET $84.64 88 $7,448.71 $7,493.38 $-42.73
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 10:20am ET $80.53 93 $7,489.29
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 3:35pm ET $82.65 93 $7,685.99 $7,690.08 +$196.70
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 10:45am ET $80.76 95 $7,671.73
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 11:15am ET $80.06 95 $7,605.70 $7,624.06 $-66.02
(-0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 12:30pm ET $80.53 94 $7,569.35
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $80.92 94 $7,606.76 $7,661.47 +$37.41
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 10:00am ET $80.89 94 $7,603.19
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 11:10am ET $80.02 94 $7,521.41 $7,579.69 $-81.78
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 10:05am ET $82.11 92 $7,553.66
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 10:35am ET $83.17 92 $7,651.63 $7,677.66 +$97.97
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 11:30am ET $83.36 92 $7,669.12
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2025 1:05pm ET $82.49 92 $7,588.62 $7,597.16 $-80.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 2:30pm ET $84.69 89 $7,537.41
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 3:00pm ET $84.21 89 $7,494.25 $7,553.99 $-43.17
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 10:10am ET $86.56 87 $7,530.72
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:40am ET $86.97 87 $7,565.96 $7,589.23 +$35.24
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 10:35am ET $85.14 89 $7,577.02
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 11:05am ET $84.27 89 $7,500.03 $7,512.24 $-76.99
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 10:15am ET $82.36 91 $7,494.43
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 11:20am ET $81.53 91 $7,419.23 $7,437.04 $-75.20
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:05am ET $80.63 92 $7,417.50
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 1:20pm ET $82.83 92 $7,620.36 $7,639.90 +$202.86
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:25am ET $87.51 87 $7,613.37
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 1:40pm ET $89.98 87 $7,827.83 $7,854.35 +$214.45
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 10:15am ET $90.20 87 $7,846.97
🔴 SELL Oct 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $89.18 87 $7,758.23 $7,765.60 $-88.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 2:15pm ET $84.51 91 $7,690.41
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 10:10am ET $86.76 91 $7,895.05 $7,970.24 +$204.64
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 10:15am ET $86.87 91 $7,904.72
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:45am ET $87.01 91 $7,918.31 $7,983.84 +$13.60
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 3:50pm ET $87.58 91 $7,969.33
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 10:20am ET $87.51 91 $7,963.36 $7,977.88 $-5.96
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 10:35am ET $85.61 93 $7,961.73
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 11:05am ET $84.65 93 $7,872.45 $7,888.60 $-89.28
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 2:55pm ET $86.15 91 $7,839.20
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET $84.30 91 $7,671.34 $7,720.74 $-167.86
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 10:25am ET $84.60 91 $7,698.60
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 12:50pm ET $83.62 91 $7,608.97 $7,631.10 $-89.64
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 3:20pm ET $86.12 88 $7,578.12
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $86.15 88 $7,581.20 $7,634.18 +$3.08
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 10:20am ET $89.18 85 $7,579.88
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $92.17 85 $7,834.03 $7,888.33 +$254.15
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:40am ET $94.03 83 $7,804.56
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 2:40pm ET $93.03 83 $7,721.49 $7,805.26 $-83.07
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:05am ET $93.81 83 $7,785.82
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET $93.84 83 $7,788.72 $7,808.16 +$2.90
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:35am ET $94.36 82 $7,737.11
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:40pm ET $93.37 82 $7,656.34 $7,727.39 $-80.77
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:10am ET $97.15 79 $7,674.46
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:05am ET $95.78 79 $7,566.62 $7,619.55 $-107.84
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:45am ET $97.27 78 $7,587.06
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 12:35pm ET $99.78 78 $7,782.84 $7,815.33 +$195.78
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:35am ET $104.28 74 $7,716.35
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:05am ET $105.22 74 $7,786.28 $7,885.26 +$69.93
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:40am ET $105.54 74 $7,809.96
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET $104.22 74 $7,712.28 $7,787.58 $-97.68
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 11:30am ET $99.01 78 $7,722.78
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 12:00pm ET $99.69 78 $7,775.43 $7,840.23 +$52.65
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:20am ET $99.25 78 $7,741.49
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 11:50am ET $99.83 78 $7,786.74 $7,885.48 +$45.25
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:25pm ET $101.25 77 $7,796.24
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $101.09 77 $7,783.93 $7,873.17 $-12.31
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 11:10am ET $103.24 76 $7,846.24
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 11:40am ET $104.70 76 $7,957.20 $7,984.13 +$110.96
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET $106.81 74 $7,903.94
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 10:10am ET $107.42 74 $7,949.07 $8,029.26 +$45.13
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:00am ET $105.95 75 $7,945.88
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET $106.82 75 $8,011.50 $8,094.89 +$65.63
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $109.47 73 $7,991.31
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET $110.07 73 $8,035.29 $8,138.87 +$43.98
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET $111.43 73 $8,134.03
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET $109.90 73 $8,022.70 $8,027.55 $-111.32
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $109.03 73 $7,959.19
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET $111.26 73 $8,121.98 $8,190.34 +$162.79
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $111.78 73 $8,159.94
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $109.89 73 $8,021.97 $8,052.37 $-137.97
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $109.14 73 $7,967.22
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:00am ET $108.29 73 $7,904.81 $7,989.95 $-62.42
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $109.90 72 $7,912.80
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $112.65 72 $8,110.80 $8,187.95 +$198.00
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $112.65 72 $8,110.80
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $116.49 72 $8,387.28 $8,464.43 +$276.48
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $120.11 70 $8,407.70
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $118.89 70 $8,321.95 $8,378.68 $-85.75
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET $122.38 68 $8,321.50
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $118.82 68 $8,079.76 $8,136.94 $-241.74
(-2.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $118.08 68 $8,029.44
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET $121.19 68 $8,240.92 $8,348.42 +$211.48
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $121.11 68 $8,235.48
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $119.76 68 $8,143.68 $8,256.62 $-91.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,256.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,743.38
Total Return: -17.43%
Back to Surge