Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
8.0/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 18.4/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 13.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,733
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,300.36
Current Value
$10,817.95
Period P&L
$-482.41
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
64
Winners / Losers
25 / 39
Best Trade
+2.85%
Worst Trade
-2.68%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,343,654.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-482.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-482.41
Gross Return
-4.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 64 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,300.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 11:00am ET $437.95 26 $11,386.77
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 10:10am ET $432.79 26 $11,252.54 $11,309.46 $-134.23
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 11:30am ET $436.50 25 $10,912.50
🔴 SELL May 7, 2025 10:50am ET $431.53 25 $10,788.25 $11,185.21 $-124.25
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 7, 2025 3:40pm ET $436.48 25 $10,911.88
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 10:10am ET $438.97 25 $10,974.25 $11,247.59 +$62.38
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 2:15pm ET $447.43 25 $11,185.75
🔴 SELL May 13, 2025 2:45pm ET $448.07 25 $11,201.75 $11,263.59 +$16.00
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 11:25am ET $454.93 24 $10,918.23
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:00am ET $449.93 24 $10,798.32 $11,143.68 $-119.91
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 1:50pm ET $453.43 24 $10,882.23
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 2:20pm ET $459.74 24 $11,033.74 $11,295.19 +$151.51
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 2:25pm ET $468.96 24 $11,255.08
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2025 2:55pm ET $471.10 24 $11,306.28 $11,346.39 +$51.20
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 1:35pm ET $472.66 24 $11,343.84
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 11:30am ET $467.60 24 $11,222.40 $11,224.95 $-121.44
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2025 10:35am ET $475.16 23 $10,928.68
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 11:05am ET $477.50 23 $10,982.50 $11,278.77 +$53.82
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 11:10am ET $477.97 23 $10,993.31
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 11:40am ET $476.54 23 $10,960.42 $11,245.88 $-32.89
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2025 12:30pm ET $478.47 23 $11,004.81
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 1:00pm ET $479.09 23 $11,019.07 $11,260.14 +$14.26
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $480.31 23 $11,047.13
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 3:00pm ET $477.48 23 $10,982.04 $11,195.05 $-65.09
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 11:45am ET $479.77 23 $11,034.71
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 12:15pm ET $490.89 23 $11,290.47 $11,450.81 +$255.76
(+2.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 12:40pm ET $491.28 23 $11,299.44
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 1:10pm ET $490.75 23 $11,287.25 $11,438.62 $-12.19
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 2:15pm ET $497.60 22 $10,947.20
🔴 SELL Jun 27, 2025 2:45pm ET $495.47 22 $10,900.34 $11,391.76 $-46.86
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $499.65 22 $10,992.19
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2025 11:00am ET $494.39 22 $10,876.47 $11,276.04 $-115.72
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 10:05am ET $498.47 22 $10,966.34
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 1:30pm ET $496.70 22 $10,927.36 $11,237.06 $-38.98
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 11:05am ET $502.73 22 $11,059.95
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 11:35am ET $502.62 22 $11,057.64 $11,234.75 $-2.31
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2025 11:25am ET $507.28 22 $11,160.16
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 11:55am ET $504.46 22 $11,098.01 $11,172.60 $-62.15
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 11:05am ET $511.97 21 $10,751.37
🔴 SELL Jul 18, 2025 11:35am ET $510.64 21 $10,723.34 $11,144.56 $-28.04
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 11:50am ET $512.35 21 $10,759.34
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 12:20pm ET $514.01 21 $10,794.21 $11,179.43 +$34.87
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2025 12:25pm ET $514.41 21 $10,802.51
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 12:55pm ET $512.16 21 $10,755.36 $11,132.28 $-47.15
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 1:50pm ET $538.06 20 $10,761.20
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 10:45am ET $532.19 20 $10,643.80 $11,014.88 $-117.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 11:05am ET $525.80 20 $10,516.00
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 11:35am ET $526.89 20 $10,537.80 $11,036.68 +$21.80
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 1:55pm ET $529.19 20 $10,583.80
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 1:40pm ET $523.81 20 $10,476.20 $10,929.08 $-107.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 12:30pm ET $524.79 20 $10,495.80
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 10:10am ET $518.77 20 $10,375.40 $10,808.68 $-120.40
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 10:15am ET $507.20 21 $10,651.20
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:45am ET $510.36 21 $10,717.56 $10,875.04 +$66.36
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:50am ET $509.85 21 $10,706.75
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 11:20am ET $507.66 21 $10,660.86 $10,829.15 $-45.89
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 12:45pm ET $505.12 21 $10,607.52
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 1:15pm ET $507.60 21 $10,659.60 $10,881.23 +$52.08
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 11:10am ET $509.74 21 $10,704.48
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 11:40am ET $513.08 21 $10,774.58 $10,951.32 +$70.09
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 2:05pm ET $513.32 21 $10,779.72
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2025 2:35pm ET $511.38 21 $10,738.98 $10,910.58 $-40.74
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $516.97 21 $10,856.37
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 10:20am ET $511.75 21 $10,746.65 $10,800.85 $-109.73
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 10:45am ET $515.63 20 $10,312.59
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:15am ET $513.55 20 $10,271.00 $10,759.26 $-41.59
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 1:30pm ET $519.13 20 $10,382.60
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 11:00am ET $511.74 20 $10,234.80 $10,611.46 $-147.80
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 1:35pm ET $526.69 20 $10,533.80
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 2:05pm ET $522.07 20 $10,441.40 $10,519.06 $-92.40
(-0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 11:50am ET $511.80 20 $10,235.95
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 12:20pm ET $514.18 20 $10,283.60 $10,566.71 +$47.65
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 12:25pm ET $513.53 20 $10,270.60
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 12:55pm ET $516.49 20 $10,329.80 $10,625.91 +$59.20
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 1:15pm ET $517.61 20 $10,352.20
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 1:45pm ET $513.85 20 $10,277.00 $10,550.71 $-75.20
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 10:40am ET $533.92 19 $10,144.48
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 11:10am ET $543.81 19 $10,332.30 $10,738.53 +$187.82
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:05am ET $506.02 21 $10,626.42
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:40am ET $500.51 21 $10,510.64 $10,622.75 $-115.78
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:45pm ET $507.30 20 $10,145.90
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:10am ET $501.92 20 $10,038.40 $10,515.25 $-107.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 2:45pm ET $510.98 20 $10,219.60
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:45pm ET $505.73 20 $10,114.60 $10,410.25 $-105.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:05am ET $505.09 20 $10,101.80
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET $506.99 20 $10,139.80 $10,448.25 +$38.00
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 12:15pm ET $476.08 21 $9,997.58
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:45am ET $488.21 21 $10,252.41 $10,703.09 +$254.84
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:20am ET $491.45 21 $10,320.35
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET $478.28 21 $10,043.78 $10,426.52 $-276.57
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:30am ET $483.53 21 $10,154.03
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $477.74 21 $10,032.54 $10,305.04 $-121.48
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 11:05am ET $491.35 20 $9,827.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:35am ET $491.24 20 $9,824.80 $10,302.84 $-2.20
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:20pm ET $483.16 21 $10,146.26
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $477.73 21 $10,032.33 $10,188.92 $-113.92
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:00pm ET $477.15 21 $10,020.16
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:30pm ET $478.24 21 $10,043.04 $10,211.80 +$22.88
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:30am ET $485.49 21 $10,195.35
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 11:00am ET $484.68 21 $10,178.28 $10,194.73 $-17.07
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 11:10am ET $488.47 20 $9,769.40
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 2:35pm ET $487.27 20 $9,745.40 $10,170.73 $-24.00
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
52 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $475.77 21 $9,991.17
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:05am ET $470.44 21 $9,879.19 $10,058.75 $-111.98
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
53 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $476.07 21 $9,997.47
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET $489.65 21 $10,282.65 $10,343.93 +$285.18
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
54 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:05am ET $488.33 21 $10,254.83
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET $478.03 21 $10,038.63 $10,127.73 $-216.20
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
55 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $478.76 21 $10,053.99
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $479.06 21 $10,060.26 $10,134.00 +$6.27
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
56 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:50am ET $461.99 21 $9,701.79
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $452.83 21 $9,509.43 $9,941.64 $-192.36
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
57 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET $456.02 21 $9,576.35
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET $451.11 21 $9,473.21 $9,838.49 $-103.15
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
58 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:50pm ET $451.47 21 $9,480.95
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:25am ET $463.15 21 $9,726.15 $10,083.69 +$245.20
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
59 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:30am ET $464.32 21 $9,750.62
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET $471.40 21 $9,899.40 $10,232.48 +$148.79
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
60 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:10am ET $472.20 21 $9,916.20
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:40am ET $479.62 21 $10,072.02 $10,388.30 +$155.82
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
61 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:45am ET $480.15 21 $10,083.15
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $479.90 21 $10,077.90 $10,383.05 $-5.25
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
62 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:25am ET $417.98 24 $10,031.40
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $413.45 24 $9,922.80 $10,274.45 $-108.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
63 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $401.74 25 $10,043.50
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:25am ET $412.02 25 $10,300.38 $10,531.33 +$256.88
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
64 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $411.86 25 $10,296.38
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $423.32 25 $10,583.00 $10,817.95 +$286.62
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,817.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$817.95
Total Return: +8.18%
Back to Surge